The following is a modernized version of the advice given in the Newbies Corner of Aussie distiller forum https://aussiedistiller.com.au/viewtopic.php?f=57&t=3539 (dated 2013)- it follows the same sort of fictional dialogue with a lot of the original text but structured to include home continuous distillation as an option. I hope this is considered fair use – plz tell me what you think, which parts are good, bad, missing, or just plain wrong:
Is this home-distilling hobby really for me?
This is probably something you have been contemplating since you first read, heard, or watched a show about home distilling. As with most hobbies, you need to go over the pros and cons of why you want to get into it, and what kind of time and costs are involved in getting set up, and continuing the hobby. By the end of this write up you should have enough information to decide whether or not this is something for you!
What do you want to get out of this hobby? First things first. What do you want to get out of distilling?
​
Do you just want a quick and easy way to get alcohol?
Or
Do you want to make a quality drop that will beat the price and taste of commercial products?
​
Think about that for a second, and when you're ready, we can move on.
- I know what I want!
Alright then! That is all fine and dandy, but I think we are getting ahead of ourselves.
Do you want to be an early adopter of cutting-edge modern technology or do you want to make it the old-fashioned way, like you may have seen on shows like Moonshiners?
So you want to use the bleeding edge of modern technology? Yes? Let's move on then.
What kind of price will I be looking at, you ask?
A smart, automated, micro air-cooled reflux continuous still will set you back $500 shipped.
- Holy s\**!*
Does that seem expensive to you? If so, you may want to re-think your options. But before that, think of it this way. That price pales in comparison to what you can spend on commercial products. For example, a quick search shows that $500 of alcohol is approximately 10 to 20 bottles of Jack Daniels depending on your country. Once you've finished that alcohol, that's it. You have to buy more. It ain't going to fill itself back up.
Now let's look at the still price again. $500.It's a once-off equipment price that you spend. From there on out you only pay for your ingredients, and you can make as much alcohol as you, your family, your friends, etc can ever think of drinking.
Okay, so after pondering that for a while and consulting the minister of finance, let's move on.
- Sorry, I don't want to spend that much!
Okay, so that's not for you.
-How about less technology and more work, is that less expensive?
Yes, It can be...
Do you want to make spirit that you can use as vodka, a base for gin, in mixes, or with essences designed to emulate commercial spirits, including whiskeys or brandy(a neutral spirit), or do you want to make traditional authentic whiskey/whisky/rum/etc (a flavored spirit)?
If you want to make a neutral spirit, your best bet is to go with a reflux still. We won't go into too much detail with the different types of stills as there is plenty of that around. We just want to work out whether or not you have the time and money to go the traditional route into this hobby.
If you want to make an authentic flavored spirit (whiskey/whisky/rum/etc) a pot still would be a good starting place.
So, have you decided what you want? Yes? Let's move on then.
- I want to make a neutral spirit!
Okay, so for making a neutral spirit, we want to go with a reflux still. This will make a neutral/flavorless spirit that you can mix with flavors. But don't get too ahead of yourself just yet.
If you don't have the skills to build your own, you will likely be looking at buying one. There are many online stores where you can get exactly what you want. They will be more than happy to recommend the best piece of equipment for your needs.
What kind of price will I be looking at, you ask? Going by some stores, a basic 2" reflux still and a boiler will set you back around ~$800 delivered.
- Double Holy s\**!*
Yes, sometimes new technology can do more for less money... but wait, if we go real old school the next option is a pot still.
Searching online you can find a small pot still for under $100, or you could DIY a keg still for under $150
.- That's more like it!
I thought it might be more appealing to you...What's the catch, you say?
Well, a pot still (and a reflux still to a lesser extent) needs a lot of manual mundane repetitive tasks and both need a lot of boring babysitting, watching it the whole time. Basically, block off a long weekend to run a decent haul. And half your garage...you need a lot of space to work in and you don’t want kids running around your still.
Also with a pot still you won't be able to make the quality neutral you would with a reflux or continuous still. That doesn't necessarily mean that you can't get close to a neutral spirit that could be used for flavoring, but if it was that simple, we would all be recommending the cheaper pot still.
A pot still is great for many recipes such as authentic bourbon, whisky, rum, etc. This essentially removes the need to purchase essences from your homebrew shop or mixes for your vodka.
- If I don't need to buy essences, then why would I even bother spending the money on a continuous still or even reflux still?
That's a good question. The reason people use a continuous still (or even reflux still) is because it is very easy to produce a product superior to what you can buy commercially (which was our original goal). Then you can use it as vodka, a base for gin, in mixes, or with essences designed to emulate commercial spirits, including whiskeys or brandy.
Making a simple, sugar wash, is almost failproof, running it through the continuous still is something anyone can manage. Much like reading instructions on the packet of 2-minute noodles.
If you want to make a rum/whisky/etc to run through a pot still, you will need to make a wash that requires experience, and a lot of extra work, whether that is adding grains to the fermenter, or even mashing the grains for a specific time and temperature, your risk of failure is significant when you have no experience.
We've covered the basic startup costs for each type of product so far.
The more expensive reflux still, the convenient continuous still, and the cheapest pot still. Now, that's not to say you can’t build a cheap reflux still (or find a used one for sale), but as a guide, that is what you are looking for in a nice quality still.
So, for argument's sake, you have a limit to spend on equipment and you have decided that you don't care, you're going to get a still no matter what.
-Okay. I've got my still decided. Do I get free alcohol now?
It doesn't quite work like that, sorry. Depending on the still you chose, you will need to make a wash to run through the still.
-Let me guess...more money?
Correct! You're learning fast. You will need a fermenter or a barrel that you can use to make your wash in. These pop up all the time on gumtree, eBay, etc or you might be able to pick one up for cheap (<$30) at your homebrew shop. Really it can be any size, but the bigger the better, you can always make half batches, but you cannot make more than what you have space for. HDPE 200L(55gal) barrels are cheap and handy.
-Easy enough...
Now, you can go to the homebrew shop and drop $10 on some turbo yeast, $10 on some sugar and go home and follow the directions, but chances are it won't be what you're looking for.
We like to use basic recipes that don't rely on a super-yeast that was designed for making fuel.
There are simple recipes such as a Tomato Paste Wash which can be made for <$10 and will make a nice neutral spirit when run through a continuous or reflux still.
-That sounds fine. I've read some recipes and know what I want. Now do I get that sweet nectar?
We're almost there. We've covered the basic costs of equipment and recipes, but we haven't covered the other cost. Time.
For starters, you need to ferment the wash. This can take anywhere from 3-14 days, or even longer, depending on the conditions you ferment in. We will keep that time range for now so you can get an idea of how long this whole process takes.
You've got your wash, it has fermented out, and you're reading to distill it! It's the big day! You're prepared to distill your first wash.
-What do I do now?
Well, this is where the cutting edge of modern technology starts making a big difference. With a smart, automated, micro air-cooled reflux continuous still, you just drop in the feed tube, drop your waste tube in a waste bucket, place your collection jars, and turn on the still, you can get this done in less than 5 minutes, then you come back later to collect a jar of your sweet nectar...That’s it! done! However...
With a pot or reflux still, to get that authentic traditional experience, set aside the whole day, and get a good book.
First, we need to siphon off the wash so you don’t put sediment in the boiler, once filled, get everything set up. This is the quickest part so far. If you are good, you can get this done in less than 15 minutes. After your condenser hoses are attached, the wash is in the boiler and the still is clamped on the keg, we can turn on our gas or electric element.
-Wooo! Finally!! Wait.. my condenser hoses?
For a pot or reflux still, you will need a water supply to cool the alcohol vapors as they come out of the still. This can either be your garden hose or a pump in a rainwater tank or container. Obviously, these are more costs that you need to factor in. A pump is good for recirculating water, but then you need to invest in a pump ($50) and you need a container to hold a large volume of water. ($50+). Or if you want, you can run it straight out the tap, but that can get wasteful.
Obviously an air-cooled continuous still does not need water, it uses the incoming wash for most of the cooling.
-Okay, that's easy enough. Now, back to the distilling. So, how long will it be? 30mins? An hour?
If only...We need to discuss a couple more things first.
Stripping runs and Spirit runs.
-Who and what?!
A stripping run is a process of stripping all the alcohol out of your wash to create "low wines". This process depends on the type of still you run but can take anywhere from 2-6 hours. Maybe more. Once you have stripped the wash, you put your "low wines" back into the still for the spirit run.
A spirit run is a process of making a good quality end product out of your low wines. This process also depends on the equipment and can take anywhere from 4-12 hours. When you are finished, you will have something that is drinkable, once diluted to a sane ABV%.
-Okay, so that is a lot longer than I thought. Can't I just do a spirit run and not strip it?
Yes, you can. But even in a reflux still, you might not get as good a spirit as you would from doing a stripping run first, but it is possible to do and you will save the time of doing multiple runs. This is something that relates back to the first couple of questions of whether you want something easy or something that will be of great quality.
Fortunately a continuous still solve this stripping/spirit run dilemma as it includes a stripping run section (“Analyzer”) and a spirit run section (“Rectifier”) all in one still so it can run from an un-cleared wash without a need for siphoning to a something that is of great quality, all in one go – so easy - no fuss.
-Well, for a pot or reflux still that is a long process. Can I just start it up before work and when I come home turn it off?
No, no, and no!
Pot and reflux stills are manual batch stills, you have a lot of ethanol all boiling at vapor temperature, and a failing water line or leak can quickly fill the room with enough ethanol vapor to reach an explosive level(LEL). The still is dumb and cannot watch itself. You must watch the still and be in eyesight range at all times. You need to routinely check your water flow and your distillate flow rate (a sudden drop may indicate a leak or lack of water) You need to be there if anything goes wrong, and you need to change over the collection jars when they get full. And you need to switch off before the boiler boils dry - so no drinking and passing out on the job!
The traditional tools of this hobby require full involvement. If you can't make the commitment to spend a day with your pot and reflux still, you might want to consider a smart, automated, micro air-cooled reflux continuous still, it is both intrinsically safe (only boils a tiny amount of ethanol at a time, the feed is the coolant so if the coolant stops then so does the feed) and is fully automated (it is smart and watches itself). You can even set the run time so it won’t overflow the collection jar when it gets full. So you can set it up, so you can run a 200-liter barrel and all you do is spend 2 minutes a day to take off almost 2 liters of 90% ABV each day for 10 days, and if you forget a day it will automatically stop itself before it overflows or runs dry.
-Alright. So I know what I want to use, the wash I want to make. Is there anything else this will cost me?
There are a few other things you will need.

1. An alcometer to measure your alcohol strength. *recommended
2. A hydrometer to measure your wash sugar content. *Optional
3. Privacy. You don't want everyone and their dog to know what you are doing! This is your little secret.
4. Time and patience. This isn't a hobby that happens overnight. There is a lot of reading and questioning. There is a lot of time that will be spent just waiting for the wash to finish, or the still to do its thing.

-Are we done yet?
Yes. If you have gotten to this point, and you have still decided that you want a still even after all the costs and time involved, then you are on your way to a great hobby. As I have said throughout the write-up, we have only just touched the surface of the distilling world. There is a library worth of information that you can read, and most likely will need to read to get on your way to a final product.
Read through the topics in the sidebar and posts to learn more about the types of stills and how they work, keeping in mind the prices involved in getting them set up.
We don't want to scare you off, because we love doing this, it is very rewarding to sit down after a long day, sip on something that you have put money and time into, and just think "I made this." The feeling doesn't get any better.
You get to make exactly what you want, how you want, and for a cheaper cost than the stores, it just takes time and a start-up investment. I would like to personally wish you luck with your decision and hope that you take as much pride in your product as we all do here. Remember, read, read, and read. Ask, ask, and ask some more. You will find everything you will need here and more. Don't be afraid to ask a question, but most of the "beginner" questions you might have will be found right here.

Does anyone knows if the RSX Base 5-MT uses a 6 or 7 groove alternator pulley and what size in mm?
https://www.ebay.com/itm/Alternator-6-Groove-Pulley-65mmOD-for-HONDA-ACCORD-ODYSSEY-Pilot-Acura-Isuzu-/133947099330?mkcid=16&mkevt=1&_trksid=p4429486.m46890.l6249&mkrid=711-127632-2357-0
or
https://www.ebay.com/itm/Alternator-7-Groove-Pulley-for-HONDA-ACCORD-ACURA-TSX-CSX-CIVIC-ELEMENT-CR-V-/133868747994?mkcid=16&mkevt=1&_trksid=p4429486.m46890.l6249&mkrid=711-127632-2357-0

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ELEX	1.1 TF2	$2.13 PP	-
EVERSPACE™	1.8 TF2	$3.57 PP	-
Elite: Dangerous	1.4 TF2	$2.75 PP	-
Empire of Sin	1.3 TF2	$2.6 PP	-
Endzone - A World Apart	0.4 TF2	$0.78 PP	-
Euro Truck Simulator 2	1.7 TF2	$3.37 PP	-
Europa Universalis IV	2.5 TF2	$5.03 PP	-
Exanima	2.6 TF2	$5.17 PP	-
FTL: Faster Than Light	1.0 TF2	$1.95 PP	-
Fable Anniversary	4.8 TF2	$9.48 PP	-
Fallout 76	2.2 TF2	$4.32 PP	-
Fantasy General II	0.6 TF2	$1.23 PP	-
Farming Simulator 17	0.6 TF2	$1.11 PP	-
Fight'N Rage	0.7 TF2	$1.34 PP	-
Fights in Tight Spaces	6.0 TF2	$11.88 PP	-
Firefighting Simulator - The Squad	4.8 TF2	$9.43 PP	-
First Class Trouble	0.5 TF2	$1.07 PP	-
For The King	0.9 TF2	$1.84 PP	-
Forager	1.1 TF2	$2.25 PP	-
Forts	3.0 TF2	$5.86 PP	-
Friday the 13th: The Game	2.9 TF2	$5.81 PP	-
Frostpunk	1.0 TF2	$2.03 PP	-
Full Metal Furies	0.6 TF2	$1.12 PP	-
Furi	1.3 TF2	$2.54 PP	-
GRIME	0.5 TF2 Refer To My Other Thread	$0.97 PP Refer To My Other Thread	Humble Choice (Jun 2023)
GRIS	0.5 TF2	$0.91 PP	-
GUILTY GEAR XX ACCENT CORE PLUS R	0.4 TF2	$0.82 PP	-
Gang Beasts	3.0 TF2	$5.94 PP	-
Garden Paws	1.0 TF2	$2.0 PP	-
Gas Station Simulator	3.1 TF2	$6.15 PP	-
Gears 5	10.9 TF2	$21.52 PP	-
Gears Tactics	4.8 TF2	$9.55 PP	-
Generation Zero®	0.8 TF2	$1.55 PP	-
Ghostwire Tokyo	2.5 TF2 Refer To My Other Thread	$4.89 PP Refer To My Other Thread	Humble Choice (Jun 2023)
Goat Simulator	0.4 TF2	$0.89 PP	-
Godlike Burger	1.0 TF2	$1.9 PP	-
Golf With Your Friends	1.1 TF2	$2.23 PP	-
Gordian Quest	1.8 TF2	$3.54 PP	-
Gotham Knights	5.5 TF2	$10.84 PP	-
GreedFall	0.8 TF2	$1.52 PP	-
Gremlins, Inc.	1.4 TF2	$2.74 PP	-
Grim Dawn	4.8 TF2	$9.54 PP	-
Grim Fandango Remastered	0.6 TF2	$1.1 PP	-
Guacamelee! 2	0.6 TF2	$1.18 PP	-
HITMAN™2 Gold Edition	3.0 TF2	$5.88 PP	-
HIVESWAP: Act 2	1.6 TF2	$3.23 PP	-
HROT	4.2 TF2	$8.22 PP	-
Hard Bullet	1.2 TF2	$2.35 PP	-
Hearts of Iron IV: Battle for the Bosporus	1.8 TF2	$3.57 PP	-
Hearts of Iron IV: Cadet Edition	5.9 TF2	$11.67 PP	-
Hearts of Iron IV: Death or Dishonor	1.0 TF2	$1.94 PP	-
Hearts of Iron IV: Waking the Tiger	2.0 TF2	$3.88 PP	-
Heave Ho	0.6 TF2	$1.09 PP	-
Heavy Rain	1.1 TF2	$2.25 PP	-
Hell Let Loose	6.3 TF2	$12.38 PP	-
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice	1.4 TF2	$2.86 PP	-
Hello, Neighbor!	0.5 TF2	$1.01 PP	-
Hellpoint	0.4 TF2	$0.73 PP	-
Heroes of Hammerwatch	0.8 TF2	$1.56 PP	-
Hitman Absolution	0.4 TF2	$0.77 PP	-
Hitman Game of the Year Edition	1.3 TF2	$2.58 PP	-
Hollow Knight	2.5 TF2 Refer To My Other Thread	$4.93 PP Refer To My Other Thread	Must-Play Metroidvanias Bundle
Homefront: The Revolution	0.8 TF2	$1.65 PP	-
Homeworld: Deserts of Kharak	0.4 TF2	$0.76 PP	-
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number Digital Special Edition	0.6 TF2	$1.22 PP	-
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number	0.6 TF2	$1.14 PP	-
Hotline Miami	0.9 TF2	$1.81 PP	-
House Flipper	3.1 TF2	$6.08 PP	-
Human: Fall Flat	1.2 TF2	$2.29 PP	-
HuniePop	0.4 TF2	$0.85 PP	-
Huntdown	1.7 TF2	$3.3 PP	-
Hurtworld	2.2 TF2	$4.4 PP	-
Hyper Light Drifter	1.6 TF2	$3.09 PP	-
Hypnospace Outlaw	0.8 TF2	$1.53 PP	-
I Am Fish	0.4 TF2	$0.72 PP	-
I Expect You To Die	1.3 TF2	$2.67 PP	-
I-NFECTED	4.1 TF2	$8.02 PP	-
INSIDE	1.6 TF2	$3.14 PP	-
INSURGENCY	2.3 TF2	$4.46 PP	-
Icewind Dale: Enhanced Edition	0.4 TF2	$0.73 PP	-
Imperator: Rome Deluxe Edition	1.6 TF2	$3.16 PP	-
Imperator: Rome	1.2 TF2	$2.28 PP	-
In Sound Mind	0.5 TF2	$0.91 PP	-
Injustice 2 Legendary Edition	1.1 TF2	$2.21 PP	-
Injustice 2	0.9 TF2	$1.74 PP	-
Injustice: Gods Among Us - Ultimate Edition	0.7 TF2	$1.29 PP	-
Into the Breach	1.5 TF2	$2.91 PP	-
Into the Radius VR	3.3 TF2	$6.6 PP	-
Ion Fury	1.9 TF2	$3.74 PP	-
Iron Harvest	0.9 TF2	$1.83 PP	-
Jalopy	0.9 TF2	$1.81 PP	-
Job Simulator	6.2 TF2	$12.21 PP	-
Jurassic World Evolution 2	2.2 TF2	$4.4 PP	-
Jurassic World Evolution	0.7 TF2	$1.43 PP	-
Just Cause 2	0.4 TF2	$0.87 PP	-
Just Cause 3 XXL Edition	1.2 TF2	$2.34 PP	-
Just Cause 4: Complete Edition	1.9 TF2	$3.82 PP	-
KartKraft	4.2 TF2	$8.39 PP	-
Katamari Damacy REROLL	1.1 TF2	$2.08 PP	-
Katana ZERO	1.5 TF2	$2.88 PP	-
Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes	2.7 TF2	$5.42 PP	-
Kerbal Space Program	1.3 TF2	$2.58 PP	-
Killer Instinct	8.7 TF2	$17.3 PP	-
Killing Floor 2	0.7 TF2	$1.38 PP	-
Killing Floor	0.9 TF2	$1.69 PP	-
Kingdom Come: Deliverance	1.6 TF2	$3.09 PP	-
Kingdom: Two Crowns	1.1 TF2	$2.09 PP	-
Kitaria Fables	0.4 TF2	$0.75 PP	-
LEGO Batman 3: Beyond Gotham Premium Edition	0.5 TF2	$0.9 PP	-
LEGO Batman Trilogy	1.4 TF2	$2.74 PP	-
LEGO Harry Potter: Years 5-7	0.6 TF2	$1.2 PP	-
LEGO Star Wars III: The Clone Wars	0.6 TF2	$1.16 PP	-
LEGO Star Wars: The Complete Saga	0.6 TF2	$1.16 PP	-
LEGO® City Undercover	1.0 TF2	$1.93 PP	-
LEGO® DC Super-Villains Deluxe Edition	1.9 TF2	$3.77 PP	-
LEGO® DC Super-Villains	0.5 TF2	$0.95 PP	-
LEGO® Jurassic World™	0.4 TF2	$0.88 PP	-
LEGO® MARVEL's Avengers	0.4 TF2	$0.78 PP	-
LEGO® Marvel Super Heroes 2 Deluxe Edition	1.1 TF2	$2.15 PP	-
LEGO® Marvel Super Heroes 2	0.7 TF2	$1.32 PP	-
LEGO® Star Wars™: The Force Awakens - Deluxe Edition	1.1 TF2	$2.23 PP	-
LEGO® Star Wars™: The Force Awakens	0.5 TF2	$0.98 PP	-
LEGO® Worlds	1.0 TF2	$1.96 PP	-
LIMBO	0.4 TF2	$0.71 PP	-
Labyrinth City: Pierre the Maze Detective	0.7 TF2	$1.45 PP	-
Labyrinthine	1.8 TF2	$3.54 PP	-
Lake	0.6 TF2	$1.11 PP	-
Last Oasis	0.8 TF2	$1.67 PP	-
Layers of Fear 2	6.2 TF2	$12.22 PP	-
Layers of Fear	0.6 TF2	$1.11 PP	-
Legion TD 2	2.3 TF2	$4.56 PP	-
Len's Island	4.1 TF2	$8.16 PP	-
Lethal League Blaze	2.4 TF2	$4.78 PP	-
Lethal League	1.5 TF2	$2.97 PP	-
Library Of Ruina	3.2 TF2	$6.36 PP	-
Life is Feudal: Your Own	0.7 TF2	$1.32 PP	-
Life is Strange 2 Complete Season	0.7 TF2	$1.43 PP	-
Little Misfortune	2.2 TF2	$4.42 PP	-
Little Nightmares Complete Edition	1.6 TF2	$3.09 PP	-
Little Nightmares	0.9 TF2	$1.79 PP	-
Lobotomy Corporation Monster Management Simulation	5.0 TF2	$9.88 PP	-
Loot River	2.9 TF2	$5.76 PP	-
Lords of the Fallen Game of the Year Edition	0.8 TF2	$1.61 PP	-
Lost Ember	1.4 TF2	$2.73 PP	-
Luck be a Landlord	1.0 TF2	$1.91 PP	-
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN	1.2 TF2	$2.41 PP	-
METAL GEAR SOLID V: The Definitive Experience	2.0 TF2	$3.99 PP	-
MONSTER HUNTER RISE	4.2 TF2	$8.41 PP	-
MORTAL KOMBAT 11	1.6 TF2	$3.07 PP	-
MX vs ATV Reflex	0.6 TF2	$1.11 PP	-
Mad Max	1.1 TF2	$2.22 PP	-
Mafia II: Definitive Edition	3.0 TF2	$5.99 PP	-
Mafia III: Definitive Edition	2.1 TF2	$4.23 PP	-
Mafia: Definitive Edition	2.2 TF2	$4.3 PP	-
Magicka 2 - Deluxe Edition	1.0 TF2	$1.9 PP	-
Magicka 2	0.6 TF2	$1.16 PP	-
Magicka	0.4 TF2	$0.71 PP	-
Maneater	0.8 TF2	$1.6 PP	-
Mars Horizon	0.8 TF2	$1.52 PP	-
Marvel vs. Capcom: Infinite - Deluxe Edition	2.8 TF2	$5.56 PP	-
Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition	6.2 TF2	$12.21 PP	-
Max Payne 2: The Fall of Max Payne	0.7 TF2	$1.48 PP	-
Max Payne	1.0 TF2	$2.02 PP	-
MechWarrior 5: Mercenaries	2.5 TF2	$4.97 PP	-
Mega Man Legacy Collection 2	0.6 TF2	$1.25 PP	-
Mega Man Legacy Collection	0.4 TF2	$0.79 PP	-
Men of War: Assault Squad 2 - Deluxe Edition	0.8 TF2	$1.67 PP	-
Men of War: Assault Squad 2 War Chest Edition	0.8 TF2	$1.64 PP	-
Men of War: Assault Squad 2	0.8 TF2	$1.64 PP	-
Messenger	0.9 TF2	$1.72 PP	-
Metro 2033 Redux	0.7 TF2	$1.48 PP	-
Metro Exodus	1.7 TF2	$3.46 PP	-
Metro Redux Bundle	0.9 TF2	$1.78 PP	-
Metro: Last Light Redux	1.1 TF2	$2.14 PP	-
Middle-earth: Shadow of Mordor Game of the Year Edition	1.0 TF2	$2.02 PP	-
Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™	0.7 TF2	$1.48 PP	-
Middleearth Shadow of War Definitive Edition	1.2 TF2	$2.34 PP	-
Mirror's Edge	3.8 TF2	$7.56 PP	-
Miscreated	1.5 TF2	$2.91 PP	-
Monster Hunter: World	3.4 TF2	$6.8 PP	-
Monster Sanctuary	0.6 TF2	$1.25 PP	-
Monster Train	0.5 TF2	$0.98 PP	-
Moonlighter	0.4 TF2	$0.81 PP	-
Moons of Madness	1.7 TF2	$3.43 PP	-
Mordhau	1.8 TF2	$3.56 PP	-
Mortal Kombat X	0.7 TF2	$1.32 PP	-
Mortal Shell	1.4 TF2	$2.72 PP	-
Motorcycle Mechanic Simulator 2021	1.1 TF2	$2.23 PP	-
Motorsport Manager	1.4 TF2	$2.73 PP	-
Move or Die	0.7 TF2	$1.44 PP	-
Moving Out	1.0 TF2	$1.9 PP	-
Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden - Deluxe Edition	1.7 TF2	$3.28 PP	-
Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden	1.8 TF2	$3.53 PP	-
My Friend Pedro	0.9 TF2	$1.76 PP	-
My Time At Portia	1.1 TF2	$2.11 PP	-
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 4 Road to Boruto	3.5 TF2	$6.89 PP	-
NASCAR Heat 5 - Ultimate Edition	0.6 TF2	$1.16 PP	-
Naruto Shippuden: Ultimate Ninja Storm 4	2.0 TF2	$3.9 PP	-
Naruto to Boruto Shinobi Striker - Deluxe Edition	1.6 TF2	$3.1 PP	-
Naruto to Boruto Shinobi Striker	0.4 TF2	$0.82 PP	-
Necromunda: Hired Gun	1.0 TF2	$1.97 PP	-
Neon Abyss	0.5 TF2	$0.94 PP	-
Neverwinter Nights: Complete Adventures	3.7 TF2	$7.26 PP	-
Nine Parchments	2.1 TF2	$4.22 PP	-
No Straight Roads: Encore Edition	1.3 TF2	$2.63 PP	-
No Time to Relax	3.7 TF2	$7.29 PP	-
Northgard	1.2 TF2	$2.38 PP	-
Not For Broadcast	0.6 TF2	$1.28 PP	-
ONE PIECE BURNING BLOOD	0.7 TF2	$1.44 PP	-
ONE PIECE PIRATE WARRIORS 3 Gold Edition	1.1 TF2	$2.12 PP	-
One Step From Eden	1.0 TF2	$1.98 PP	-
Opus Magnum	1.1 TF2	$2.09 PP	-
Orcs Must Die! 3	1.9 TF2	$3.81 PP	-
Outlast 2	0.8 TF2	$1.61 PP	-
Outward	1.5 TF2	$2.91 PP	-
Overcooked	0.8 TF2	$1.58 PP	-
Overcooked! 2	1.5 TF2	$2.91 PP	-
Overgrowth	0.8 TF2	$1.54 PP	-
PC Building Simulator	0.7 TF2	$1.41 PP	-
Paint the Town Red	3.6 TF2	$7.1 PP	-
Parkitect	6.5 TF2	$12.85 PP	-
Pathfinder: Kingmaker - Enhanced Plus Edition	0.6 TF2	$1.24 PP	-
Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous	1.4 TF2	$2.79 PP	-
Pathologic 2	0.5 TF2	$1.03 PP	-
Pathologic Classic HD	0.6 TF2	$1.13 PP	-
Per Aspera	0.7 TF2	$1.37 PP	-
Pikuniku	0.7 TF2	$1.48 PP	-
Pillars of Eternity Definitive Edition	1.4 TF2	$2.87 PP	-
Pillars of Eternity II: Deadfire	1.0 TF2	$2.02 PP	-
Pistol Whip	6.2 TF2	$12.21 PP	-
Plague Inc: Evolved	1.6 TF2	$3.2 PP	-
Planescape: Torment: Enhanced Edition	0.4 TF2	$0.76 PP	-
Planet Coaster	1.8 TF2	$3.63 PP	-
Planet Zoo	2.1 TF2	$4.17 PP	-
Planetary Annihilation: TITANS	7.1 TF2	$14.13 PP	-
Power Rangers: Battle for the Grid	2.7 TF2	$5.42 PP	-
PowerBeatsVR	1.0 TF2	$1.97 PP	-
PowerSlave Exhumed	1.4 TF2	$2.74 PP	-
Praey for the Gods	0.5 TF2	$0.9 PP	-
Prehistoric Kingdom	1.3 TF2	$2.51 PP	-
Prison Architect	0.4 TF2	$0.88 PP	-
Pro Cycling Manager 2019	1.3 TF2	$2.58 PP	-
Project Hospital	2.4 TF2	$4.72 PP	-
Project Wingman	1.6 TF2	$3.25 PP	-
Project Winter	1.5 TF2	$2.88 PP	-
Propnight	0.7 TF2	$1.37 PP	-
Pumpkin Jack	0.4 TF2	$0.83 PP	-
Quantum Break	2.6 TF2	$5.14 PP	-
RESIDENT EVIL 3	2.4 TF2	$4.76 PP	-
RUGBY 20	1.3 TF2	$2.55 PP	-
RUINER	0.5 TF2	$1.04 PP	-
RWBY: Grimm Eclipse	3.7 TF2	$7.42 PP	-
Ragnaröck	3.5 TF2	$6.84 PP	-
Railway Empire	0.4 TF2	$0.8 PP	-
Rain World	0.9 TF2 Refer To My Other Thread	$1.69 PP Refer To My Other Thread	Must-Play Metroidvanias Bundle
Raw Data	1.1 TF2	$2.14 PP	-
Re:Legend	1.0 TF2	$1.94 PP	-
Red Matter	4.5 TF2	$8.86 PP	-
Remnant: From the Ashes - Complete Edition	2.2 TF2 Refer To My Other Thread	$4.43 PP Refer To My Other Thread	Humble Choice (Jun 2023)
Resident Evil / biohazard HD REMASTER	1.1 TF2	$2.09 PP	-
Resident Evil 0 / biohazard 0 HD Remaster	1.2 TF2	$2.31 PP	-
Resident Evil 5 GOLD Edition	1.5 TF2	$3.0 PP	-
Resident Evil 5	1.0 TF2	$1.95 PP	-
Resident Evil 6	1.4 TF2	$2.78 PP	-
Resident Evil: Revelations 2 Deluxe Edition	2.4 TF2	$4.84 PP	-
Resident Evil: Revelations	1.0 TF2	$1.93 PP	-
Retro Machina	0.5 TF2	$1.01 PP	-
Risen 3 - Complete Edition	1.0 TF2	$2.02 PP	-
Risen	0.6 TF2	$1.25 PP	-
Rising Storm 2: Vietnam	0.7 TF2	$1.33 PP	-
River City Girls	1.4 TF2	$2.83 PP	-
Roboquest	0.5 TF2	$1.05 PP	-
Rollercoaster Tycoon 2: Triple Thrill Pack	1.6 TF2	$3.16 PP	-
Rubber Bandits	0.8 TF2	$1.5 PP	-
Ryse: Son of Rome	1.7 TF2	$3.32 PP	-
SCP: Pandemic	2.4 TF2	$4.85 PP	-
SCUM	3.5 TF2	$6.86 PP	-
SOMA	3.3 TF2	$6.51 PP	-
SONG OF HORROR Complete Edition	1.0 TF2	$1.92 PP	-
STAR WARS® THE FORCE UNLEASHED II	0.9 TF2	$1.69 PP	-
STAR WARS®: Knights of the Old Republic™ II - The Sith Lords™	0.4 TF2	$0.76 PP	-
STAR WARS™: Squadrons	1.6 TF2	$3.14 PP	-
SUPERHOT VR	2.3 TF2	$4.46 PP	-
SUPERHOT	0.8 TF2	$1.57 PP	-
SUPERHOT: MIND CONTROL DELETE	0.5 TF2	$0.98 PP	-
Saint's Row The Third Remastered	2.4 TF2	$4.81 PP	-
Saints Row 2	0.8 TF2	$1.5 PP	-
Saints Row IV Game of the Century Edition	1.3 TF2	$2.6 PP	-
Saints Row IV	1.1 TF2	$2.23 PP	-
Saints Row the Third - The Full Package	1.0 TF2	$1.91 PP	-
Saints Row: The Third	0.7 TF2	$1.46 PP	-
Salt and Sanctuary	1.1 TF2	$2.14 PP	-
Sanctum 2	0.5 TF2	$1.05 PP	-
Satisfactory	6.8 TF2	$13.49 PP	-
Scarlet Nexus	2.9 TF2	$5.75 PP	-
Scribblenauts Unlimited	0.4 TF2	$0.76 PP	-
Secret Neighbor	0.9 TF2	$1.74 PP	-
Serious Sam 2	0.8 TF2	$1.57 PP	-
Serious Sam 3: BFE	1.0 TF2	$1.95 PP	-
Serious Sam 4	4.7 TF2	$9.3 PP	-
Serious Sam: Siberian Mayhem	2.3 TF2	$4.47 PP	-
Severed Steel	1.7 TF2	$3.46 PP	-
Shadow Man Remastered	1.1 TF2	$2.11 PP	-
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun	0.4 TF2	$0.85 PP	-
Shadow Warrior 2	0.9 TF2	$1.74 PP	-
Shadow of the Tomb Raider	3.1 TF2	$6.15 PP	-
Shenmue 3	1.3 TF2	$2.55 PP	-
Shenmue I & II	1.3 TF2	$2.55 PP	-
Shining Resonance Refrain	0.4 TF2	$0.81 PP	-
Sid Meier's Civilization V	0.6 TF2	$1.25 PP	-
Sid Meier's Civilization VI : Platinum Edition	3.1 TF2	$6.22 PP	-
Sid Meier's Civilization VI	0.7 TF2	$1.43 PP	-
Sid Meier's Civilization® V: The Complete Edition	1.9 TF2	$3.71 PP	-
Sid Meiers Civilization IV: The Complete Edition	0.8 TF2	$1.5 PP	-
Siege of Centauri	0.6 TF2	$1.15 PP	-
SimCasino	1.3 TF2	$2.54 PP	-
SimplePlanes	2.0 TF2	$3.89 PP	-
Skullgirls 2nd Encore	1.8 TF2	$3.62 PP	-
Slap City	1.1 TF2	$2.23 PP	-
Slay the Spire	3.1 TF2	$6.22 PP	-
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition	0.9 TF2	$1.81 PP	-
Slime Rancher	1.9 TF2	$3.8 PP	-
Sniper Elite 3	0.9 TF2	$1.87 PP	-
Sniper Elite 4	1.4 TF2	$2.69 PP	-
Sniper Elite V2 Remastered	1.4 TF2	$2.86 PP	-
Sniper Elite V2	1.0 TF2	$2.0 PP	-
Sniper Ghost Warrior 3	0.8 TF2	$1.58 PP	-
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts	0.9 TF2	$1.85 PP	-
Sonic Adventure DX	0.7 TF2	$1.39 PP	-
Sonic Adventure™ 2	1.5 TF2	$2.91 PP	-
Sonic Mania	1.5 TF2	$3.06 PP	-
Soul Calibur VI	1.6 TF2	$3.2 PP	-
Source of Madness	0.6 TF2	$1.12 PP	-
Space Engineers	2.6 TF2	$5.24 PP	-
Space Haven	0.6 TF2	$1.13 PP	-
Spec Ops: The Line	0.9 TF2	$1.79 PP	-
SpeedRunners	0.5 TF2	$1.02 PP	-
Spelunky	1.1 TF2	$2.22 PP	-
Spirit Of The Island	1.5 TF2	$2.88 PP	-
SpongeBob SquarePants: Battle for Bikini Bottom - Rehydrated	1.1 TF2	$2.13 PP	-
Spyro™ Reignited Trilogy	4.8 TF2	$9.55 PP	-
Star Renegades	2.9 TF2	$5.82 PP	-
Star Trek: Bridge Crew	4.3 TF2	$8.55 PP	-
Star Wars: Battlefront 2 (Classic, 2005)	0.4 TF2	$0.84 PP	-
Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic	0.4 TF2	$0.76 PP	-
Star Wars® Empire at War™: Gold Pack	1.1 TF2	$2.15 PP	-
Star Wars®: Jedi Knight®: Jedi Academy™	0.4 TF2	$0.73 PP	-
Starbound	1.4 TF2	$2.83 PP	-
State of Decay 2: Juggernaut Edition	3.1 TF2	$6.21 PP	-
Staxel	0.6 TF2	$1.11 PP	-
SteamWorld Quest: Hand of Gilgamech	0.5 TF2	$1.06 PP	-
Steel Division: Normandy 44	2.2 TF2	$4.36 PP	-
Stellaris Galaxy Edition	4.9 TF2	$9.61 PP	-
Stellaris	4.1 TF2	$8.07 PP	-
Stellaris: Lithoids Species Pack	1.0 TF2	$1.95 PP	-
Stick Fight: The Game	0.6 TF2	$1.27 PP	-
Strange Brigade	0.5 TF2	$0.9 PP	-
Strategic Command WWII: World at War	2.1 TF2	$4.21 PP	-
Street Fighter 30th Anniversary Collection	2.4 TF2	$4.77 PP	-
Stronghold 2: Steam Edition	1.9 TF2	$3.73 PP	-
Stronghold Crusader 2	1.0 TF2	$1.89 PP	-
Stronghold Crusader HD	0.6 TF2	$1.16 PP	-
Stronghold Legends: Steam Edition	0.9 TF2	$1.74 PP	-
Styx: Shards Of Darkness	0.9 TF2	$1.74 PP	-
Subnautica	3.5 TF2	$7.0 PP	-
Summer in Mara	0.5 TF2	$1.04 PP	-
Sunless Sea	0.9 TF2	$1.85 PP	-
Sunless Skies	1.1 TF2	$2.18 PP	-
Sunset Overdrive	1.8 TF2	$3.56 PP	-
Super Meat Boy	0.5 TF2	$1.07 PP	-
Superliminal	2.0 TF2	$3.88 PP	-
Supraland Six Inches Under	1.1 TF2	$2.23 PP	-
Supreme Commander 2	0.8 TF2	$1.58 PP	-
Surgeon Simulator: Experience Reality	1.7 TF2	$3.44 PP	-
Survive the Nights	0.8 TF2	$1.63 PP	-
Surviving the Aftermath	0.7 TF2	$1.4 PP	-
Sword Art Online Fatal Bullet - Complete Edition	3.2 TF2	$6.32 PP	-
Sword Art Online Hollow Realization Deluxe Edition	1.5 TF2	$2.97 PP	-
Syberia: The World Before	1.1 TF2	$2.25 PP	-
Synth Riders	3.5 TF2	$6.87 PP	-
TEKKEN 7	1.4 TF2	$2.74 PP	-
TT Isle of Man Ride on the Edge 2	1.7 TF2	$3.38 PP	-
Tales from the Borderlands	3.8 TF2	$7.49 PP	-
Tales of Berseria	1.1 TF2	$2.09 PP	-
Talisman: Digital Edition	0.4 TF2	$0.87 PP	-
Tank Mechanic Simulator	1.1 TF2	$2.14 PP	-
Telltale Batman Shadows Edition	1.4 TF2	$2.83 PP	-
Terraforming Mars	0.6 TF2	$1.28 PP	-
Terraria	2.2 TF2	$4.31 PP	-
The Ascent	1.1 TF2	$2.1 PP	-
The Battle of Polytopia	0.5 TF2	$0.9 PP	-
The Beast Inside	0.4 TF2	$0.76 PP	-
The Blackout Club	0.6 TF2	$1.11 PP	-
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Little Hope	2.1 TF2	$4.21 PP	-
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan	2.2 TF2	$4.37 PP	-
The Darkness II	0.6 TF2	$1.09 PP	-
The Dungeon Of Naheulbeuk: The Amulet Of Chaos	0.8 TF2	$1.5 PP	-
The Escapists 2	1.0 TF2	$1.97 PP	-
The Escapists	0.5 TF2	$1.08 PP	-
The Henry Stickmin Collection	0.7 TF2	$1.43 PP	-
The Incredible Adventures of Van Helsing Final Cut	1.3 TF2	$2.64 PP	-
The Intruder	2.1 TF2	$4.23 PP	-
The Jackbox Party Pack 2	2.0 TF2	$3.96 PP	-
The Jackbox Party Pack 3	2.8 TF2	$5.62 PP	-
The Jackbox Party Pack 4	2.1 TF2	$4.07 PP	-
The Jackbox Party Pack 5	3.1 TF2	$6.06 PP	-
The Jackbox Party Pack	1.1 TF2	$2.14 PP	-
The LEGO Movie 2 Videogame	0.4 TF2	$0.79 PP	-
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky	1.6 TF2	$3.23 PP	-
The Long Dark	2.6 TF2	$5.21 PP	-
The Long Dark: Survival Edition	0.5 TF2	$0.9 PP	-
The Mortuary Assistant	2.4 TF2	$4.77 PP	-
The Red Solstice 2: Survivors	0.4 TF2	$0.78 PP	-
The Surge 2	0.9 TF2	$1.78 PP	-
The Survivalists	0.8 TF2	$1.53 PP	-
The Talos Principle	1.5 TF2	$2.97 PP	-
The Walking Dead: The Final Season	0.7 TF2	$1.43 PP	-
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series	2.4 TF2	$4.75 PP	-
The Witness	3.9 TF2	$7.67 PP	-
The Wolf Among Us	1.2 TF2	$2.42 PP	-
This Is the Police	0.5 TF2	$1.01 PP	-
This War of Mine: Complete Edition	0.7 TF2	$1.41 PP	-
Titan Quest Anniversary Edition	0.6 TF2	$1.16 PP	-
Tomb Raider	1.5 TF2	$2.88 PP	-
Torchlight II	0.7 TF2	$1.38 PP	-
Total Tank Simulator	0.5 TF2	$0.95 PP	-
Total War Shogun 2 Collection	1.7 TF2	$3.46 PP	-
Total War: ATTILA	2.7 TF2	$5.34 PP	-
Total War: Empire - Definitive Edition	1.8 TF2	$3.54 PP	-
Total War: Napoleon - Definitive Edition	1.8 TF2	$3.56 PP	-
Total War: Rome II - Emperor Edition	2.7 TF2	$5.38 PP	-
Total War™: WARHAMMER®	2.9 TF2	$5.76 PP	-
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator	2.8 TF2	$5.56 PP	-
Totally Reliable Delivery Service	0.6 TF2	$1.23 PP	-
Tour de France 2020	0.6 TF2	$1.13 PP	-
Townscaper	0.6 TF2	$1.19 PP	-
Trailmakers Deluxe Edition	1.4 TF2	$2.74 PP	-
Train Simulator Classic	0.8 TF2	$1.58 PP	-
Tribes of Midgard	0.8 TF2	$1.53 PP	-
Tricky Towers	2.0 TF2	$4.0 PP	-
Trine 2: Complete Story	1.2 TF2	$2.28 PP	-
Trine 4: The Nightmare Prince	1.2 TF2	$2.37 PP	-
Trine Ultimate Collection	5.1 TF2	$10.15 PP	-
Tropico 5 – Complete Collection	0.8 TF2	$1.59 PP	-
Tropico 6 El-Prez Edition	2.3 TF2	$4.54 PP	-
Tropico 6	2.3 TF2	$4.47 PP	-
Turmoil	0.5 TF2	$0.96 PP	-
Turok	0.4 TF2	$0.75 PP	-
Tyranny - Gold Edition	0.7 TF2	$1.36 PP	-
Ultimate Chicken Horse	1.8 TF2	$3.56 PP	-
Ultimate Fishing Simulator	0.5 TF2	$0.91 PP	-
Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3	1.8 TF2	$3.59 PP	-
Ultra Street Fighter IV	0.6 TF2	$1.11 PP	-
Undertale	2.1 TF2	$4.2 PP	-
Universe Sandbox	4.8 TF2	$9.41 PP	-
Unrailed!	1.6 TF2	$3.07 PP	-
Until You Fall	0.7 TF2	$1.39 PP	-
VTOL VR	6.4 TF2	$12.66 PP	-
Vacation Simulator	5.2 TF2	$10.21 PP	-
Vagante	0.7 TF2	$1.33 PP	-
Valkyria Chronicles 4 Complete Edition	1.9 TF2	$3.76 PP	-
Valkyria Chronicles™	1.0 TF2	$1.97 PP	-
Vampyr	2.2 TF2	$4.34 PP	-
Verdun	0.4 TF2	$0.72 PP	-
Vertigo Remastered	0.4 TF2	$0.8 PP	-
Visage	2.9 TF2	$5.83 PP	-
Viscera Cleanup Detail	2.0 TF2	$4.05 PP	-
Void Bastards	0.7 TF2	$1.32 PP	-
Volcanoids	1.4 TF2	$2.82 PP	-
Vox Machinae	3.4 TF2	$6.7 PP	-
Wargame: Red Dragon	5.2 TF2	$10.22 PP	-
Wargroove	0.5 TF2	$0.91 PP	-
Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters	2.0 TF2	$3.89 PP	-
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Master Collection	1.5 TF2	$2.91 PP	-
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Grand Master Collection	2.3 TF2	$4.56 PP	-
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II: Retribution	0.8 TF2	$1.68 PP	-
Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War	0.7 TF2	$1.4 PP	-
Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Tyranids	1.4 TF2	$2.86 PP	-
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine Collection	3.1 TF2	$6.22 PP	-
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine	1.7 TF2	$3.28 PP	-
Warhammer: Chaosbane - Slayer Edition	0.9 TF2	$1.88 PP	-
Warhammer: End Times - Vermintide Collector's Edition	0.7 TF2	$1.36 PP	-
Warhammer: Vermintide 2 - Collector's Edition	1.6 TF2	$3.15 PP	-
Warhammer: Vermintide 2	0.7 TF2	$1.44 PP	-
Warhammer® 40,000™: Dawn of War® II	0.6 TF2	$1.25 PP	-
Warhammer® 40,000™: Dawn of War® III	1.8 TF2	$3.49 PP	-
Warpips	0.7 TF2	$1.48 PP	-
Wasteland 3	1.3 TF2	$2.6 PP	-
We Happy Few	0.9 TF2	$1.88 PP	-
We Need to Go Deeper	1.4 TF2	$2.87 PP	-
We Were Here Too	1.2 TF2	$2.38 PP	-
White Day : a labyrinth named school	0.6 TF2	$1.24 PP	-
Who's Your Daddy	1.9 TF2	$3.67 PP	-
Wingspan	1.2 TF2	$2.31 PP	-
Winkeltje: The Little Shop	1.1 TF2	$2.08 PP	-
Witch It	4.2 TF2	$8.22 PP	-
Wizard of Legend	1.8 TF2	$3.56 PP	-
World War Z: Aftermath	4.4 TF2	$8.62 PP	-
Worms W.M.D	1.2 TF2	$2.37 PP	-
X4: Foundations	8.3 TF2	$16.49 PP	-
X4: Split Vendetta	1.8 TF2	$3.56 PP	-
XCOM 2 Collection	1.4 TF2	$2.7 PP	-
XCOM 2	0.4 TF2	$0.76 PP	-
XCOM 2: Reinforcement Pack	0.4 TF2	$0.72 PP	-
XCOM: Enemy Unknown Complete Pack	0.8 TF2	$1.6 PP	-
XCOM: Enemy Unknown	0.7 TF2	$1.37 PP	-
XCOM: Ultimate Collection	1.3 TF2	$2.56 PP	-
Yakuza 0	2.4 TF2	$4.76 PP	-
Yakuza 3 Remastered	1.0 TF2	$2.07 PP	-
Yakuza Kiwami 2	4.5 TF2	$8.86 PP	-
Yakuza Kiwami	2.4 TF2	$4.68 PP	-
Yonder: The Cloud Catcher Chronicles	1.3 TF2	$2.66 PP	-
YouTubers Life	0.7 TF2	$1.42 PP	-
ZERO Sievert	5.3 TF2	$10.57 PP	-
Zenith MMO	2.2 TF2	$4.32 PP	-
Zero Caliber VR	4.3 TF2	$8.48 PP	-
Zombie Army 4: Dead War	1.8 TF2	$3.64 PP	-
Zombie Army Trilogy	0.5 TF2	$0.97 PP	-
biped	0.8 TF2	$1.61 PP	-
rFactor 2	4.8 TF2	$9.55 PP	-
while True: learn() Chief Technology Officer Edition	0.8 TF2	$1.57 PP	-

 
IGS Rep Page:
https://www.reddit.com/IGSRep/comments/ggsaik/fappidydats_igs_rep_page/
 
SteamTrades Rep Page (1000+):
https://www.steamtrades.com/use76561198097671494
 
GameTrade Rep Page:
https://www.reddit.com/GameTradeRep/comments/ggrz1y/fappidydats_gametrade_rep_page/?
 
SGSFlair Rep Page:
https://www.reddit.com/sgsflaicomments/ggag04/flair_profile_ufappidydat/

I'm from EU,so GAMES SHOULD work pretty much anywhere
NOT BUYING GAMES,ONLY TRADES - games for games or selling for paypal
No interest in TF2 keys,CSGO cases or ANY other virtual currency
BUYER covers the FEES (if outside EU,EU F&F only)
My Steam account so you don't offer me something I own
My Wishlist
My SGSRep
My IGSRep
Only looking for Steam games - so don't offer origin,uplay,rockstar,bnet or ANY other launcher
100% of my games keys are bought by me from official stores & I expect the same in return,so don't offer me keyshop games or game keys you got in a trade as I will decline
I retain the right to ask for proof of ownership for ANY game I want - just like YOU have the right to ask me the same
List of games I have:
Also have the Earthquake Relief bundle but reddit wont let me write all the games cause my topic would be too big - just ask
7 Billion Humans
8Doors Arum's Afterlife Adventure
10 Second Ninja X
60 Seconds!
112 Operator
140
198X
911 Operator
A Case Of Distrust
A Year Of Rain
Absolver
Aeolis Tournament
Age Of Wonders III
Ageless
Airport CEO
AI War 2
Alien Spidy
Aliens Vs Predator Collection
All You Can Eat
Almost There The Platformer
American Fugitive
Amnesia A Machine For Pigs + The Dark Descent (1 key for both games)
Amnesia Fortnight 2012
Amnesia Fortnight 2014
Amnesia Fortnight 2017
Amnesia Rebirth (X2)
Among Us (X2)
Ancestors The Humankind Odyssey (EU & Africa lock)
Aragami (X2)
Archamon
Army Men RTS
Attack Of The Earthlings
Automobilista
Aven Colony
Avernum 3 Ruined World
Azkend 2 The World Beneath
Back 4 Blood (EU region lock)
Backbone
Band Of Defenders
Banished
Baseball Riot
Batora Lost Haven
Battlestar Galactica Deadlock
Behind The Frame Finest Scenery NEW
Beholder 2
Bendy And The Dark Revival (X2)
Bendy And The Ink Machine
Betrayer (delisted)
Between The Stars (X2)
Beyond Eyes
Beyond The Wire
Bionic Commando
Bionic Commando Rearmed
Bird Of Light
Black Paradox
Blasphemous
Bloodstained Ritual Of The Night
Bohemian Killing
Book Of Demons
Bomber Crew Deluxe
Borderlands 3 + Director's Cut (ask about region locks)
Borderlands 3 Super Deluxe Edition NEW (ask about region locks)
Boreal Blade
Broken Age (X2)
Brothers A Tale Of Two Sons (X2)
Builder Simulator NEW
Butcher
Call Of Juarez
Call Of The Sea (X2)
Call To Arms Basic Edition
Call To Arms Gates Of Hell Ostfront
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
Chenso Club
Chernobylite Enhanced Edition
Cities In Motion 2
CivCity Rome
Clone Drone In The Danger Zone
Clouds & Sheep 2
Coffin Dodgers
Cook Serve Delicious 3
Company Of Heroes Complete Edition
Control Ultimate Edition
Corridor Z
Cosmic Osmo And The World Beyond The Mackerel
Crash Drive 3
Creatures Inc
Crookz The Big Heist
Crossbow Bloodnight
Crusader Kings Complete
Crying Suns
Dagon The Eldritch Box
Danger Scavenger
Day Of Infamy
Dead Age
Dead In Vinland
Deadly Premonition Director's Cut
Deadbeat Heroes (X2)
Dear Ester Landmark Edition
Death Stranding Director's Cut
Death Squared
Deep Dungeons Of Doom
Deep Sky Derelicts
Demon Turf
Deployment
Desert Child
Destiny 2 Beyond Light NEW
Diaries Of A Spaceport Janitor
Dicey Dungeons (X2)
Dimension Drifter
Distraint 2 + Soundtrack
Divekick
Dog Sled Saga
Double Fine Adventures Complete Series Deluxe
Downwell
Drawful 2
Draw Slasher
Dreadlands
Dread X Collection
Driftland The Magic Revival
Dry Downing
Duke Nukem Forever Collection
Dungeon Marathon
Dungeon Of The Endless
Dungeons 2
Dungeons 2 Complete
Dungeons 3
Dusk
Dwarfs!?
Eador Imperium
EarthX
Eastside Hockey Manager
ECHO
Edge Of Eternity
Effie
Elderborn
Eldest Souls
Elden Path Of The Forgotten
Embr
Emily Is Away
Empyrion Galactic Survival
Epic Manager
E.T. Armies Deluxe Edition
Etherborn (X2)
Euro Truck Simulator 2
Europa Universalis IV
Evergarden
Expeditions Viking
F1 2018 (delisted)
Family Man
Fantasy Blacksmith
Fantasy Versus
Farmer's Dynasty
Farming Simulator 17
FIA European Truck Racing
Figment (X2)
Finding Paradise
Fire Ungh's Quest
First Class Trouble
Five Dates
Fling To The Finish
Fluffy Horde
Fobia St. Dinfna Hotel
Forgive Me Father
Framed Collection (X2)
Friday the 13th: The Game
Fun With Ragdolls The Game
Fury Unleashed (X2)
Gang Beasts
Garage Bad Trip (X2)
Gas Guzzlers Extreme
Gas Station Simulator
Gauge
Generation Zero NEW
Ghostrunner
Giana Sisters Twisted Dreams + Rise Of The Owlverlord
Gloria Victis NEW
GNOG
Go Home Dinosaurs!
Goat Of Duty
Goetia (X2)
Going Under (X2)
Golden Light
Golf Gang
GoNNER
Grand Ages Medieval
Grand Pigeon's Duty
Greak Memories Of Azur
Gremlins Inc.
Grip Combat Racing + Cygon + Nyvoss + Terra + Vintek DLC (X2)
Guts And Glory (X2)
Hack'n'Slash
Haiku The Robot (X2)
Hamilton's Great Adventure
Hammerfight
Headlander
Heal
Hell Let Loose
Hellblade Senua's Sacrifice
Hello Neighbor
Hellbound
Hero Defense
Hero's Hour (EU region lock)
Hexologic
Hidden & Dangerous Action Pack
Hidden & Dangerous 2 Courage Under Fire
Hive Jump (X2)
Hiveswap Act 2
Hiveswap Friend Sim (X2)
Hollow Knight
Homeworld Deserts Of Kharak
Hotshot Racing
Hot Tin Roof The Cat That Wore A Fedora
Hot Wheels Unleashed
Hover (X2)
Human Resource Machine
Hurtworld
I Am Bread
I Am Not A Monster First Contact
Ice Lakes
If Found...
Ikenfell
Impact Winter (delisted)
In Between
Industria
Inexistence Rebirth
Infinite Air With Mark McMorris (delisted)
Influent
Inmost
Interplanetary Enhanced Edition
Intruder
Iron Danger
Iron Harvest
Jack Axe
Jalopy
Jet Set Knights
Juanito Arcade Mayhem
Jump Stars
Jurassic World Evolution
Just Die Already
KartKraft
Kathy Rain Directors Cut
Keep Talking And Nobody Explodes (X2)
Killing Floor 2 Digital Deluxe NEW
Kill To Collect
Kingdom Classic (X2)
Kingdom New Lands
Kingdoms Of Amalur Re-Reckoning Fate Edition
King Oddball
Labyrinthine
Last Oasis
Last Tide
Lawn Mowing Simulator
Lead And Gold Gangs Of Wild West (X2)
Legacy Of Dorn Herald Of Oblivion (delisted)
Legend Of Keepers Career Of A Dungeon Master
Leisure Suit Larry Retro Bundle (1 to 7)
Lethal League Blaze
Liberated (GOG key)
Lifeless Planet Premium Edition
Light Fall
Little Big Workshop
Lone Fungus
Lost Planet Complete Pack
Lost Ruins
Lust For Darkness
Lust From Beyond M Edition
Magicka
Magrunner Dark Pulse
Maid Of Sker
Main Assembly (X2)
Mars Horizon
Masquerade The Baubles Of Doom
Max Payne 3 (Rockstar Launcher)
Mega Man Legacy Collection
Midnight Ghost Hunt NEW
Midnight Protocol
Mind Scanners
Mini Metro
Miscreated (X2)
Monster Crown
Moon Hunters
Morbid The Seven Acolytes
Motorcycle Mechanic Simulator 2021
Motorsport Manager
Mount And Blade Warband
My Lovely Daughter
Naruto To Boruto Shinobi Striker
Nascar Heat 5 Ultimate
Nebuchadnezzar
NecroVisioN Lost Company
NecroWorn
Neighbours Back From Hell
Neo Cab
Neon Abyss
NeuroVoider
Neverout
Nickelodeon All Star Brawl (X2)
Ninjin Clash Of Carrots
No Time To Relax
Northgard NEW
Not Tonight
Obduction
Observation
Octahedron
Odyssey The Story Of Science
Of Orcs And Men
Old School Musical
OlliOlli World Rad Edition
On Rusty Trails
One Finger Death Punch 2
Onikira Demon Killer
Operation Tango NEW
Orbital Racer
Orcs Must Die 2 Complete
Original War
Orwell Ignorance Is Strength
Out Of Reach Treasure Royal
Overlord II
Overpass
Override Mech City Brawl
Oxenfree
Pacer
Paint The Town Red
Paper Fire Rookie
Paradise Lost
Path Of Giants
Paw Paw Paw
Payday 2 + Big Mike mask
Peaky Blinders Mastermind (delisted)
Penarium
People Playground (X2)
Perfect Heist 2
PGA Tour 2K21 (X2)
Phoenix Point Year One Edition
Pikuniku
Pine
Pinstripe
Pixplode
Plane Mechanic Simulator
Poöf
Popup Dungeon
Post Void
Pound Of Ground (X2)
PowerSlave Exhumed
Prehistoric Kingdom
Primal Carnage Extinction (X2)
Project Cars GOTY (delisted)
Project Hospital
Project Warlock
Propnight
Pulsar The Lost Colony NEW
Pumped BMX+
Punch Club
Purrfect Date
Quest Of Dungeons
RAD (X2)
Radio Commander
Rad Rodgers Radical Edition
Railroad Tycoon 2
Railroad Tycoon 3
Railway Empire
Raji An Ancient Epic
Rebel Cops
Rec Center Tycoon
Red Faction Armageddon
Red Solstice 2 Survivors
Redout Enhanced Edition
Re-Legion
Remothered Broken Porcelain
Resident Evil 4
Resident Evil Revelations (X2)
Resident Evil Revelations 2 Deluxe Edition
Retimed
Retrowave
Reventure
Revita
Ring Of Pain
Rings Of Saturn
Riot Civil Unrest
Rise Of Industry
Rise Of Insanity
Riven The Sequel To MYST
Roarr! The Adventures Of Rampage Rex
Roboquest
Rogue Heroes Ruins Of Tasos
Rogue Lords
Rogue Stormers
Rover Mechanic Simulator
RPG Maker VX
Rustler
Sable
Salt And Sanctuary
Satellite Reign
Satisfactory
Saturday Morning RPG
Say No! More
SCP 5K
SCUM (X2)
ScourgeBringer
Serious Sam 2
Serious Sam BFE (X2)
Serious Sam Classics Revolution
Serious Sam Double D XXL
Serious Sam HD The First & Second Encounter (1 key for both)
Serious Sam HD The Second Encounter Legend Of The Beast
Serious Sam HD The Second Encounter Serious 8
Serious Sam Kamikaze Attack
Serious Sam The Random Encounter
Serious Sam Bogus Detour
Shadow Tactics Aiko's Choice
Shady Part Of Me
She Remembered Caterpillars
She Will Punish Them
Shing!
Shock Troopers
Shogun's Empire Hex Commander
Shuyan Saga
Sid Meier's Civilization VI
Sid Meier's Railroads
Simulacra Collection
Skeletal Avenger
Skullgirls 2nd Encore
Skully
Slime Rancher
Slinger VR
Smoke And Sacrifice (X2)
Sniper Elite V2 Remastered
Sniper Elite 4 Deluxe + Season Pass
SOMA
Song Of Iron
Soulblight
Spacebase DF-9
Space Hulk Ascension (delisted)
Sparkle 2
Sparkle Unleashed
Spellcaster University
Spelunx And The Caves Of Mr. Seudo
Spiritfarer Farewell Edition NEW
Stacking
Starsand (X2)
Star Wars Jedi Knight Jedi Academy
Star Wars Knights Of The Old Republic
Stasis
State Of Decay 2 Juggernaut Edition
State Of Mind
Steel Rats
Stick Fight The Game (X3)
Stories Untold
Streets Of Fury EX
Strider (X2)
Struggling
Stubbs The Zombie
Styx Shards Of Darkness
Submerged Hidden Depths
Suchart Genius Artist Simulator
Super Indie Carts
Super Magbot
Supraland
SurrounDead (X2)
Surviving The Aftermath
Suzerain
Swag And Sorcery
Sword Legacy Omen
Swords And Soldiers 2 Shawarmageddon
Swords And Souls Neverseen (X2)
Syberia II
Syberia 3 Deluxe Edition
Syberia The World Before
Syndrome
System Shock Enhanced Edition
Table Manners The Physics-Based Dating Game
Tabletop Playground
Tacoma
Take On Helicopters
Tales From Candlekeep Tomb Of Annihilation (delisted)
Tales Of Monkey Island Complete
Talisman Digital Edition + City,Frostmarch,Sacred Pool (trading only as a bundle)
Talisman Origins
Tank Mechanic Simulator
Telefrag VR
Teleglitch Die More Edition
Tennis In The Face
Tennis World Tour (X2)
Tesla Force
Tesla Vs Lovecraft
Tharsis (X2)
The Amazing American Circus
The Ambassador Fractured Timelines
The Adventure Pals
The Battle Of Polytopia Moonrise Deluxe
The Blackout Club
The Citadel
The Count Lucador
The Free Ones (delisted)
The Golf Club 2019 featuring PGA Tour
theHunter Call Of The Wild (X3)
The Invisible Hand NEW
The Journey Down Chapter Three
The King Of Fighters 2002 Unlimited Match
The Last Blade
The Life And Suffering Of Sir Brante
The Long Dark Survival Edition (X2)
The Manhole Masterpiece Edition
The Mims Beginning
The Mortuary Assistant
The Night Of The Rabbit
The Serpent Rogue
The Signifier Director's Cut
The Textorcist The Story of Ray Bibbia (X2)
The Uncertain Last Quiet Day (X2)
The USB Stick Found In The Grass
The Walking Dead Season 1 + 400 Days
The Wild Eight (X2)
They Bleed Pixels
Think Of The Children
This War Of Mine
Thronebreaker The Witcher Tales
THOTH
Through The Darkest Of Times
Timeshift
Time Recoil
Titan Quest Anniversary
Toejam & Earl Back In The Groove
TOEM
Tohu
Tools Up
Tooth And Tail (X2)
Torchlight (X2)
Total Tank Simulator
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
Toto Temple Deluxe
Tower Of Time (X2)
Tower Unite
Townscaper (X2)
Townsmen A Kingdom Rebuilt
Toybox Turbos
Tracks The Train Set Game
Train Station Renovation
Treasure Hunter Simulator (X2)
Tropico 4
True Fear Forsaken Souls Part 1
Tyranny Deluxe Edition
Unexplored
Unloved
Unmetal
Unshaded
Vambrace Cold Soul
Vane
Velocibox
Verdun
Vikings Wolves Of Midgard
Visage
Volcanoids (X2)
V Rally 4
Wanderlust Travel Stories (GOG key)
Warhammer 40K Chaos Gate Daemonhunters NEW
Warhammer End Times Vermintide
Warhammer Vermintide 2 NEW
Warlock Master Of The Arcane
Warpips
Warsaw
Wasteland 2 Director's Cut
We Are The Dwarves
We Should Talk
Western Press
We Were Here Together
When Ski Lifts Go Wrong
Where The Water Tastes Like Wine
While True: Learn() Chief Technology Officer Edition
White Day: A Labyrinth Named School
Windjammers 2 NEW
Wooden Sen'SeY
Worms Rumble + Legends DLC
Wrath Aeon Of Ruin (X2)
XCOM Complete Pack
Xenoraid The First Space War
X Morph Defense + European Assault + Last Bastion + Survival Of The Fittest (1 key for all)
XIII Classic
Xuan-Yuan Sword The Gate Of Firmament
Yet Another Zombie Defense HD
Ylands Exploration Pack
Yoku's Island Express
Yooka-Laylee And The Impossible Lair
Zack 2 Celestine's Map
ZIC Zombies In City
Zombie Army Trilogy

I'm from EU,so GAMES SHOULD work pretty much anywhere
NOT BUYING GAMES,ONLY TRADES - games for games or selling for paypal
No interest in TF2 keys,CSGO cases or ANY other virtual currency
BUYER covers the FEES (if outside EU,EU F&F only)
My Steam account so you don't offer me something I own
My Wishlist
My SGSRep
My IGSRep
Only looking for Steam games - so don't offer origin,uplay,rockstar,bnet or ANY other launcher
100% of my games keys are bought by me from official stores & I expect the same in return,so don't offer me keyshop games or game keys you got in a trade as I will decline
I retain the right to ask for proof of ownership for ANY game I want - just like YOU have the right to ask me the same
List of games I have:
Also have the Earthquake Relief bundle but reddit wont let me write all the games cause my topic would be too big - just ask
7 Billion Humans
8Doors Arum's Afterlife Adventure
10 Second Ninja X
60 Seconds!
112 Operator
140
198X
911 Operator
A Case Of Distrust
A Year Of Rain
Absolver
Aeolis Tournament
Age Of Wonders III
Ageless
Airport CEO
AI War 2
Alien Spidy
Aliens Vs Predator Collection
All You Can Eat
Almost There The Platformer
American Fugitive
Amnesia A Machine For Pigs + The Dark Descent (1 key for both games)
Amnesia Fortnight 2012
Amnesia Fortnight 2014
Amnesia Fortnight 2017
Amnesia Rebirth (X2)
Among Us (X2)
Ancestors The Humankind Odyssey (EU & Africa lock)
Aragami (X2)
Archamon
Army Men RTS
Attack Of The Earthlings
Automobilista
Aven Colony
Avernum 3 Ruined World
Azkend 2 The World Beneath
Back 4 Blood (EU region lock)
Backbone
Band Of Defenders
Banished
Baseball Riot
Batora Lost Haven
Battlestar Galactica Deadlock
Behind The Frame Finest Scenery NEW
Beholder 2
Bendy And The Dark Revival (X2)
Bendy And The Ink Machine
Betrayer (delisted)
Between The Stars (X2)
Beyond Eyes
Beyond The Wire
Bionic Commando
Bionic Commando Rearmed
Bird Of Light
Black Paradox
Blasphemous
Bloodstained Ritual Of The Night
Bohemian Killing
Book Of Demons
Bomber Crew Deluxe
Borderlands 3 + Director's Cut (ask about region locks)
Borderlands 3 Super Deluxe Edition NEW (ask about region locks)
Boreal Blade
Broken Age (X2)
Brothers A Tale Of Two Sons (X2)
Builder Simulator NEW
Butcher
Call Of Juarez
Call Of The Sea (X2)
Call To Arms Basic Edition
Call To Arms Gates Of Hell Ostfront
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
Chenso Club
Chernobylite Enhanced Edition
Cities In Motion 2
CivCity Rome
Clone Drone In The Danger Zone
Clouds & Sheep 2
Coffin Dodgers
Cook Serve Delicious 3
Company Of Heroes Complete Edition
Control Ultimate Edition
Corridor Z
Cosmic Osmo And The World Beyond The Mackerel
Crash Drive 3
Creatures Inc
Crookz The Big Heist
Crossbow Bloodnight
Crusader Kings Complete
Crying Suns
Dagon The Eldritch Box
Danger Scavenger
Day Of Infamy
Dead Age
Dead In Vinland
Deadly Premonition Director's Cut
Deadbeat Heroes (X2)
Dear Ester Landmark Edition
Death Stranding Director's Cut
Death Squared
Deep Dungeons Of Doom
Deep Sky Derelicts
Demon Turf
Deployment
Desert Child
Destiny 2 Beyond Light NEW
Diaries Of A Spaceport Janitor
Dicey Dungeons (X2)
Dimension Drifter
Distraint 2 + Soundtrack
Divekick
Dog Sled Saga
Double Fine Adventures Complete Series Deluxe
Downwell
Drawful 2
Draw Slasher
Dreadlands
Dread X Collection
Driftland The Magic Revival
Dry Downing
Duke Nukem Forever Collection
Dungeon Marathon
Dungeon Of The Endless
Dungeons 2
Dungeons 2 Complete
Dungeons 3
Dusk
Dwarfs!?
Eador Imperium
EarthX
Eastside Hockey Manager
ECHO
Edge Of Eternity
Effie
Elderborn
Eldest Souls
Elden Path Of The Forgotten
Embr
Emily Is Away
Empyrion Galactic Survival
Epic Manager
E.T. Armies Deluxe Edition
Etherborn (X2)
Euro Truck Simulator 2
Europa Universalis IV
Evergarden
Expeditions Viking
F1 2018 (delisted)
Family Man
Fantasy Blacksmith
Fantasy Versus
Farmer's Dynasty
Farming Simulator 17
FIA European Truck Racing
Figment (X2)
Finding Paradise
Fire Ungh's Quest
First Class Trouble
Five Dates
Fling To The Finish
Fluffy Horde
Fobia St. Dinfna Hotel
Forgive Me Father
Framed Collection (X2)
Friday the 13th: The Game
Fun With Ragdolls The Game
Fury Unleashed (X2)
Gang Beasts
Garage Bad Trip (X2)
Gas Guzzlers Extreme
Gas Station Simulator
Gauge
Generation Zero NEW
Ghostrunner
Giana Sisters Twisted Dreams + Rise Of The Owlverlord
Gloria Victis NEW
GNOG
Go Home Dinosaurs!
Goat Of Duty
Goetia (X2)
Going Under (X2)
Golden Light
Golf Gang
GoNNER
Grand Ages Medieval
Grand Pigeon's Duty
Greak Memories Of Azur
Gremlins Inc.
Grip Combat Racing + Cygon + Nyvoss + Terra + Vintek DLC (X2)
Guts And Glory (X2)
Hack'n'Slash
Haiku The Robot (X2)
Hamilton's Great Adventure
Hammerfight
Headlander
Heal
Hell Let Loose
Hellblade Senua's Sacrifice
Hello Neighbor
Hellbound
Hero Defense
Hero's Hour (EU region lock)
Hexologic
Hidden & Dangerous Action Pack
Hidden & Dangerous 2 Courage Under Fire
Hive Jump (X2)
Hiveswap Act 2
Hiveswap Friend Sim (X2)
Hollow Knight
Homeworld Deserts Of Kharak
Hotshot Racing
Hot Tin Roof The Cat That Wore A Fedora
Hot Wheels Unleashed
Hover (X2)
Human Resource Machine
Hurtworld
I Am Bread
I Am Not A Monster First Contact
Ice Lakes
If Found...
Ikenfell
Impact Winter (delisted)
In Between
Industria
Inexistence Rebirth
Infinite Air With Mark McMorris (delisted)
Influent
Inmost
Interplanetary Enhanced Edition
Intruder
Iron Danger
Iron Harvest
Jack Axe
Jalopy
Jet Set Knights
Juanito Arcade Mayhem
Jump Stars
Jurassic World Evolution
Just Die Already
KartKraft
Kathy Rain Directors Cut
Keep Talking And Nobody Explodes (X2)
Killing Floor 2 Digital Deluxe NEW
Kill To Collect
Kingdom Classic (X2)
Kingdom New Lands
Kingdoms Of Amalur Re-Reckoning Fate Edition
King Oddball
Labyrinthine
Last Oasis
Last Tide
Lawn Mowing Simulator
Lead And Gold Gangs Of Wild West (X2)
Legacy Of Dorn Herald Of Oblivion (delisted)
Legend Of Keepers Career Of A Dungeon Master
Leisure Suit Larry Retro Bundle (1 to 7)
Lethal League Blaze
Liberated (GOG key)
Lifeless Planet Premium Edition
Light Fall
Little Big Workshop
Lone Fungus
Lost Planet Complete Pack
Lost Ruins
Lust For Darkness
Lust From Beyond M Edition
Magicka
Magrunner Dark Pulse
Maid Of Sker
Main Assembly (X2)
Mars Horizon
Masquerade The Baubles Of Doom
Max Payne 3 (Rockstar Launcher)
Mega Man Legacy Collection
Midnight Ghost Hunt NEW
Midnight Protocol
Mind Scanners
Mini Metro
Miscreated (X2)
Monster Crown
Moon Hunters
Morbid The Seven Acolytes
Motorcycle Mechanic Simulator 2021
Motorsport Manager
Mount And Blade Warband
My Lovely Daughter
Naruto To Boruto Shinobi Striker
Nascar Heat 5 Ultimate
Nebuchadnezzar
NecroVisioN Lost Company
NecroWorn
Neighbours Back From Hell
Neo Cab
Neon Abyss
NeuroVoider
Neverout
Nickelodeon All Star Brawl (X2)
Ninjin Clash Of Carrots
No Time To Relax
Northgard NEW
Not Tonight
Obduction
Observation
Octahedron
Odyssey The Story Of Science
Of Orcs And Men
Old School Musical
OlliOlli World Rad Edition
On Rusty Trails
One Finger Death Punch 2
Onikira Demon Killer
Operation Tango NEW
Orbital Racer
Orcs Must Die 2 Complete
Original War
Orwell Ignorance Is Strength
Out Of Reach Treasure Royal
Overlord II
Overpass
Override Mech City Brawl
Oxenfree
Pacer
Paint The Town Red
Paper Fire Rookie
Paradise Lost
Path Of Giants
Paw Paw Paw
Payday 2 + Big Mike mask
Peaky Blinders Mastermind (delisted)
Penarium
People Playground (X2)
Perfect Heist 2
PGA Tour 2K21 (X2)
Phoenix Point Year One Edition
Pikuniku
Pine
Pinstripe
Pixplode
Plane Mechanic Simulator
Poöf
Popup Dungeon
Post Void
Pound Of Ground (X2)
PowerSlave Exhumed
Prehistoric Kingdom
Primal Carnage Extinction (X2)
Project Cars GOTY (delisted)
Project Hospital
Project Warlock
Propnight
Pulsar The Lost Colony NEW
Pumped BMX+
Punch Club
Purrfect Date
Quest Of Dungeons
RAD (X2)
Radio Commander
Rad Rodgers Radical Edition
Railroad Tycoon 2
Railroad Tycoon 3
Railway Empire
Raji An Ancient Epic
Rebel Cops
Rec Center Tycoon
Red Faction Armageddon
Red Solstice 2 Survivors
Redout Enhanced Edition
Re-Legion
Remothered Broken Porcelain
Resident Evil 4
Resident Evil Revelations (X2)
Resident Evil Revelations 2 Deluxe Edition
Retimed
Retrowave
Reventure
Revita
Ring Of Pain
Rings Of Saturn
Riot Civil Unrest
Rise Of Industry
Rise Of Insanity
Riven The Sequel To MYST
Roarr! The Adventures Of Rampage Rex
Roboquest
Rogue Heroes Ruins Of Tasos
Rogue Lords
Rogue Stormers
Rover Mechanic Simulator
RPG Maker VX
Rustler
Sable
Salt And Sanctuary
Satellite Reign
Satisfactory
Saturday Morning RPG
Say No! More
SCP 5K
SCUM (X2)
ScourgeBringer
Serious Sam 2
Serious Sam BFE (X2)
Serious Sam Classics Revolution
Serious Sam Double D XXL
Serious Sam HD The First & Second Encounter (1 key for both)
Serious Sam HD The Second Encounter Legend Of The Beast
Serious Sam HD The Second Encounter Serious 8
Serious Sam Kamikaze Attack
Serious Sam The Random Encounter
Serious Sam Bogus Detour
Shadow Tactics Aiko's Choice
Shady Part Of Me
She Remembered Caterpillars
She Will Punish Them
Shing!
Shock Troopers
Shogun's Empire Hex Commander
Shuyan Saga
Sid Meier's Civilization VI
Sid Meier's Railroads
Simulacra Collection
Skeletal Avenger
Skullgirls 2nd Encore
Skully
Slime Rancher
Slinger VR
Smoke And Sacrifice (X2)
Sniper Elite V2 Remastered
Sniper Elite 4 Deluxe + Season Pass
SOMA
Song Of Iron
Soulblight
Spacebase DF-9
Space Hulk Ascension (delisted)
Sparkle 2
Sparkle Unleashed
Spellcaster University
Spelunx And The Caves Of Mr. Seudo
Spiritfarer Farewell Edition NEW
Stacking
Starsand (X2)
Star Wars Jedi Knight Jedi Academy
Star Wars Knights Of The Old Republic
Stasis
State Of Decay 2 Juggernaut Edition
State Of Mind
Steel Rats
Stick Fight The Game (X3)
Stories Untold
Streets Of Fury EX
Strider (X2)
Struggling
Stubbs The Zombie
Styx Shards Of Darkness
Submerged Hidden Depths
Suchart Genius Artist Simulator
Super Indie Carts
Super Magbot
Supraland
SurrounDead (X2)
Surviving The Aftermath
Suzerain
Swag And Sorcery
Sword Legacy Omen
Swords And Soldiers 2 Shawarmageddon
Swords And Souls Neverseen (X2)
Syberia II
Syberia 3 Deluxe Edition
Syberia The World Before
Syndrome
System Shock Enhanced Edition
Table Manners The Physics-Based Dating Game
Tabletop Playground
Tacoma
Take On Helicopters
Tales From Candlekeep Tomb Of Annihilation (delisted)
Tales Of Monkey Island Complete
Talisman Digital Edition + City,Frostmarch,Sacred Pool (trading only as a bundle)
Talisman Origins
Tank Mechanic Simulator
Telefrag VR
Teleglitch Die More Edition
Tennis In The Face
Tennis World Tour (X2)
Tesla Force
Tesla Vs Lovecraft
Tharsis (X2)
The Amazing American Circus
The Ambassador Fractured Timelines
The Adventure Pals
The Battle Of Polytopia Moonrise Deluxe
The Blackout Club
The Citadel
The Count Lucador
The Free Ones (delisted)
The Golf Club 2019 featuring PGA Tour
theHunter Call Of The Wild (X3)
The Invisible Hand NEW
The Journey Down Chapter Three
The King Of Fighters 2002 Unlimited Match
The Last Blade
The Life And Suffering Of Sir Brante
The Long Dark Survival Edition (X2)
The Manhole Masterpiece Edition
The Mims Beginning
The Mortuary Assistant
The Night Of The Rabbit
The Serpent Rogue
The Signifier Director's Cut
The Textorcist The Story of Ray Bibbia (X2)
The Uncertain Last Quiet Day (X2)
The USB Stick Found In The Grass
The Walking Dead Season 1 + 400 Days
The Wild Eight (X2)
They Bleed Pixels
Think Of The Children
This War Of Mine
Thronebreaker The Witcher Tales
THOTH
Through The Darkest Of Times
Timeshift
Time Recoil
Titan Quest Anniversary
Toejam & Earl Back In The Groove
TOEM
Tohu
Tools Up
Tooth And Tail (X2)
Torchlight (X2)
Total Tank Simulator
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
Toto Temple Deluxe
Tower Of Time (X2)
Tower Unite
Townscaper (X2)
Townsmen A Kingdom Rebuilt
Toybox Turbos
Tracks The Train Set Game
Train Station Renovation
Treasure Hunter Simulator (X2)
Tropico 4
True Fear Forsaken Souls Part 1
Tyranny Deluxe Edition
Unexplored
Unloved
Unmetal
Unshaded
Vambrace Cold Soul
Vane
Velocibox
Verdun
Vikings Wolves Of Midgard
Visage
Volcanoids (X2)
V Rally 4
Wanderlust Travel Stories (GOG key)
Warhammer 40K Chaos Gate Daemonhunters NEW
Warhammer End Times Vermintide
Warhammer Vermintide 2 NEW
Warlock Master Of The Arcane
Warpips
Warsaw
Wasteland 2 Director's Cut
We Are The Dwarves
We Should Talk
Western Press
We Were Here Together
When Ski Lifts Go Wrong
Where The Water Tastes Like Wine
While True: Learn() Chief Technology Officer Edition
White Day: A Labyrinth Named School
Windjammers 2 NEW
Wooden Sen'SeY
Worms Rumble + Legends DLC
Wrath Aeon Of Ruin (X2)
XCOM Complete Pack
Xenoraid The First Space War
X Morph Defense + European Assault + Last Bastion + Survival Of The Fittest (1 key for all)
XIII Classic
Xuan-Yuan Sword The Gate Of Firmament
Yet Another Zombie Defense HD
Ylands Exploration Pack
Yoku's Island Express
Yooka-Laylee And The Impossible Lair
Zack 2 Celestine's Map
ZIC Zombies In City
Zombie Army Trilogy

I'm from EU,so GAMES SHOULD work pretty much anywhere
NOT BUYING GAMES,ONLY TRADES - games for games or selling for paypal
No interest in TF2 keys,CSGO cases or ANY other virtual currency
BUYER covers the FEES (if outside EU,EU F&F only)
My Steam account so you don't offer me something I own
My Wishlist
My SGSRep
My IGSRep
​
​
Only looking for Steam games - so don't offer origin,uplay,rockstar,bnet or ANY other launcher
100% of my games keys are bought by me from official stores & I expect the same in return,so don't offer me keyshop games or game keys you got in a trade as I will decline
I retain the right to ask for proof of ownership for ANY game I want - just like YOU have the right to ask me the same
​
​
List of games I have:
Also have the Earthquake Relief bundle but reddit wont let me write all the games cause my topic would be too big - just ask
7 Billion Humans
8Doors Arum's Afterlife Adventure
10 Second Ninja X
60 Seconds!
112 Operator
140
198X
911 Operator
A Case Of Distrust
A Year Of Rain
Absolver
Aeolis Tournament
Age Of Wonders III
Ageless
Airport CEO
AI War 2
Alien Spidy
Aliens Vs Predator Collection
All You Can Eat
Almost There The Platformer
American Fugitive
Amnesia A Machine For Pigs + The Dark Descent (1 key for both games)
Amnesia Fortnight 2012
Amnesia Fortnight 2014
Amnesia Fortnight 2017
Amnesia Rebirth (X2)
Among Us (X2)
Ancestors The Humankind Odyssey (EU & Africa lock)
Aragami (X2)
Archamon
Army Men RTS
Attack Of The Earthlings
Automobilista
Aven Colony
Avernum 3 Ruined World
Azkend 2 The World Beneath
Back 4 Blood (EU region lock)
Backbone
Band Of Defenders
Banished
Baseball Riot
Batora Lost Haven
Battlestar Galactica Deadlock
Behind The Frame Finest Scenery NEW
Beholder 2
Bendy And The Dark Revival (X2)
Bendy And The Ink Machine
Betrayer (delisted)
Between The Stars (X2)
Beyond Eyes
Beyond The Wire
Bionic Commando
Bionic Commando Rearmed
Bird Of Light
Black Paradox
Blasphemous
Bloodstained Ritual Of The Night
Bohemian Killing
Book Of Demons
Bomber Crew Deluxe
Borderlands 3 + Director's Cut (ask about region locks)
Borderlands 3 Super Deluxe Edition NEW (ask about region locks)
Boreal Blade
Broken Age (X2)
Brothers A Tale Of Two Sons (X2)
Builder Simulator NEW
Butcher
Call Of Juarez
Call Of The Sea (X2)
Call To Arms Basic Edition
Call To Arms Gates Of Hell Ostfront
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
Chenso Club
Chernobylite Enhanced Edition
Cities In Motion 2
CivCity Rome
Clone Drone In The Danger Zone
Clouds & Sheep 2
Coffin Dodgers
Cook Serve Delicious 3
Company Of Heroes Complete Edition
Control Ultimate Edition
Corridor Z
Cosmic Osmo And The World Beyond The Mackerel
Crash Drive 3
Creatures Inc
Crookz The Big Heist
Crossbow Bloodnight
Crusader Kings Complete
Crying Suns
Dagon The Eldritch Box
Danger Scavenger
Day Of Infamy
Dead Age
Dead In Vinland
Deadly Premonition Director's Cut
Deadbeat Heroes (X2)
Dear Ester Landmark Edition
Death Stranding Director's Cut
Death Squared
Deep Dungeons Of Doom
Deep Sky Derelicts
Demon Turf
Deployment
Desert Child
Destiny 2 Beyond Light NEW
Diaries Of A Spaceport Janitor
Dicey Dungeons (X2)
Dimension Drifter
Distraint 2 + Soundtrack
Divekick
Dog Sled Saga
Double Fine Adventures Complete Series Deluxe
Downwell
Drawful 2
Draw Slasher
Dreadlands
Dread X Collection
Driftland The Magic Revival
Dry Downing
Duke Nukem Forever Collection
Dungeon Marathon
Dungeon Of The Endless
Dungeons 2
Dungeons 2 Complete
Dungeons 3
Dusk
Dwarfs!?
Eador Imperium
EarthX
Eastside Hockey Manager
ECHO
Edge Of Eternity
Effie
Elderborn
Eldest Souls
Elden Path Of The Forgotten
Embr
Emily Is Away
Empyrion Galactic Survival
Epic Manager
E.T. Armies Deluxe Edition
Etherborn (X2)
Euro Truck Simulator 2
Europa Universalis IV
Evergarden
Expeditions Viking
F1 2018 (delisted)
Family Man
Fantasy Blacksmith
Fantasy Versus
Farmer's Dynasty
Farming Simulator 17
FIA European Truck Racing
Figment (X2)
Finding Paradise
Fire Ungh's Quest
First Class Trouble
Five Dates
Fling To The Finish
Fluffy Horde
Fobia St. Dinfna Hotel
Forgive Me Father
Framed Collection (X2)
Friday the 13th: The Game
Fun With Ragdolls The Game
Fury Unleashed (X2)
Gang Beasts
Garage Bad Trip (X2)
Gas Guzzlers Extreme
Gas Station Simulator
Gauge
Generation Zero NEW
Ghostrunner
Giana Sisters Twisted Dreams + Rise Of The Owlverlord
Gloria Victis NEW
GNOG
Go Home Dinosaurs!
Goat Of Duty
Goetia (X2)
Going Under (X2)
Golden Light
Golf Gang
GoNNER
Grand Ages Medieval
Grand Pigeon's Duty
Greak Memories Of Azur
Gremlins Inc.
Grip Combat Racing + Cygon + Nyvoss + Terra + Vintek DLC (X2)
Guts And Glory (X2)
Hack'n'Slash
Haiku The Robot (X2)
Hamilton's Great Adventure
Hammerfight
Headlander
Heal
Hell Let Loose
Hellblade Senua's Sacrifice
Hello Neighbor
Hellbound
Hero Defense
Hero's Hour (EU region lock)
Hexologic
Hidden & Dangerous Action Pack
Hidden & Dangerous 2 Courage Under Fire
Hive Jump (X2)
Hiveswap Act 2
Hiveswap Friend Sim (X2)
Hollow Knight
Homeworld Deserts Of Kharak
Hotshot Racing
Hot Tin Roof The Cat That Wore A Fedora
Hot Wheels Unleashed
Hover (X2)
Human Resource Machine
Hurtworld
I Am Bread
I Am Not A Monster First Contact
Ice Lakes
If Found...
Ikenfell
Impact Winter (delisted)
In Between
Industria
Inexistence Rebirth
Infinite Air With Mark McMorris (delisted)
Influent
Inmost
Interplanetary Enhanced Edition
Intruder
Iron Danger
Iron Harvest
Jack Axe
Jalopy
Jet Set Knights
Juanito Arcade Mayhem
Jump Stars
Jurassic World Evolution
Just Die Already
KartKraft
Kathy Rain Directors Cut
Keep Talking And Nobody Explodes (X2)
Killing Floor 2 Digital Deluxe NEW
Kill To Collect
Kingdom Classic (X2)
Kingdom New Lands
Kingdoms Of Amalur Re-Reckoning Fate Edition
King Oddball
Labyrinthine
Last Oasis
Last Tide
Lawn Mowing Simulator
Lead And Gold Gangs Of Wild West (X2)
Legacy Of Dorn Herald Of Oblivion (delisted)
Legend Of Keepers Career Of A Dungeon Master
Leisure Suit Larry Retro Bundle (1 to 7)
Lethal League Blaze
Liberated (GOG key)
Lifeless Planet Premium Edition
Light Fall
Little Big Workshop
Lone Fungus
Lost Planet Complete Pack
Lost Ruins
Lust For Darkness
Lust From Beyond M Edition
Magicka
Magrunner Dark Pulse
Maid Of Sker
Main Assembly (X2)
Mars Horizon
Masquerade The Baubles Of Doom
Max Payne 3 (Rockstar Launcher)
Mega Man Legacy Collection
Midnight Ghost Hunt NEW
Midnight Protocol
Mind Scanners
Mini Metro
Miscreated (X2)
Monster Crown
Moon Hunters
Morbid The Seven Acolytes
Motorcycle Mechanic Simulator 2021
Motorsport Manager
Mount And Blade Warband
My Lovely Daughter
Naruto To Boruto Shinobi Striker
Nascar Heat 5 Ultimate
Nebuchadnezzar
NecroVisioN Lost Company
NecroWorn
Neighbours Back From Hell
Neo Cab
Neon Abyss
NeuroVoider
Neverout
Nickelodeon All Star Brawl (X2)
Ninjin Clash Of Carrots
No Time To Relax
Northgard NEW
Not Tonight
Obduction
Observation
Octahedron
Odyssey The Story Of Science
Of Orcs And Men
Old School Musical
OlliOlli World Rad Edition
On Rusty Trails
One Finger Death Punch 2
Onikira Demon Killer
Operation Tango NEW
Orbital Racer
Orcs Must Die 2 Complete
Original War
Orwell Ignorance Is Strength
Out Of Reach Treasure Royal
Overlord II
Overpass
Override Mech City Brawl
Oxenfree
Pacer
Paint The Town Red
Paper Fire Rookie
Paradise Lost
Path Of Giants
Paw Paw Paw
Payday 2 + Big Mike mask
Peaky Blinders Mastermind (delisted)
Penarium
People Playground (X2)
Perfect Heist 2
PGA Tour 2K21 (X2)
Phoenix Point Year One Edition
Pikuniku
Pine
Pinstripe
Pixplode
Plane Mechanic Simulator
Poöf
Popup Dungeon
Post Void
Pound Of Ground (X2)
PowerSlave Exhumed
Prehistoric Kingdom
Primal Carnage Extinction (X2)
Project Cars GOTY (delisted)
Project Hospital
Project Warlock
Propnight
Pulsar The Lost Colony NEW
Pumped BMX+
Punch Club
Purrfect Date
Quest Of Dungeons
RAD (X2)
Radio Commander
Rad Rodgers Radical Edition
Railroad Tycoon 2
Railroad Tycoon 3
Railway Empire
Raji An Ancient Epic
Rebel Cops
Rec Center Tycoon
Red Faction Armageddon
Red Solstice 2 Survivors
Redout Enhanced Edition
Re-Legion
Remothered Broken Porcelain
Resident Evil 4
Resident Evil Revelations (X2)
Resident Evil Revelations 2 Deluxe Edition
Retimed
Retrowave
Reventure
Revita
Ring Of Pain
Rings Of Saturn
Riot Civil Unrest
Rise Of Industry
Rise Of Insanity
Riven The Sequel To MYST
Roarr! The Adventures Of Rampage Rex
Roboquest
Rogue Heroes Ruins Of Tasos
Rogue Lords
Rogue Stormers
Rover Mechanic Simulator
RPG Maker VX
Rustler
Sable
Salt And Sanctuary
Satellite Reign
Satisfactory
Saturday Morning RPG
Say No! More
SCP 5K
SCUM (X2)
ScourgeBringer
Serious Sam 2
Serious Sam BFE (X2)
Serious Sam Classics Revolution
Serious Sam Double D XXL
Serious Sam HD The First & Second Encounter (1 key for both)
Serious Sam HD The Second Encounter Legend Of The Beast
Serious Sam HD The Second Encounter Serious 8
Serious Sam Kamikaze Attack
Serious Sam The Random Encounter
Serious Sam Bogus Detour
Shadow Tactics Aiko's Choice
Shady Part Of Me
She Remembered Caterpillars
She Will Punish Them
Shing!
Shock Troopers
Shogun's Empire Hex Commander
Shuyan Saga
Sid Meier's Civilization VI
Sid Meier's Railroads
Simulacra Collection
Skeletal Avenger
Skullgirls 2nd Encore
Skully
Slime Rancher
Slinger VR
Smoke And Sacrifice (X2)
Sniper Elite V2 Remastered
Sniper Elite 4 Deluxe + Season Pass
SOMA
Song Of Iron
Soulblight
Spacebase DF-9
Space Hulk Ascension (delisted)
Sparkle 2
Sparkle Unleashed
Spellcaster University
Spelunx And The Caves Of Mr. Seudo
Spiritfarer Farewell Edition NEW
Stacking
Starsand (X2)
Star Wars Jedi Knight Jedi Academy
Star Wars Knights Of The Old Republic
Stasis
State Of Decay 2 Juggernaut Edition
State Of Mind
Steel Rats
Stick Fight The Game (X3)
Stories Untold
Streets Of Fury EX
Strider (X2)
Struggling
Stubbs The Zombie
Styx Shards Of Darkness
Submerged Hidden Depths
Suchart Genius Artist Simulator
Super Indie Carts
Super Magbot
Supraland
SurrounDead (X2)
Surviving The Aftermath
Suzerain
Swag And Sorcery
Sword Legacy Omen
Swords And Soldiers 2 Shawarmageddon
Swords And Souls Neverseen (X2)
Syberia II
Syberia 3 Deluxe Edition
Syberia The World Before
Syndrome
System Shock Enhanced Edition
Table Manners The Physics-Based Dating Game
Tabletop Playground
Tacoma
Take On Helicopters
Tales From Candlekeep Tomb Of Annihilation (delisted)
Tales Of Monkey Island Complete
Talisman Digital Edition + City,Frostmarch,Sacred Pool (trading only as a bundle)
Talisman Origins
Tank Mechanic Simulator
Telefrag VR
Teleglitch Die More Edition
Tennis In The Face
Tennis World Tour (X2)
Tesla Force
Tesla Vs Lovecraft
Tharsis (X2)
The Amazing American Circus
The Ambassador Fractured Timelines
The Adventure Pals
The Battle Of Polytopia Moonrise Deluxe
The Blackout Club
The Citadel
The Count Lucador
The Free Ones (delisted)
The Golf Club 2019 featuring PGA Tour
theHunter Call Of The Wild (X3)
The Invisible Hand NEW
The Journey Down Chapter Three
The King Of Fighters 2002 Unlimited Match
The Last Blade
The Life And Suffering Of Sir Brante
The Long Dark Survival Edition (X2)
The Manhole Masterpiece Edition
The Mims Beginning
The Mortuary Assistant
The Night Of The Rabbit
The Serpent Rogue
The Signifier Director's Cut
The Textorcist The Story of Ray Bibbia (X2)
The Uncertain Last Quiet Day (X2)
The USB Stick Found In The Grass
The Walking Dead Season 1 + 400 Days
The Wild Eight (X2)
They Bleed Pixels
Think Of The Children
This War Of Mine
Thronebreaker The Witcher Tales
THOTH
Through The Darkest Of Times
Timeshift
Time Recoil
Titan Quest Anniversary
Toejam & Earl Back In The Groove
TOEM
Tohu
Tools Up
Tooth And Tail (X2)
Torchlight (X2)
Total Tank Simulator
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
Toto Temple Deluxe
Tower Of Time (X2)
Tower Unite
Townscaper (X2)
Townsmen A Kingdom Rebuilt
Toybox Turbos
Tracks The Train Set Game
Train Station Renovation
Treasure Hunter Simulator (X2)
Tropico 4
True Fear Forsaken Souls Part 1
Tyranny Deluxe Edition
Unexplored
Unloved
Unmetal
Unshaded
Vambrace Cold Soul
Vane
Velocibox
Verdun
Vikings Wolves Of Midgard
Visage
Volcanoids (X2)
V Rally 4
Wanderlust Travel Stories (GOG key)
Warhammer 40K Chaos Gate Daemonhunters NEW
Warhammer End Times Vermintide
Warhammer Vermintide 2 NEW
Warlock Master Of The Arcane
Warpips
Warsaw
Wasteland 2 Director's Cut
We Are The Dwarves
We Should Talk
Western Press
We Were Here Together
When Ski Lifts Go Wrong
Where The Water Tastes Like Wine
While True: Learn() Chief Technology Officer Edition
White Day: A Labyrinth Named School
Windjammers 2 NEW
Wooden Sen'SeY
Worms Rumble + Legends DLC
Wrath Aeon Of Ruin (X2)
XCOM Complete Pack
Xenoraid The First Space War
X Morph Defense + European Assault + Last Bastion + Survival Of The Fittest (1 key for all)
XIII Classic
Xuan-Yuan Sword The Gate Of Firmament
Yet Another Zombie Defense HD
Ylands Exploration Pack
Yoku's Island Express
Yooka-Laylee And The Impossible Lair
Zack 2 Celestine's Map
ZIC Zombies In City
Zombie Army Trilogy

Have a 2015 Honda CRV AWD. Just replaced sparked plugs last October
Was driving back home from a 1000 mile road trip. Car seemed to stutter then CEL blinking. I pulled over and checked the plugs and coils, seemed to be fine and everything else for that matter.
I’ve never had a random misfire before.
I went to a gas station and filled up from half a gas tank and it seemed to be okay and made it home safe.
Could bad fuel cause a misfire?
If “not” what could have caused the misfire?
Thank you

Note:

• All keys are primarily from US/NA region
• My list maybe slightly outdated so I apologize in advance if some of the games mentioned are already traded/Sold.
• I accept XBOX keys as well.
• I accept PayPal only via goods and services so all transactions will include fees.
• My Wishlist, I am mostly uninterested in other games.

HAVE

JUNE 2023 games

• Curse of the Dead Gods
• Ghostwire: Tokyo
• Remnant: From the Ashes - Complete Edition
• Eternal Threads
• GRIME
• Honey, I Joined a Cult
• Meeple Station
• Turbo Golf Racing

MAY MADNESS MULTIPLAYER

• Generation Zero® x 2
• Midnight Ghost Hunt x 2
• Northgard x 2
• Borderlands 3: Super Deluxe Edition x 2
• Destiny 2: Beyond Light
• Gloria Victis x 2
• PULSAR: Lost Colony x 2

MAY 2023 games

• Behind the Frame: The Finest Scenery x 2
• Bendy and the Dark Revival x 3
• Builder Simulator x 2
• Operation Tango x 2
• Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition x 2
• The Invisible Hand x 2
• Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters x 4
• Windjammers 2 x 3

APRIL 2023 games

• Aliens: Fireteam Elite x 5
• DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT x 4
• Founders' Fortune x 1
• Life is Strange 2 Complete Season (incl. Mascot Bundle DLC) x 5
• Monster Prom 2: Monster Camp x 2
• Revita x 2
• Rollerdrome NA region x 4
• The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante x 2

MARCH 2023 games

• BIOMUTANT x 2
• Demon Turf x 2
• Edge Of Eternity x 3
• Golden Light x 3
• Hero's Hour (NA Region) x 4
• Jurassic World Evolution 2 x 2
• Monster Crown x 3
• Rogue Lords x 3

Safe in Our World Charity Bundle 2023

• A Little Golf Journey x 2
• Arcade Paradise - Arcade Paradise EP x 2
• Chivalry: Medieval Warfare x 2
• Eternal Threads x 2
• Field of Glory II x 2
• Hue x 2
• Ice Age: Scrat's Nutty Adventure
• Indivisible x 2
• Murder by Numbers
• Perfect x 2
• PlateUp!
• Rescue Party: Live! x 2
• Rise of the Slime x 2
• Songbringer
• Soul Axiom Rebooted x 2
• Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition x 2
• Steel Rats x 2
• STONE x 2
• Strange Brigade x 2
• Teacup
• The Last Campfire x 2
• Turbo Golf Racing x 2
• Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War x 2
• White Day: A Labyrinth Named School x 2
• Sifu Deluxe Edition Upgrade Bundle x 2

FEBRUARY 2023 games

• Fallout + Fallout 76
• Five Dates x 2
• Fobia - St. Dinfna Hotel x 3
• Othercide
• Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition x 2
• ScourgeBringer x 2
• Shady Part of Me x 2

Survival Instinct Bundle

• SCUM x 2
• Starsand x 2
• State of Decay 2 x 2
• SurrounDead x 2
• The Long Dark: Survival Edition x 2
• Volcanoids

JANUARY 2023 games

• DOOM Eternal
• Hokko Life

DECEMBER 2022 Monthly Bundle Leftovers

• Greedfall
• Wasteland 3
• Blade Assault
• Super Magbot
• TOEM
• Where the Water Tastes Like Wine

Black Friday VR Voyager's Pack

• A Fisherman's Tale
• Car Mechanic Simulator VR
• Cook-Out
• I Expect You To Die
• Sairento VR
• Shooty Fruity
• SUPERHOT VR
• The Curious Tale of the Stolen Pets
• The Wizards - Dark Times
• Until You Fall

OTHER KEYS

• Agatha Christie - Hercule Poirot: The First Cases
• The Smurfs - Mission Vileaf
• Anna's Quest
• AtmaSphere
• BATTLETECH
• Cardaclysm
• Dead Age 2: The Zombie Survival RPG
• Derange
• DISTRAINT 2 x 2
• Driftland: The Magic Revival
• Enclave (Gold)
• Everreach: Project Eden
• Fantasy Blacksmith
• Golf Club Wasteland
• Heal
• INDUSTRIA
• Interplanetary: Enhanced Edition
• Jack Orlando: Director's Cut
• Journey of a Roach
• Last Inua
• LEAVES - The Journey
• LEGO Batman 3: Beyond Gotham
• LEGO Marvel Super Heroes
• LEGO® MARVEL's Avengers
• LEGO® The Hobbit™
• Main Assembly
• Majesty 2 Collection
• My Big Sister
• Noosphere
• OUTBUDDIES DX
• Paw Paw Paw
• Pesterquest
• Plants vs. Zombies: Battle for Neighborville (ORIGIN KEY)
• PUBG: Battlegrounds – Golden G-Coin Box
• Red Wings: Aces of the Sky
• Seed Hunter x 2
• Ship Simulator Extremes
• Shooting Stars!
• Smart Factory Tycoon
• Space Cows
• Stars End
• Stubbs the Zombie in Rebel Without a Pulse
• The Deed II
• The LEGO Movie - Videogame
• The LEGO NINJAGO Movie Video Game
• The Textorcist: The Story of Ray Bibbia
• The Town of Light
• Truck Racer
• Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus
• Wildfire
• Worms Clan Wars
• Zanzarah: The Hidden Portal
• The House of Da Vinci (ROW)

NOVEMBER 2022 Monthly Bundle Leftovers

• Kingdoms of Amalur: Re-Reckoning FATE Edition
• Raji: An Ancient Epic
• Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun - Aiko's Choice
• UnMetal
• Roboquest x 2
• Morbid: The Seven Acolytes
• Eldest Souls

2K MEGAHITS BUNDLE

• Hidden & Dangerous 2: Courage Under Fire x 3
• Hidden & Dangerous: Action Pack x 3
• X-COM: Complete Pack x 3
• CivCity: Rome x 3
• Duke Nukem Forever collection x 4
• Railroad Tycoon 2: Platinum x 3
• Railroad Tycoon 3 x 3
• Sid Meier's Railroads! x 3
• The Golf Club 2019 Featuring PGA TOUR x 3
• WWE 2K BATTLEGROUNDS + Ultimate Brawlers Pass x 4
• BioShock: The Collection (EU region) x 2
• BioShock: The Collection (NA region) x 2
• Borderlands 3: Super Deluxe Edition
• PGA Tour 2K21 x 3
• Sid Meier's Civilization VI x 2
• XCOM: ULTIMATE COLLECTION x 4

LIST OF ALL HB LEFTOVERS -

• 11-11 Memories Retold x 2
• 112 operator
• 198x
• 8 doors
• 911 Operator x 2
• A Case Of Distrust
• A plague tale: innocence x 2
• Aegis Defenders x 3
• Ageless x 3
• Agents Of Mayhem
• Alien Spidy
• American Fugitive x 2
• Amnesia: rebirth x 3
• Amnesia: The Dark Descent + Amnesia: A Machine for pigs
• Anna's Quest
• As Far As The Eye
• Ashampoo Photo Optimizer 7
• Automachef x 3
• Bartlow's Dread Machine
• Beholder 2
• Between the stars x 4
• Beyond the wire x 2
• Bionic Commando x 2
• Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night
• Book of Demons x 3
• Boomerang Fu
• Boreal Blade x 3
• Boundless
• Broken Age x 2
• Brothers: A Tale of Two Sons
• Butcher
• Capitalism 2
• Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
• Carnival Games VR
• Civilization III x 2
• Cook, Serve, Delicious! 3
• Crazy Machines 3
• CROSSBOW: Bloodnight x 2
• Crown Trick
• Cursed Castilla (Maldita Castilla Ex)
• Cyber Hook x 2
• Dagon: by H. P. Lovecraft - The Eldritch Box DLC x 2
• Dangerous Worlds x 2
• Dark Future: Blood Red States
• Darksburg x 2
• Dead In Vinland x 2
• Dear Esther: Landmark Edition
• Deathloop x 3
• Deleveled x 2
• Desert Child
• Desolate x 2
• Desperado 3
• DiRT Rally 2.0 - H2 RWD Double Pack
• DiRT Rally 2.0 - Opel Manta 400
• Dirt Rally 2.0 - Porsche 911 RGT Rally Spec
• Disjunction - gog
• Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen x 3
• Drake Hollow x 2
• Draw Slasher x 2
• Drawful 2
• Drawful 2
• Driftland: The Magic Revival x 3
• Ducati - 90th Anniversary
• Due Process x 3
• EarthX
• Ember
• Encodya - GOG x 2
• Endless Space 2 x 2
• Endzone - A World apart
• Enslaved™: Odyssey To The West™ Premium Edition
• Evergarden x 2
• Evoland Legendary Edition x 2
• Expeditions: Viking
• Fable Anniversary
• Family Man x 3
• Farmer's dynasty x 2
• Fear Effect Sedna
• Field of Glory: Empires
• Fling to the Finish
• Forager
• Frog Detective 2: The Case Of The Invisible Wizard x 3
• Fun With Ragdolls: The Game x 2
• Fury Unleashed x 5
• GameGuru x 2
• GameMaker Studio 2 Creator 12 Months x 2
• Garage: bad trip
• Gas Station Simulator x 2
• Gauntlet
• Genesis Alpha One Deluxe Edition x 3
• Ghost Of A Tale
• Gnog
• Go Home Dinosaurs x 2
• Graveyard Keeper
• Greak: Memories Of Azur
• GRIP: Combat Racing Artifex DLC x 3
• Guts and glory
• Hellpoint x 2
• Hexologic
• Hiveswap friendsim x 2
• Hiveswap: Act 1
• Hot Wheels Unleashed x 2
• Hotshot Racing x 3
• Ikenfell x 2
• Immortal Planet
• Imperator: Rome Deluxe Edition x 2
• In sound mind x 2
• Indivisible x 3
• Inmost
• Iris And The Giant
• Iron Danger
• Jurassic World Evolution x 2
• Katana zero
• Kerbal Space Program
• Kingdom Two Crowns
• Kingdom: New Lands x 2
• Kyle is Famous: Complete Edition
• Lacuna - A Sci-fi Noir Adventure
• Lawn mowing simulator
• Levelhead x 2
• Liberated GOG x 2
• Lostwinds
• Lovecraft's Untold Stories x 3
• Lust for Darkness x 2
• Lust from Beyond: M Edition x 2
• Maneater
• Memoria + Soundtrack
• Metro Exodus
• Midnight protocol x 2
• Milky Way Prince - The Vampire Star x 2
• Mo:astray
• Monaco
• Monster Hunter: World
• Moon Hunters
• Mordhau
• Morkredd x 3
• Motorcycle Mechanic Simulator 2021
• Moving Out
• Music Maker EDM Edition x 2
• Nebuchadnezzar
• Necromunda: Hired Gun
• NecroWorm x 2
• Neoverse x 3
• Neverout x 2
• Nex Machina
• Nickelodeon all-star brawl
• Nickelodeon Brawl
• Niffelheim x 2
• Nowhere Prophet x 3
• Orbital Racer x 2
• Out of Reach: Treasure Royale x 2
• Out Of Space
• Outward + The Soroboreans And Outward Soundtrack x 3
• Partisans 1941 x 2
• Path Of Giants
• Pathfinder Second Edition Core Rulebook and Starfinder Core Rulebook x 2
• Pathfinder: Kingmaker Enhanced Plus Edition
• Pathfinder: Kingmaker - Royal Ascension
• Pathfinder: Kingmaker - Wild Cards
• Pathway
• Paw paw paw x 3
• PC Building Simulator x 2
• Peaky Blinders: Mastermind x 2
• Pesterquest x 3
• Phantom Doctrine x 2
• Pikuniku
• Pine
• Pixplode x 2
• Police stories
• Popup Dungeon
• Post Void
• Prison Architect + Aficionado (Dlc)
• Pumpkin Jack x 2
• Purrfect Date
• Quantum Break x 2
• RAD x 4
• Railway Empire
• Red solstice 2: survivors
• Relicta x 3
• Remnants of Naezith
• Remothered: Broken Porcelain x 2
• Resident Evil 4 (2005)
• Resident Evil 5 Gold Edition
• Resident Evil HD REMASTER x 3
• Resident Evil Revelations x 4
• Resident Evil Revelations 2 - Episode 1: Penal Colony x 3
• Retimed x 3
• Ring of pain x 4
• Rise Of Industry x 3
• Roarr! Jurassic Edition x 2
• Rover Mechanic Simulator x 3
• RPG Maker VX
• Rustler x 4
• Saturday Morning RPG
• Say No! More
• Shing! x 2
• Shining Resonance Refrain x 2
• Shoppe Keep 2
• Simple Rockets 2
• Simplerockets 2 x 2
• Simulacra + Simulacra 2
• Size Matters x 3
• Skullgirls 2nd Encore
• Slinger VR x 2
• Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts x 2
• Soulblight x 2
• Spec Ops: The Line
• Speed Brawl x 2
• Splasher
• Starbound
• Stealth 2: A Game Of Clones
• Still There x 3
• Stories Untold
• Street Fighter V x 2
• Strider x 2
• Struggling x 2
• Stubbs The Zombie In Rebel Without A Pulse
• Super Meat Boy x 2
• Supraland x 2
• SYSTEM SHOCK: ENHANCED EDITION x 2
• Tabletop Playground x 3
• Telefrag VR x 2
• The Amazing American Circus x 2
• The Ambassador: Fractured Timelines
• The Ascent x 2
• The Bard's Tale IV: Director's Cut x 3
• The Beast Inside x 3
• The Coma 2: Vicious Sisters x 2
• The Darkness II x 2
• The Haunted Island, A Frog Detective Game x 3
• The Henry Stickmin Collection x 2
• The Shapeshifting Detective
• The Survivalists
• The Swords Of Ditto: Mormo's Curse x 2
• The Textorcist: The story of Ray Bibbia x 2
• The USB Stick Found in the Grass x 2
• The Walking Dead: Saints & Sinners x 2
• The Wild Eight
• Them's Fightin' Herds
• Throne Of Lies® The Online Game Of Deceit
• Through The Darkest Of Times x 3
• Tilt Brush x 2
• Timelie
• Toejam & Earl: Back in the Groove x 2
• Tohu x 3
• Tools up x 2
• Tooth and Tail
• Total Tank Simulator x 2
• Townsmen - A Kingdom Rebuilt x 2
• Toybox Turbos
• Train Station Renovation x 2
• Treasure Hunter Simulator x 2
• Trine 4: The Nightmare Prince x 2
• Tropico 4
• Truberbrook / Trüberbrook
• Tumblestone
• Tyranny: Deluxe Edition x 2
• Undungeon
• Vagante
• VALKYRIA CHRONICLES 4 COMPLETE EDITION
• Vampire: The Masquerade - Shadows Of New York x 3
• Vane x 3
• Vikings - Wolves of Midgard
• Voidigo
• Wanderlust: Travel Stories x 2
• Wandersong x 2
• Wargroove x 2
• Warhammer: Chaosbane x 2
• WARSAW x 5
• We Are Alright x 2
• Werewolf: The Apocalypse Heart Of The Forest x 3
• Wildfire
• Worms rumble + legends pack dlc x 3
• Wrath: Aeon Of Ruin
• WWE 2k Battlegrounds
• X-morph Defense x 3
• X-Morph: Defense + European Assault, Survival of the Fittest, and Last Bastion DLC x 2
• Xcom® 2: Resistance Warrior Pack
• Yoku's Island Express
• Zombotron

LIST OF ALL FANATICAL LEFTOVERS -

• Leisure Suit Larry - Wet Dreams Don't Dry
• Leisure Suit Larry - Wet Dreams Dry Twice
• Aragami
• Unto The End
• Anuchard
• Call of Juarez Gunslinger
• Darkwood
• Interstellar Space: Genesis
• Unexplored 2: The Wayfarer's Legacy
• 198X
• A.I.M. Clan Wars
• Alekhine's Gun
• Alwa's Awakening
• American Fugitive
• Ballpoint Universe - Infinite
• Battlestar Galactica Deadlock
• Blasphemous
• Bunker Punks
• Clustertruck
• Clutch
• Cobra Kai: The Karate Kid Saga Continues
• Convoy
• Cook, Serve, Delicious! 3?!
• Cosmic Star Heroine
• Crash Drive 3
• Danger Scavenger
• Degrees of Separation
• Demon Pit
• Detective Di: The Silk Rose Murders
• DiRT Rally
• Do Not Feed the Monkeys
• Dracula: Love Kills
• Driftland: The Magic Revival
• Eador. Imperium
• El Matador
• Eternity: The Last Unicorn
• Fantasy Versus
• FAR: Lone Sails x 2
• Fictorum
• Four Sided Fantasy
• Fun with Ragdolls: The Game
• Garfield Kart - Furious Racing
• GemCraft - Chasing Shadows
• Gift of Parthax
• Grand Mountain Adventure
• GRID Autosport - Premium Garage Pack DLC
• GRID Autosport - Road & Track Car Pack DLC
• Guts and Glory
• Heavy Burger
• Horizon Chase Turbo x 2
• Hyperdrive Massacre
• Iratus: Lord of the Dead
• JumpJet Rex
• King's Bounty: Warriors of the North
• Kings of Kung Fu
• Liberated
• Lichdom: Battlemage
• Magrunner: Dark Pulse
• Making History: The Calm and the Storm Gold Edition
• Mech Mechanic Simulator
• Men of War
• Monster Slayers
• Monster Slayers - Advanced Classes Unlocker
• Monster Slayers - Fire & Steel Expansion
• Morbid: The Seven Acolytes
• My Time At Portia
• Mytheon
• NecroVisioN: Lost Company
• Neversong
• Nongunz: Doppelganger Edition
• Overlord: Ultimate Evil Collection
• Planet Alcatraz
• PlataGO!
• Rage in Peace
• Re-Legion
• Rebel Galaxy Outlaw
• Redeemer: Enhanced Edition x 2
• Reventure
• RollerCoaster Tycoon Classic
• Save Room - Organization Puzzle
• Shadowhand: RPG Card Game
• Shark Attack Deathmatch 2
• Silver Chains
• Sin Slayers
• Slain: Back from Hell
• Songbird Symphony
• Space Hulk Ascension
• SPACECOM
• Sparklite
• Star Wolves
• Star Wolves 3: Civil War
• Sunblaze
• Super Panda Adventures
• Super Trench Attack!
• Supreme Ruler 1936
• Supreme Ruler: Cold War
• Tacoma
• Tannenberg
• Tesla vs Lovecraft
• The Long Reach
• The Surge
• The Uncertain - The Last Quiet Day
• The Vagrant
• This Strange Realm Of Mine
• This War of Mine: Stories - Season Pass DLC
• Torchlight
• Toybox Turbos
• Unexplored
• UNLOVED
• V-Rally 4
• Verdun
• Warhammer 40,000: Sanctus Reach
• Wayward Souls
• Wick
• Wick
• World's Dawn x 2
• Yet Another Zombie Defense HD x 2
• Yooka-Laylee and the Impossible Lair

AS OTHER KEYS (UNSURE IF UNUSED SO I WILL GO FIRST)

• 10 Second Ninja X
• A story about my uncle
• AGELESS
• Automobilista
• Before We leave
• Caveman World: Mountains of Unga Boonga
• Charlie's Adventure
• Cultures - 8th Wonder of the world
• Dead Age
• DUCATI - 90th Anniversary
• Dust to the End
• Earth 2140
• Fated Souls 3
• Figement
• HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition
• HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition
• Ikenfell
• Iron Sky Invasion
• Jorney of a roach
• Lawn Mowing Simulator
• Munin
• My Big Sister
• Narita Boy
• Nigate Tale
• Nigate Tale
• Nordlicht
• Nuclear DAWN
• Of Orcs and Men
• Oh My Gore
• Oh My Gore!
• Pitiri 1977
• Remnants of Naezith
• Scheming Through The Zombie Apocalypse: The Beginning
• Scheming Through The Zombie Apocalypse: The Beginning
• Ship simulator extreme
• Snake Pass
• Sorry, James
• The Deed Dynasty
• Tohu
• Tools Up!
• Toy tinker Simulator
• Treasure Hunter Simulator
• Vagrant Hearts 2
• Whispering Willows
• Windscape
• A Sceptic's Guide to Magic
• Age of Wonders III
• Amnesia Collection x 2
• Assassin's Creed® Chronicles China UPLAY key
• Canyon Capers
• CAPITALISM 2
• CHESS ULTRA
• Chicken Assassin Reloaded
• Deponia: The Complete Journey x 2
• Dirt Rally x 2
• ELIZA
• Enclave (Gold)
• ETHERBORN
• F1 2017 1988 McLAREN MP4/4 Classic Car DLC
• Garfield Kart
• Gold Rush! Classic
• Gothic 3
• Headsnatchers x 2
• Heli Heroes
• Homefront
• Introvert Quest
• Kingdom: Classic
• Knights and Merchants
• Layers of Fear + Soundtrack
• LEGO® The Hobbit™
• Majesty 2 Collection
• Manual Samuel
• Medieval Kingdom Wars
• Mystery Castle: The Mirror's Secret
• Oh My Gore!
• PAC-MAN 256
• Pixel Puzzles: UndeadZ
• Port Royale 3
• Rig n Roll
• RIOT - Civil Unrest
• Satellite Reign
• Shooting Stars
• THE HEX
• The Red Solstice x 2
• THEM'S FIGHTIN' HERDS

WANT

PayPal
MY REP Wishlist
Gems
TF2 keys/ Csgo Cases

Have been doing test drives and shopping around for a family vehicle. We are not in a hurry what so ever but want to start looking and gather information to make informed decision.
Lately we went to a number of local dealerships and below are summaries of our experience.
Toyota: almost no cars in lot. All vehicles including Sienna are by allocation only and with markups. Prius ~$3k and Sienna $5-8k. Dealers would call you if something close to what you want is allocated and if you want it a $1000 deposits is required to secure your “spot”. I was polite but screaming inside “no way in hell” and left.
VW: test drove a V6 Atlas. Smooth ride, doesn’t feel clumsy given the size and profile. steering wheel feels very light, which caught me off guard because in my mind “German steering is heavy unlike flimsy Korean cars” thanks to my Audi sedan. Room is ample, even the third row is actually functional. Major downside OFC is the MPG. We knew it’s gonna be pretty bad with a V6 but our test drive was 11mpg. Still, we like it.
Honda: test drove a used Odyssey. Very nimble for a minivan, changing lanes feels as smooth as it can be. Ample power to overtake. Stowable seats and total 8 seats are absolutely appreciated. However the one we test drove had some electrical issues. Overall, I like the Odyssey. In my area tons of households got one.
Mazda: tried CX90 turbo premium. It reminds me more of a German car for sure. Steering wheel feels heavier, you can feel the power of the inline 6. interior also beautiful, love all those buttons. However the 3rd row was not practical, legroom kinda ok BUT 2nd row seats and rails are in the way of 3rd row passenger’s feet, which renders the legroom useless.
Kia: tried carnival, top trim. Ample rooms and seats. Tech overload, the blind spot camera footage shows up when turning light is on, very useful feature. However, the interior feels shallow, you can feel a sense of cheapness in their imitation of “luxury.” For example, nicely looking leather covers the seat, the back though is covered in black synthetic materials and stitched with the leather. Trust me when I say the work was not done nicely and lack of any craftsmanship is notable. Then again it’s a sub 50k vehicle so corner cutting is expected. What really drove me away was the bumpy ride and super super light steering wheel, plus the drag. Yes when driving a carnival you can absolutely feel the weight, unlike Odyssey. Less nimble, way less. A big mark up was also asked.
In the end we are focusing on Atlas and Odyssey. I’m the kinda guy who does too much research when making big purchases. So I looked around to learn more about the reliability of both models. Sources include car forums, caredge, carcomplaints, consumer report etc. boy oh boy the more I look the less I want to buy car at all because issues are all over the place for both models. Hence now turning to the only place that matter, Reddit, to pick your guy’s brain. Which one I should go for?

I've driven a diverse set of cars, ranging from minivans to supercars. The most fun I've ever had were in a 2002 Honda Odyssey (first car) and a 2004 Acura RSX Type-S. There is something magical about Hondas from that era. They are raw, noisy, harsh, high-revving, agile.
I want a Honda Fit in MT as my next daily and only car. Which generation best provides the feel that I've described? Which years of that generation are best?

Timestamp - 06/09/2023 - ASG USW-A1 Please message me if there is not enough gap between links and you cannot click different timestamps!
Album - 06/09/2023 - Vortex gear
Posts take me ~ one hour to organize, so please tell me if the formatting is fucked!
Album - 06/09/2023 - APS MK1 CAM870 AOW
​
Album - 06/09/2023 - Stocks for KC-02 (two PMACA)
​
Timestamp - 05/22/2023 - HSP, Spiritus, Mission Spec gear
Please look at my posts across other markets - I typically mark things as sold, but feel free to ask (about stuff in other posts). I have plenty of flair, but I always use timestamps regardless.
Pushed for swap meets at Ultimate Battlegrounds in Bridgewater, MA and its been finally happening! If you can match value to value, I may be willing to trade as well - lower flair sends item first (or local).
Prices have shifted down since my last post - and I am willing to do BOGO50% off OR buy two, get one free - it will be more for bundles including larger items (don't ask for three mags to get one free).
**PLS READ THIS** \- If you cannot listen to instructions, there's a chance I will not do a sale with you.

1. MESSAGE MY INBOX.
2. GO TO NOTICATIONS MESSAGES.
3. COMMENT ON THE POST AS WELL SO I KNOW YOU ARE NOT BANNED
4. TYVM
5. Shipping info below We can discuss shipping based on bundling - shipping will depend on weight/size, but it likely will be $15 or less. CONUS only.

Newly Added:
ASG USWA1 w/ 8 CO2 mags - Timestamp - 06/09/2023 - ASG USWA1 - (same album as above)

• Got in a trade and is super dependable. Two mags have the CO2 cartridge stuck, so I'll work to get that fixed. I believe at least one of the mags has an issue (according to the previous owner) but I haven't come across it yet.
• $400 shipped for everything or best offer - this bundle could count as one item for a BOGO deal
• Retail pricing is - $215 for replica, $30/mag , $55 for strike systems holster - $510

Vortex Gear -

• Micro 3x + SPARC AR - $300 & $150 (new) online
• Barely used - $325 together or $250 & $125 if purchased separate

APS MK1 CAM870 AOW w/ upgrades - Album - 06/09/2023

• Got this on reddit but never got to field it. I have waited over a year for an hpa tank that goes to 1000 psi and have yet to receive it. This isn't an easy find so it'll have to be a decent offer.
• Includes: Mk3 firing pin (gold TIN color, well used), New steel magazine guides/forks, New TIN magazine collar (gold color) , +1 magazine extension, Extended magazine spring (real steel 870 spring clipped to proper size) , Original magazine cap , Threaded barrel with choke , Shell catcher ,Assorted caps/wads , some original broken parts.
• Shell stuff - 22 shells APS smart shells + 12 empty hulls + 4 S&T Stainless steel endcaps. One (extra) used tester shell potentially seal leak...
  • I am not splitting off the shells... they are ~$12 each on evike
• Can include items to make the paper wads - paper punch + card-stock
• Madbull CO2 adapter / filler set-up with Ninja remote line (recommended to use HPA instead)
• Shell maintenance/o-ring kits

Stocks for KC-02 - would prefer selling in person unless there is complete understanding that modification is needed to fit on a KJW Kc-02

• 2x PMACA mfg stocks
• Long nose Chassis - Blue Anodize
  • Barely modified the stock to fit kc-02 (kc-02 received the grinding instead)
  • Rear tang doesn't match up perfectly.
  • $163 + shipping on their website
• Lightweight Chassis - Mad Purple cerakote - not installable with a rear tang - new
  • $170 + shipping on their website
• Shorty stock - modification will be required on the KC-02 or the stock to get it working. Ability to get an adapter so you can run a buffer tube with a retractable stock
  • Can't remember where I bought it or the brand, but definitely solid (Ebay maybe?) ~$100 retail
• Feel free to make an offer on any of these - will sell for less than retail (of course)

Gear:
Plate carrier + Mask Imgur album - https://imgur.com/a/unw0KiX)
Condor LCS Vanquish Armor System - worth around $220-230, selling for $180 shipped/$170 local Gear that I used as back-up that hasn't seen use in a while. Great for someone jumping in who also wants to carry water or has a hpa tank.

• Comes with cummerbund
• Recon Magazine Bundle
• Blank molle panel
• Three AR mag panel
• Multicam black micro assault pack

Pilot mask (6mm ProShop) - $40 on evike - $30 local only

• Tinted and orange tint replacement lens included

Additional pictures for HSP, Spiritus, Mission Spec gear shown above (old timestamp)-

• Haley Strategic Partners D3CRM in black - $150 shipped
  • Shellback Tactical Flapsack 2.0 unused ($30 on evike)
  • In stock on HSP's website for $175 + shipping
  • Bought new from HSP over a year ago. Lightly used. Velcro is in great condition.
  • Pretty sure I have the backstrap

​

• Haley Strategic Partners D3CRX in Multicam Black - $220 shipped
  
  • Old Imgur album - Dangler shown in this album not included.
  • Comes with three of the four HSP M4 inserts.
  • Bought lightly used on reddit. Still lightly used.
  • Includes: multicam black X straps, backstrap, and D3CR Backpad ($30 new) for more comfort
  • Not available on HSP's website. Other colors are $200 (with no inserts)
• Mission Spec "Wing It" (Small) Ranger Green - $70 + shipping
  
  • Rig extension set-up. Buckles switch to the end of the wings to extend your rig mount capacity.
  • For me its similar to the Spiritus Systems "The Thing 2" - Not the best fit for those who are extra skinny (with a backpack) unless you have a bulky set up for the winter.
  • Bought from Mission Spec directly for $90 + shipping - took over 3 months to receive
• "The Thing 2" - rig extension set up - $60 + shipping (unless with other stuff)
  
  • Similar to Wing It but much more rigid - Not the best fit for those who are extra skinny (with a backpack) unless you have a bulky set up for the winter.
  • Fielded maybe once and realized I prefer flatpack + rig as my go-to set-up
  • Currently out of stock but on spiritus website for $75 + shipping - https://www.spiritussystems.com/the-thing-2/
• Spiritus Systems MK4 in multicam black - $65 + shipping (no straps) - NEW in bag
  
  • - On Spiritus's website - $75.95 + shipping (also w/o straps)
• Rig accessories
  
  • MP5 / subgun quad magazine insert - used once - $20 addon
  • 1x double pistol mag inserts - new - $10 addon
  • Viper gun sling - unused - $15 addon

KWA MP9 (foregrip model) with a second MP9 (rail model) for parts - old album https://imgur.com/a/k3EsBDh
**Not splitting at this time. Not the mags. Not the adapter.**
If you're building a mp9 from scratch and you're trying to get all of the upgrade parts, you're going to end up spending more than what I am offering here.

• ALMOST every wii-tech part that exists for the mp9. I got the inneouter barrel now.
• CNC 7075-T6 Loading Nozzle Chassis (installed)
• CNC Hardened Steel Buffer set
• CNC Hardened Steel Hammer part No. 26,48,49
• Loading Nozzle Recoil Springs and Butt-pad Spring
• CNC 7075-T6 Aluminium Top Gas Loading Nozzle set (installed)
• CNC Steel Enhanced Action Bar
• 60% Light Trigger Spring (installed+ spare)
• Loading Nozzle Chassis Piston gasket
• CNC Hardened Steel part No.34 , CNC Hardened Steel part No.151 , CNC Hardened Steel Disconnector
• CNC outer barrel, only works with wii tech inner (not included here - only $10 on their website)
• These parts above came out to: around $330 without shipping...
• Airsoft Artisan sliding stock - beautiful piece - $84 new from JKarmy (without shipping)
• T-N.T. APS-X Hop Up System Retrofit Kit for KSC-MP9 ( 275mm ) (Gold) - $133 JKARMY
• Tapp MP9 to mp5 hpa adapter - not crazy about tapp as I've gotten screwed by them but hey, it works. $140 from Tapp (cerakoted blue raspberry mag release)
• 3x short gg mags (1 leaks), 1 extended gg mag (leaks)
• 3D printed R&D parts (not made by me) - charging handle (installed) - $20
• Silencer I waited 3 months for from Evike https://www.evike.com/products/42435/)\--) $28 - may keep this
• Second mp9 has broken stock connection and stock is para-corded from previous owner.
• Has been taken apart to get other mp9 operational. CQB bolt carrier and regular bolt carrier Details:
• Shoots above my current field limit (1.7 J) (with .25g bbs and above) even with the lowest psi possible to actuate the bolt. I believe it has the CQB nozzle but may need the other cqb base (if there's a difference) from wiitech to bring fps down. Regardless I believe one of my reducers may work.
• Green gas mags with current long mag set up was 1.5J with .32g bbs (haven't tested in Summer weather)
• tapp mag may need a little work, as feeding through the tube is not perfect
• In parts alone, it is worth over $700, but please send me an offer. Will bring to swap meet on request. Will consider trades or negotiating!
• Additional pics with mags - mp9 mag album - https://imgur.com/a/7bZuZ54

​
Other GBBs - old album https://imgur.com/a/Pbzn0qR

• WE Galaxy silver - g-series - barely used , less than 500 rounds through it
  • Cost $140 (Evike) $90 + shipping or trades
• Includes one g17 standard magazine and original box
• Fielded once or twice as a sidearm

AEGs
ASG Scorpion Evo smg - https://imgur.com/a/PKsSFJD with sold spicy scorpion

• No paintjob - https://imgur.com/a/E4PHqf6
• Stock internals
• Stock selector
• Flashhideadapter stays + QD sling adapter near rails with me
• stays with me
• Original stock (I have an extra one for sale)
• Non-functional bolt catch/drop ):
• Upgraded spring guide
• CNC Evo trigger (silver)
• Scorpion Evo front/back sights included
• Trades if I must or best offer
  
• New ASG Scorpion Evo 3 Carbine 2020 - best offer local only - $450 on evike
  
  • ASG Scorpion Evo 3 https://imgur.com/a/rH10AxD
  • Came with deans, got in a trade as the original owner just didn't like the platform
  • Fourth Scorpion Evo I have had, but I already have an upgraded carbine
  • I'll include mags as long as I have some left with a final scorpion (or if all of them are sold)

ASG Scorpion Evo carbine barrel - https://imgur.com/a/GCR6pOd

• Magpul Zhukov stock with CNC adapter
• HBI rails
• Three prong flash hider
• IsleWorks CNC Al selector switch (tail left side, nub right side) (no longer manufactured)
• CNC Evo trigger
• Dremel work done to AEG side to reduce damaging Zhukov stock adapter. Still not totally flush which could be done with a touch more filing, but I am happy with where it is.
• SHS 13:1 gears & shimmed
• Leviathan mosfet installed
• Upgraded spring guide
• Can't remember spring strength but probably ASG m110
• Wire adapter to connect PEQ battery easy on rails
• This is a gun I am really proud to have built and properly shimmed. Plans are to eventually get a new motor (not that the stock motor has any issues. Preference is to not sell this, but taking offers. To give you an idea - it's ~$1000 in parts.

Thanks for getting all the way down here! I will likely be bringing these items to the local sale. Here's some items I have, but have not yet taken pictures of because interest is likely very limited.. Most of this stuff would be miserable to ship so I have only included local prices. Message me if you want pictures of any of these items TO BUY LOCALLY IN MA.
Local items - old timestamps
AKs & King Arms PDW Shorty https://imgur.com/a/eSniMhz

• King Arms PDW Long - $215 on evike, $180 local
  • Got it in a trade. New with the original box and still has the tag. It could have been fielded, but unsure. Local only.
• G&G Combat Machine M4 S-System - boneyard - free with the purchase of $300+ or you're someone who would appreciate working on a gearbox (LOCAL)
• Pictures https://imgur.com/a/A8Tj7vK
  
• JG/CYMA AK74u with Matrix LR300 stock, repro Zenitco lower rail assembly, repro metal foregrip (painted purple if you still want it, not shown) and scope rail that attaches to the left side of the AK.
  
  • Bought off of hop-up App. Gun supposedly was worked on/upgraded by "Georgia Airsoft". Received it and was disappointed with the amount of rust - presumably from the humid environment in Georgia. Lost interest in it based on the sheer weight
  • Worked last time I shot it though it had the notorious "jamming" by smashing semi... It's an easy swap to auto, shoot, and back to normal but still annoying.
• AK Imgur album
  
  • Paid around $300 for it, will let it go for $120 local
• DYTAC / Sharps Bros. / SLR Rifleworks Licensed AK47 MB47 - lightly used - $200 local
  
• Got from Evike and never went fully IN on the AK platform.
  
• evike link - $295 (on sale)
  
• 9in MLOK handguard, original mag, and original box. Many additional mags available
  
• Changed out the selector for a black retro arms one, with a retro arms screw in red
  

Local Items w/o pictures - feel free to reach out for pictures if you're local to UBG

• JG G-Spec VSR-10 ~~with modelworks body (body sold)~~ (boneyard) - local sale only- $80 OBO
  
  • Was sold to me as working, but immediately had firing issues that I believe has to do with the trigger box. When pulling back the bolt, the bolt will suddenly slam forward and fire.
  • I'm content that I sold the modelworks stock so I'll give the VSR10 remnants for free (local) to anyone who buys ANYTHING else
• Magpul Hunter X-22 (10/22) stock - FDE
  
  • Purchased with a built KC-02 (came with the KC-02 barrel I have above) and never really used it.
  • I have over 5 different KC-02 / 10/22 stocks to swap between so I really need to let this go - and honestly I need to get some of the other ones on here.
  • $130 new, so I'll let it go for $90 + shipping or $80 local
• Magazine bundles
  
  • M4 mags - High/mid
  • AK mags - High/mid
    • (only for AK purchasers/until AKs are gone)
• Scorpion/AK/MP5 drum adapter
  
• G series 2x CO2 Mags (extended) - $50 for both with any purchase or $30 ea
  
  • Use CO2 mags at your own risk. They have blown the back sites off of several pistols
• CO2 Mag (standard) - $20
  
  • Use CO2 mags at your own risk. They have blown the back sites off of several pistols.

Accessories/attachments

• Scopes, foregrips, rail covers, other parts
• V3 upgrade parts & some external retro arms AK parts
• VFC Avalon gearbox (complete/no motor)
• VFC Avalon gearbox shells x2
• Boneyard bin
• Batteries, not sure what state they are in

Disclaimer: Please do your own research on these parts. I am not responsible for getting your KC or G-series gbb working 100% after purchasing upgrades. There are no known issues with the upgrade parts, but the stock parts are unknown. I will inspect before sending out. No returns. Prices have already been reduced. Talk to me for negotiating further. Rogueworx KC-02 parts - Please check out Rogueworx's website for these parts. - https://rougeworx.com The bolt carriers and pistons are newer versions than what I have here. If you have a kc-02 and you didn't already know, there is also a discord which proves to be very helpful. Spreadsheet broke so - First number is cost on from Rogeworx/supplier, not including shipping cost from the UK. KC-02 parts album

• RogueWorx Heavyweight bolt carrier & piston (#49) - Stainless Steel - $136$100 + shipping
  • Limited release, likely never done with a V1 piston again as a V2 piston has been done).
  • Less than 1000 shots.
• RogueWorx Aluminum bolt carrier V12 - raw $60$40
  • Less than 1000 shots. Bought new as first bolt carrier.
• RogueWorx Aluminum bolt carrier Earlier than V12? - bronze splattered black - $60$35
  • Came in used KC I purchased. Unknown usage.
  • RogueWorx Sabre Mag Release lever - Gold $40$30
  • Barely used.
• RogueWorx Sabre Mag Release lever - Black $40$30
  • Came on used KC I purchased.
• RogueWorx Talon KC-02 Charging Handle - Gold $34$25
  • Barely used.
• RWKF - CNC piston - Batch 5 - grey $41$30
  • Less than 1000 shots. Bought new as first piston upgrade.
• Rogueworx - Apollo rocket valve (new) - $21$10
• Stock KC-02 parts - iyky - only naming some obvious ones
  • 3x stock trigger sets (hammer, sear, trigger)
  • 3+ stock bolt carrier + piston sets
  • no cross pins for pistons available - I have longer dowels I can give to you that will have to be cut)
  • 3+ Stock plastic feed nozzles - no rocket valve/spring included. These were salvaged for that purpose. Some have cross pins.

There are many items here so if it's a stock part I won't be listing the price here (G-series and KC-02). The going rate of most g-series/kc parts will be what jk-army charges but without the shipping cost of shipping from HK. The main purpose for these parts is to help those in desperate need of a fix for their kc and to get rid of these parts. If you want to offer me a lot price for the stock parts, go ahead. G-Series parts - [pictures](https://imgur.com/a/Zpuzvhl) - Plastic slides x2 (One with the trades messed up) - Stock hop-up (G17) with stock barrel and bucking - 3 stock G17 barrels, 2 with stock bucking
Items that I will accept for trading purposes but remember - CASH IS KING
Accessories:
* G-series/AAP-01 mags (boneyard or working)

• AAP-01 parts/upgrades
• KC-02 compatible stocks/body kits
• ASG Scorpion Evo 3 parts
• Suppressor(s)
• Dye i4 masks
• Thunder B grenades/parts
• Haley Strategic Flatpack(s)

Airsoft replicas:

• Polarstar system or redline
• Arrow Arms/other brand APCs
• Adorable PCCs that are not the ARP9 or that meh looking gun with a skull molded into the lower (sorry but yuck)
• VFC MCX or MPX - boneyard/HPA ready or AEG-working
• VFC Avalon Mp5 - boneyard\*\*\*
• VFC Avalon Mp5 - working\*\*\* or HPA
• VFC Avalon M4 variant - working, boneyard, or body shell
• Krytac M4 variation - pref working AEG. Meant for my fiancé so she can swap from HPA to AEG.
• Rogueworx KC-02 parts (purple preferred)
• Boneyard KC-02s
• ASG Scorpion Evo 3 (boneyard/working)
• AAP-01 - working or boneyard
  • I'll trade guns for multiple AAP-01s
• G-series gbb (WE & TM only pls) + mags
  • Preferably stock oor working
• Other gbb pistols that are NOT a 1911 or M9 variant
• H8r revolver

Thank you for getting all the way down here. Now please, make sure you send an INBOX MESSAGE to me - do not use the instant chat! Message me and we can talk airsoft - worst I can say is: no thank you.

Back once again to sell stuff I don’t use. None of these have ever cut or been carried by me and all are in great shape. Looking for sales not trades, unless you have a Hogue Deka Magnacut wharny or a low-end Demko AD20.5 with the sharkfoot blade. Paypal can be used to balance those trades, as well, either way.
Timestamps: https://imgur.com/a/RRW7gV9
Cold Steel AD-10 ($90) – Bought this just the other day and to be honest, I’m more interested in the Lite version of this with the tanto blade or the AD-15 Lite. I’d just feel a lot better about beating those up outdoors. Excellent condition. S35VN, G10, TriAd lock. This thing is a tank.
https://imgur.com/a/XEZ6D3N
Kizer Sheepdog XL ($60) SOLD– Love this knife, but I’ve got way too many big honkin’ chonkers and I need to pare down, starting with this guy. Excellent condition, but the deep carry clip shows a tiny bit of wear. Thinner blade and handle profile than most knives this size, so while it’s a really big boy, it’s very slicey and much easier to carry. BD1N blade w/ brown micarta.
https://imgur.com/a/CpCVV4p
Boker Urban Survival ($45 - $40) SOLD– Little guy. Bought this new and haven’t used it to cut anything other than myself. Thing is a nasty little razor. Feels good in the hand, but my hands are too big to effectively use the thumb stud without trouble. I can roll it fine, but not flick it. 440C with aluminum handle. Comes with box, taco pouch, and everything Boker included. The smudge on the second pic is oil.
https://imgur.com/a/mc2XXbR
The Miscellaneous Cool Knife Bundle (4 knives) - $65 $60 SOLD
Picked these up at different times. All are in great shape. Only one was bought used and I never cut with any of them. Shikra comes in its box, the rest will come wrapped in bubble wrap.
QSP Penguin – This is the one I bought used and the only one that’s been carried. Couple scratches on the blade and it looks like it’s been tumbled or something. I think it looks really good and it hurts to let it go. Best thumb stud action out of any knife I own. Letting it go because I want to buy a more premium version for the rotation, I think. Micarta feels good and is nicely broken in.
Ontario Shikra – I like it, but I don’t love it. It’s good and all, but I’m just not crazy about knives that only have the micarta on one side and I didn’t know that when I bought it new. Never cut, never carried. Aus 8 with green micarta. Very pokey.
Gerber Pledge –Bought this new from an Academy store. Out of all of the cheaper Gerber knives, this is my favorite. If it came with a more premium steel, I think it would be talked about a lot more. Really sharp and it feels good in the hand. Has one of those flat thumbstud shelf thingies. GFN handle with 7Cr17MoV. I really like the sheepsfoot blade. It’s long and useful. Came in a blister pack I had to murder to get it out, so no box.
Kershaw Reverb XL – Man, this thing looks cool as hell. Deep carry clip and a frame lock, but another one of those “scale on one side, steel on the other” jobs. I struggle flipping this one. It has milling or something in the blade to flip it out with, but I cant get a good grip with these hams I’m workin with. I can roll it out, though. Nice and useful carabiner on the end. I really dig the profile and it feels good in the hand. Carbon fiber overlay on the show side and a carbo-nitride titanium coating on the illustrious 8cr13MoV blade. This one’s packaging also gave its life to my access, so... no box!
https://imgur.com/a/hQn53h1
The Chinese Sampler Bundle (5 knives) - $50 $45 SOLD
Picked these up in various bundles here and there. All have been used (not by me), but have good action and are in good condition. Will come individually wrapped in bubble wrap. Excuse my prints on the Ganzo.
Tunafire - Nice flipping action. I like the orange pivot collar with the green micarta. D2.
Sitivien ST139 –Someone tumbled the blade and pocket clip. I like the look. Good, comfortable finger choil. Flips well. Black/Green G10 & Sandvik 14C28N. Comes with a utilitarian plastic lanyard/fob thingy.
Land 911 – Great thumb stud action and really nice liner lock cut out . Green G10 & Sandvik 12C27. I really didn’t expect much here, but Land makes some pretty solid stuff.
Ganzo Firebird F755 – Great thumb stud action. Has Ganzo’s version of the axis lock (G-Lock). Black carbon fiber overlay on G10, I’m assuming. Blue screws, pivot, and thumb stud. Really good finger choil and jimping on top that makes this feel really good in the hand. I have a bunch of cleaver-style knives and damnit if this one doesn’t feel the most useful lol.
Dispatch ? –Spring assisted and it really fires out. I read somewhere that they sold these on Amazon for 15, but I don’t see them anywhere now. Their website doesn’t have it, but it does have a lot of gas station looking knives being held by dudes in fingerless tactical gloves. Rad. They have some actually attractive stuff too. Steel blade and… metal handle. Feels really solid and has some decent heft. Be a good knife to throw in the vehicle or to take fishing.
https://imgur.com/a/shwuwK4
You know the drill. Yolo > Chat and since I don’t have 25 swaps yet, it’s Paypal G&S for your protection. Age 18+ please.

Good Friday evening to all of you here on StockMarketChat! I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and are ready for the new trading week ahead. :)
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning June 12th, 2023.

S&P 500 notches fourth straight positive week, touches highest level since August: Live updates - (Source)

The S&P 500 rose slightly Friday, touching the 4,300 level for the first time since August 2022 as investors looked ahead to upcoming inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement.
The broad-market index gained 0.11%, closing at 4,298.86. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.16% to end at 13,259.14. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded up 43.17 points, or 0.13%, closing at 33,876.78. It was the 30-stock Dow’s fourth consecutive positive day.
For the week, the S&P 500 was up 0.39%. This was the broad-market index’s fourth straight winning week — a feat it last accomplished in August. The Nasdaq was up about 0.14%, posting its seventh straight winning week — its first streak of that length since November 2019. The Dow advanced 0.34%.
Investors were encouraged by signs that a broader swath of stocks, including small-cap equities, was participating in the recent rally. The Russell 2000 was down slightly on the day, but notched a weekly gain of 1.9%.
“It’s the first time in a while where investors seem to be feeling a greater sense of certainty. And we think that’s been a turning point from what had been more of a bearish cautious sentiment,” said Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments.
“We think that as we walk through these next few weeks, that will be increasingly clear that the economy is more resilient than folks have given it credit for the last six months,” said Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments. “That will sort of dawn on people that small-caps and cyclicals probably have a reasonable shot to play catch up.”
The market is also looking toward next week’s consumer price index numbers and the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Markets are currently anticipating a more than 71% probability the central bank will pause on rate hikes at the June meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

S&P Sectors for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE S&P SECTORS FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)

June’s Quad Witching Options Expiration Riddled With Volatility

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

The second Triple Witching Week (Quadruple Witching if you prefer) of the year brings on some volatile trading with losses frequently exceeding gains. NASDAQ has the weakest record on the first trading day of the week. Triple-Witching Friday is usually better, S&P 500 has been up 12 of the last 20 years, but down 6 of the last 8.
Full-week performance is choppy as well, littered with greater than 1% moves in both directions. The week after June’s Triple-Witching Day is horrendous. This week has experienced DJIA losses in 27 of the last 33 years with an average performance of –0.81%. S&P 500 and NASDAQ have fared better during the week after over the same 33-year span. S&P 500’s averaged –0.46%. NASDAQ has averaged +0.03%. 2022’s sizable gains during the week after improve historical average performance notably.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

A New Bull Market: What’s Driving It?

The S&P 500 finally closed 20% above its October 12th (2022) closing low. This puts the index in “official” bull market territory.
Of course, if you had been reading or listening to Ryan on our Facts vs Feelings podcast, you’d have heard him say that October 12th was the low. He actually wrote a piece titled “Why Stocks Likely Just Bottomed” on October 19th!
The S&P 500 Index fell 25% from its peak on January 3rd, 2022 through October 12th. The subsequent 20% gain still puts it 10% below the prior peak. This does get to “math of volatility”. The index would need to gain 33% from its low to regain that level. This is a reason why it’s always better to lose less, is because you need to gain less to get back to even.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

So, what’s next? The good news is that future returns are strong. In his latest piece, Ryan wrote that out of 13 times when stocks rose 20% off a 52-week low, 10 of those times the lows were not violated. The average return 12 months later was close to 18%. The only time we didn’t see a gain was in the 2001-2002 bear market.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

** Digging into the return drivers**
It’s interesting to look at what’s been driving returns over the past year. This can help us think about what may lie ahead. The question was prompted by our friend, Sam Ro’s latest piece on the bull market breakout. He wrote that earnings haven’t been as bad as expected. More importantly, prospects have actually been improving.
The chart below shows earnings expectations for the S&P 500 over the next 12 months. You can see how it rose in the first half of 2022, before collapsing over the second half of the year. The collapse continued into January of this year. But since then, earnings expectations have steadily risen. In fact, they’ve accelerated higher since mid-April, after the last earnings season started. Currently, they’re higher than where we started the year.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Backing up a bit: we can break apart the price return of a stock (or index) into two components:

• Earnings growth
  
• Valuation multiple growth
  

I decomposed annual S&P 500 returns from 2020 – 2023 (through June 8th) into these two components. The chart below shows how these added up to the total return for each year. It also includes:

• The bear market pullback from January 3rd, 2022, through October 12th, 2022
  
• And the 20% rally from the low through June 8th, 2023
  

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

You can see how multiple changes have dominated the swing in returns.
The notable exception is 2021, when the S&P 500 return was propelled by earnings growth. In contrast, the 2022 pullback was entirely attributed to multiple contraction. Earnings made a positive contribution in 2022.
Now, multiple contraction is not surprising given the rapid change in rates, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) looked to get on top of inflation. However, they are close to the end of rate hikes, and so that’s no longer a big drag on multiples.
Consequently, multiple growth has pulled the index higher this year. You can see how multiple contraction basically drove the pullback in the Index during the bear market, through the low. But since then, multiples have expanded, pretty much driving the 20% gain.
Here’s a more dynamic picture of the S&P 500’s cumulative price return action from January 3rd, 2022, through June 8th, 2023. The chart also shows the contribution from earnings and multiple growth. As you can see, earnings have been fairly steady, rising 4% over the entire period. However, the swing in multiples is what drove the price return volatility.
Multiples contracted by 14%, and when combined with 4% earnings growth, you experienced the index return of -10%.
What next?
As I pointed out above, the problem for stocks last year was multiple contraction, which was driven by a rapid surge in interest rates.
The good news is that we’re probably close to end of rate hikes. The Fed may go ahead with just one more rate hike (in July), which is not much within the context of the 5%-point increase in rates that they implemented over the past year.
Our view is that rates are likely to remain where they are for a while. But rates are unlikely to rise from 5% to 10%, or even 7%, unless we get another major inflation shock.
This means a major obstacle that hindered stocks last year is dissipating. The removal of this headwind is yet another positive factor for stocks as we look ahead into the second half of the year.

Why Low Volatility Isn’t Bearish

“There is no such thing as average when it comes to the stock market or investing.” -Ryan Detrick
You might have heard by now, but the CBOE Volatility Index (better known as the VIX) made a new 52-week low earlier this week and closed beneath 14 for the first time in more than three years. This has many in the financial media clamoring that ‘the VIX is low and this is bearish’.
They have been telling us (incorrectly) that only five stocks have been going up and this was bearish, that a recession was right around the corner, that the yield curve being inverted was bearish, that M2 money supply YoY tanking was bearish, and now we have the VIX being low is bearish. We’ve disagreed with all of these worries and now we take issue with a low VIX as being bearish.
What exactly is the VIX you ask? I’d suggest reading this summary from Investopedia for a full explanation, but it is simply how much option players are willing to pay up for potential volatility over the coming 30 days. If they sense volatility, they will pay up for insurance. What you might know is that when the VIX is high (say above 30), that means the market tends to be more volatile and likely in a bearish phase. Versus a low VIX (say sub 15) historically has lead to some really nice bull markets and small amounts of volatility.
Back to your regularly scheduled blog now.
The last time the VIX went this long above 14 was for more than five years, ending in August 2012. You know what happened next that time? The S&P 500 added more than 18% the following 12 months. Yes, this is a sample size of one, but I think it shows that a VIX sub 14 by itself isn’t the end of the world.
One of the key concepts around volatility is trends can last for years. What I mean by this is for years the VIX can be high and for years it can be low. Since 1990, the average VIX was 19.7, but it rarely trades around that average. Take another look at the quote I’ve used many times above, as averages aren’t so average. This chart is one I’ve used for years now and I think we could be on the cusp of another low volatility regime. The red areas are times the VIX was consistently above 20, while the yellow were beneath 20. What you also need to know is those red periods usually took place during bear markets and very volatile markets, while the yellow periods were hallmarked by low volatility and higher equity prices. Are we about to enter a new period of lower volatility? No one of course knows, but if this is about to happen (which is my vote), it is another reason to think that higher equity prices (our base case as we remain overweight equities in our Carson House Views) will be coming.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Lastly, I’ll leave you on this potentially bullish point. We like to use relative ratios to get a feel for how one asset is going versus to another. We always want to be in assets or sectors that are showing relative strength, while avoiding areas that are weak.
Well, stocks just broke out to new highs relative to bonds once again. After a period of consolidation during the bear market last year, now we have stocks firmly in the driver seat relative to bonds. This is another reason we remain overweight stocks currently and continue to expect stocks to do better than bonds going forward.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Our Leading Economic Index Says the Economy is Not in a Recession

We’ve been writing since the end of last year about how we believe the economy can avoid a recession in 2023, including in our 2023 outlook. This has run contrary to most other economists’ predictions. Interestingly, the tide has been shifting recently, as we’ve gotten a string of relatively stronger economic data. More so after the latest payrolls data, which surprised again.
One challenge with economic data is that we get so many of them, and a lot of times they can send conflicting signals. It can be hard to parse through all of it and come up with an updated view of the economy after every data release.
One approach is to combine these into a single indicator, i.e. a “leading economic index” (LEI). It’s “leading” because the idea is to give you an early warning signal about economic turning points.
Simply put, it tells you what the economy is doing today and what it is likely to do in the near future.
The most popular LEI points to recession
One of the most widely used LEI’s is released by the Conference Board, and it currently points to recession. As you can see in the chart below, the Conference Board’s LEI is highly correlated with GDP growth – the chart shows year-over-year change in both.
You can see how the index started to fall ahead of the 2001 and 2008 recession (shaded areas). The 2020 pandemic recession was an anomaly since it hit so suddenly. In any case, using an LEI means we didn’t have to wait for GDP data (which are released well after a quarter ends) to tell us whether the economy was close to, or in a recession.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

As you probably noticed above, the LEI is down 8% year-over-year, signaling a recession over the next 12 months. It’s been pointing to a recession since last fall, with the index declining for 13 straight months through April.
Quoting the Conference Board:
“The Conference Board forecasts a contraction of economic activity starting in Q2 leading to a mild recession by mid-2023.”
Safe to say, we’re close to mid-2023 and there’s no sign of a recession yet.
What’s inside the LEI
The Conference Board’s LEI has 10 components of which,

• 3 are financial market indicators, including the S&P 500, and make up 22% of the index
• 4 measure business and manufacturing activity (44%)
• 1 measures housing activity (3%)
• 2 are related to the consumer, including the labor market (31%)

You can see how these indicators have pulled the index down by 4.4% over the past 6 months, and by -0.6% in April alone.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here’s the thing. This popular LEI is premised on the fact that the manufacturing sector, and business activity/sentiment, is a leading indicator of the economy. This worked well in the past but is probably not indicative of what’s happening in the economy right now. For one thing, the manufacturing sector makes up just about 11% of GDP.
Consumption makes up 68% of the economy, and we believe it’s important to capture that.
In fact, consumption was strong in Q1 and even at the start of Q2, thanks to rising real incomes. Housing is also making a turnaround and should no longer be a drag on the economy going forward (as it has been over the past 8 quarters). The Federal Reserve (Fed) is also close to being done with rate hikes. Plus, as my colleague, Ryan Detrick pointed out, the stock market’s turned around and is close to entering a new bull market.
Obviously, there are a lot of data points that we look at and one way we parse through all of it is by constructing our own leading economic index.
An LEI that better reflects the US economy
We believe our proprietary LEI better captures the dynamics of the US economy. It was developed a decade ago and is a key input into our asset allocation decisions.
In contrast to the Conference Board’s measure, it includes 20+ components, including,

• Consumer-related indicators (make up 50% of the index)
• Housing activity (18%)
• Business and manufacturing activity (23%)
• Financial markets (9%)

Just as an example, the consumer-related data includes unemployment benefit claims, weekly hours worked, and vehicle sales. Housing includes indicators like building permits and new home sales.
The chart below shows how our LEI has moved through time – capturing whether the economy is growing below trend, on-trend (a value close to zero), or above trend. Like the Conference Board’s measure, it is able to capture major turning points in the business cycle. It declined ahead of the actual start of the 2011 and 2008 recessions.
As of April, our index is indicating that the economy is growing right along trend.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Last year, the index signaled that the economy was growing below trend, and that the risk of a recession was high.
Note that it didn’t point to an actual recession. Just that “risk” of one was higher than normal. In fact, our LEI held close to the lows we saw over the last decade, especially in 2011 and 2016 (after which the economy, and even the stock market, recovered).
The following chart captures a close-up view of the last 3 and half years, which includes the Covid pullback and subsequent recovery. The contribution from the 4 major categories is also shown. You can see how the consumer has remained strong over the past year – in fact, consumer indicators have been stronger this year than in late 2022.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

The main risk of a recession last year was due to the Fed raising rates as fast as they did, which adversely impacted housing, financial markets, and business activity.
The good news is that these sectors are improving even as consumer strength continues. The improvement in housing is notable. Additionally, the drag from financial conditions is beginning to ease as we think that the Federal Reserve gets closer to the end of rate hikes, and markets rally.
Putting the Puzzle Together
Another novel part of our approach is that we have an LEI like the one for the US for more than 25 other countries. Each one is custom built to capture the dynamics of those economies. The individual country LEIs are also subsequently rolled up to a global index to give us a picture of the global economy, as shown below.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

I want to emphasize that we do not rely solely on this as the one and only input into our asset allocation, portfolio and risk management decisions. While it is an important component that encapsulates a lot of significant information, it is just one piece of the puzzle. Our process also has other pillars such as policy (both monetary and fiscal), technical factors, and valuations.
We believe it’s important to put all these pieces together, kind of like putting together a puzzle, to understand what’s happening in the economy and markets, and position portfolios accordingly.
Putting together a puzzle is both a mechanistic and artistic process. The mechanistic aspect involves sorting the pieces, finding edges, and matching colors, etc. It requires a logical and methodical approach, and in our process the LEI is key to that.
However, there is an artistic element as well. As we assemble the pieces together, a larger picture gradually emerges. You can make creative decisions about how each piece fits within the overall picture. Within the context of portfolio management, that takes a diverse range of experience. Which is the core strength of our Investment Research Team.

Welcome to the New Bull Market

“If you torture numbers enough, they will tell you anything.” -Yogi Berra, Yankee great and Hall of Fame catcher
Don’t shoot the messenger, but historically, it is widely considered a new bull market once stocks are more than 20% off their bear market lows. This is similar to when stocks are down 20% they are in a bear market. Well, the S&P 500 is less than one percent away from this 20% threshold, so get ready to hear a lot about it when it eventually happens.
I’m not crazy about this concept, as we’ve been in the camp that the bear market ended in October for months now (we started to say it in late October, getting some really odd looks I might add), meaning a new bull market has been here for a while. Take another look at the great Yogi quote above, as someone can get whatever they want probably when talking about bear and bull markets.
None the less, what exactly does a 20% move higher off a bear market low really mean? The good news is future returns are quite strong.
We found 13 times that stocks soared at least 20% off a 52-week low and 10 times the lows were indeed in and not violated. The only times it didn’t work? Twice during the tech bubble implosion and once during the Financial Crisis. In other words, some of the truly worst times to be invested in stocks. But the other 10 times, once there was a 20% gain, the lows were in and in most cases, higher prices were soon coming. This chart does a nice job of showing this concept, with the red dots the times new lows were still yet to come after a 20% bounce.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here’s a table with all the breakdowns. A year later stocks were down only once and that was during the 2001/2002 bear market, with the average gain a year after a 20% bounce at a very impressive 17.7%. It is worth noting that the one- and three-month returns aren’t anything special, probably because some type of consolidation would be expected after surges higher, but six months and a year later are quite strong.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

As we’ve been saying this full year, we continue to expect stocks to do well this year and the upward move is firmly in place and studies like this do little to change our opinion.

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending June 9th, 2023

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 6/11/23

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)
Here is the list of notable tickers reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-

($ADBE $ORCL $KR $ACB $ATEX $ITI $LEN $MPAA $JBL $ECX $POWW $HITI $MMMB $CGNT $WLY $RFIL)

(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)

(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!]())

(NONE.)

Here is the full list of companies report earnings for this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 6.12.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

Monday 6.12.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 6.13.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

Tuesday 6.13.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 6.14.23 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 6.14.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 6.15.23 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 6.15.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 6.16.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!]())

(NONE.)

Friday 6.16.23 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.)

(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.) (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.).

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?

Join the Official Reddit Stock Market Chat Discord Server HERE!

I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great new trading week ahead StockMarketChat. :)

Good Friday evening to all of you here on WallStreetStockMarket! I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and are ready for the new trading week ahead. :)
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning June 12th, 2023.

S&P 500 notches fourth straight positive week, touches highest level since August: Live updates - (Source)

The S&P 500 rose slightly Friday, touching the 4,300 level for the first time since August 2022 as investors looked ahead to upcoming inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement.
The broad-market index gained 0.11%, closing at 4,298.86. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.16% to end at 13,259.14. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded up 43.17 points, or 0.13%, closing at 33,876.78. It was the 30-stock Dow’s fourth consecutive positive day.
For the week, the S&P 500 was up 0.39%. This was the broad-market index’s fourth straight winning week — a feat it last accomplished in August. The Nasdaq was up about 0.14%, posting its seventh straight winning week — its first streak of that length since November 2019. The Dow advanced 0.34%.
Investors were encouraged by signs that a broader swath of stocks, including small-cap equities, was participating in the recent rally. The Russell 2000 was down slightly on the day, but notched a weekly gain of 1.9%.
“It’s the first time in a while where investors seem to be feeling a greater sense of certainty. And we think that’s been a turning point from what had been more of a bearish cautious sentiment,” said Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments.
“We think that as we walk through these next few weeks, that will be increasingly clear that the economy is more resilient than folks have given it credit for the last six months,” said Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments. “That will sort of dawn on people that small-caps and cyclicals probably have a reasonable shot to play catch up.”
The market is also looking toward next week’s consumer price index numbers and the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Markets are currently anticipating a more than 71% probability the central bank will pause on rate hikes at the June meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

S&P Sectors for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE S&P SECTORS FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)

June’s Quad Witching Options Expiration Riddled With Volatility

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

The second Triple Witching Week (Quadruple Witching if you prefer) of the year brings on some volatile trading with losses frequently exceeding gains. NASDAQ has the weakest record on the first trading day of the week. Triple-Witching Friday is usually better, S&P 500 has been up 12 of the last 20 years, but down 6 of the last 8.
Full-week performance is choppy as well, littered with greater than 1% moves in both directions. The week after June’s Triple-Witching Day is horrendous. This week has experienced DJIA losses in 27 of the last 33 years with an average performance of –0.81%. S&P 500 and NASDAQ have fared better during the week after over the same 33-year span. S&P 500’s averaged –0.46%. NASDAQ has averaged +0.03%. 2022’s sizable gains during the week after improve historical average performance notably.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

A New Bull Market: What’s Driving It?

The S&P 500 finally closed 20% above its October 12th (2022) closing low. This puts the index in “official” bull market territory.
Of course, if you had been reading or listening to Ryan on our Facts vs Feelings podcast, you’d have heard him say that October 12th was the low. He actually wrote a piece titled “Why Stocks Likely Just Bottomed” on October 19th!
The S&P 500 Index fell 25% from its peak on January 3rd, 2022 through October 12th. The subsequent 20% gain still puts it 10% below the prior peak. This does get to “math of volatility”. The index would need to gain 33% from its low to regain that level. This is a reason why it’s always better to lose less, is because you need to gain less to get back to even.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

So, what’s next? The good news is that future returns are strong. In his latest piece, Ryan wrote that out of 13 times when stocks rose 20% off a 52-week low, 10 of those times the lows were not violated. The average return 12 months later was close to 18%. The only time we didn’t see a gain was in the 2001-2002 bear market.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

** Digging into the return drivers**
It’s interesting to look at what’s been driving returns over the past year. This can help us think about what may lie ahead. The question was prompted by our friend, Sam Ro’s latest piece on the bull market breakout. He wrote that earnings haven’t been as bad as expected. More importantly, prospects have actually been improving.
The chart below shows earnings expectations for the S&P 500 over the next 12 months. You can see how it rose in the first half of 2022, before collapsing over the second half of the year. The collapse continued into January of this year. But since then, earnings expectations have steadily risen. In fact, they’ve accelerated higher since mid-April, after the last earnings season started. Currently, they’re higher than where we started the year.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Backing up a bit: we can break apart the price return of a stock (or index) into two components:

• Earnings growth
  
• Valuation multiple growth
  

I decomposed annual S&P 500 returns from 2020 – 2023 (through June 8th) into these two components. The chart below shows how these added up to the total return for each year. It also includes:

• The bear market pullback from January 3rd, 2022, through October 12th, 2022
  
• And the 20% rally from the low through June 8th, 2023
  

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

You can see how multiple changes have dominated the swing in returns.
The notable exception is 2021, when the S&P 500 return was propelled by earnings growth. In contrast, the 2022 pullback was entirely attributed to multiple contraction. Earnings made a positive contribution in 2022.
Now, multiple contraction is not surprising given the rapid change in rates, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) looked to get on top of inflation. However, they are close to the end of rate hikes, and so that’s no longer a big drag on multiples.
Consequently, multiple growth has pulled the index higher this year. You can see how multiple contraction basically drove the pullback in the Index during the bear market, through the low. But since then, multiples have expanded, pretty much driving the 20% gain.
Here’s a more dynamic picture of the S&P 500’s cumulative price return action from January 3rd, 2022, through June 8th, 2023. The chart also shows the contribution from earnings and multiple growth. As you can see, earnings have been fairly steady, rising 4% over the entire period. However, the swing in multiples is what drove the price return volatility.
Multiples contracted by 14%, and when combined with 4% earnings growth, you experienced the index return of -10%.
What next?
As I pointed out above, the problem for stocks last year was multiple contraction, which was driven by a rapid surge in interest rates.
The good news is that we’re probably close to end of rate hikes. The Fed may go ahead with just one more rate hike (in July), which is not much within the context of the 5%-point increase in rates that they implemented over the past year.
Our view is that rates are likely to remain where they are for a while. But rates are unlikely to rise from 5% to 10%, or even 7%, unless we get another major inflation shock.
This means a major obstacle that hindered stocks last year is dissipating. The removal of this headwind is yet another positive factor for stocks as we look ahead into the second half of the year.

Why Low Volatility Isn’t Bearish

“There is no such thing as average when it comes to the stock market or investing.” -Ryan Detrick
You might have heard by now, but the CBOE Volatility Index (better known as the VIX) made a new 52-week low earlier this week and closed beneath 14 for the first time in more than three years. This has many in the financial media clamoring that ‘the VIX is low and this is bearish’.
They have been telling us (incorrectly) that only five stocks have been going up and this was bearish, that a recession was right around the corner, that the yield curve being inverted was bearish, that M2 money supply YoY tanking was bearish, and now we have the VIX being low is bearish. We’ve disagreed with all of these worries and now we take issue with a low VIX as being bearish.
What exactly is the VIX you ask? I’d suggest reading this summary from Investopedia for a full explanation, but it is simply how much option players are willing to pay up for potential volatility over the coming 30 days. If they sense volatility, they will pay up for insurance. What you might know is that when the VIX is high (say above 30), that means the market tends to be more volatile and likely in a bearish phase. Versus a low VIX (say sub 15) historically has lead to some really nice bull markets and small amounts of volatility.
Back to your regularly scheduled blog now.
The last time the VIX went this long above 14 was for more than five years, ending in August 2012. You know what happened next that time? The S&P 500 added more than 18% the following 12 months. Yes, this is a sample size of one, but I think it shows that a VIX sub 14 by itself isn’t the end of the world.
One of the key concepts around volatility is trends can last for years. What I mean by this is for years the VIX can be high and for years it can be low. Since 1990, the average VIX was 19.7, but it rarely trades around that average. Take another look at the quote I’ve used many times above, as averages aren’t so average. This chart is one I’ve used for years now and I think we could be on the cusp of another low volatility regime. The red areas are times the VIX was consistently above 20, while the yellow were beneath 20. What you also need to know is those red periods usually took place during bear markets and very volatile markets, while the yellow periods were hallmarked by low volatility and higher equity prices. Are we about to enter a new period of lower volatility? No one of course knows, but if this is about to happen (which is my vote), it is another reason to think that higher equity prices (our base case as we remain overweight equities in our Carson House Views) will be coming.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Lastly, I’ll leave you on this potentially bullish point. We like to use relative ratios to get a feel for how one asset is going versus to another. We always want to be in assets or sectors that are showing relative strength, while avoiding areas that are weak.
Well, stocks just broke out to new highs relative to bonds once again. After a period of consolidation during the bear market last year, now we have stocks firmly in the driver seat relative to bonds. This is another reason we remain overweight stocks currently and continue to expect stocks to do better than bonds going forward.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Our Leading Economic Index Says the Economy is Not in a Recession

We’ve been writing since the end of last year about how we believe the economy can avoid a recession in 2023, including in our 2023 outlook. This has run contrary to most other economists’ predictions. Interestingly, the tide has been shifting recently, as we’ve gotten a string of relatively stronger economic data. More so after the latest payrolls data, which surprised again.
One challenge with economic data is that we get so many of them, and a lot of times they can send conflicting signals. It can be hard to parse through all of it and come up with an updated view of the economy after every data release.
One approach is to combine these into a single indicator, i.e. a “leading economic index” (LEI). It’s “leading” because the idea is to give you an early warning signal about economic turning points.
Simply put, it tells you what the economy is doing today and what it is likely to do in the near future.
The most popular LEI points to recession
One of the most widely used LEI’s is released by the Conference Board, and it currently points to recession. As you can see in the chart below, the Conference Board’s LEI is highly correlated with GDP growth – the chart shows year-over-year change in both.
You can see how the index started to fall ahead of the 2001 and 2008 recession (shaded areas). The 2020 pandemic recession was an anomaly since it hit so suddenly. In any case, using an LEI means we didn’t have to wait for GDP data (which are released well after a quarter ends) to tell us whether the economy was close to, or in a recession.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

As you probably noticed above, the LEI is down 8% year-over-year, signaling a recession over the next 12 months. It’s been pointing to a recession since last fall, with the index declining for 13 straight months through April.
Quoting the Conference Board:
“The Conference Board forecasts a contraction of economic activity starting in Q2 leading to a mild recession by mid-2023.”
Safe to say, we’re close to mid-2023 and there’s no sign of a recession yet.
What’s inside the LEI
The Conference Board’s LEI has 10 components of which,

• 3 are financial market indicators, including the S&P 500, and make up 22% of the index
• 4 measure business and manufacturing activity (44%)
• 1 measures housing activity (3%)
• 2 are related to the consumer, including the labor market (31%)

You can see how these indicators have pulled the index down by 4.4% over the past 6 months, and by -0.6% in April alone.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here’s the thing. This popular LEI is premised on the fact that the manufacturing sector, and business activity/sentiment, is a leading indicator of the economy. This worked well in the past but is probably not indicative of what’s happening in the economy right now. For one thing, the manufacturing sector makes up just about 11% of GDP.
Consumption makes up 68% of the economy, and we believe it’s important to capture that.
In fact, consumption was strong in Q1 and even at the start of Q2, thanks to rising real incomes. Housing is also making a turnaround and should no longer be a drag on the economy going forward (as it has been over the past 8 quarters). The Federal Reserve (Fed) is also close to being done with rate hikes. Plus, as my colleague, Ryan Detrick pointed out, the stock market’s turned around and is close to entering a new bull market.
Obviously, there are a lot of data points that we look at and one way we parse through all of it is by constructing our own leading economic index.
An LEI that better reflects the US economy
We believe our proprietary LEI better captures the dynamics of the US economy. It was developed a decade ago and is a key input into our asset allocation decisions.
In contrast to the Conference Board’s measure, it includes 20+ components, including,

• Consumer-related indicators (make up 50% of the index)
• Housing activity (18%)
• Business and manufacturing activity (23%)
• Financial markets (9%)

Just as an example, the consumer-related data includes unemployment benefit claims, weekly hours worked, and vehicle sales. Housing includes indicators like building permits and new home sales.
The chart below shows how our LEI has moved through time – capturing whether the economy is growing below trend, on-trend (a value close to zero), or above trend. Like the Conference Board’s measure, it is able to capture major turning points in the business cycle. It declined ahead of the actual start of the 2011 and 2008 recessions.
As of April, our index is indicating that the economy is growing right along trend.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Last year, the index signaled that the economy was growing below trend, and that the risk of a recession was high.
Note that it didn’t point to an actual recession. Just that “risk” of one was higher than normal. In fact, our LEI held close to the lows we saw over the last decade, especially in 2011 and 2016 (after which the economy, and even the stock market, recovered).
The following chart captures a close-up view of the last 3 and half years, which includes the Covid pullback and subsequent recovery. The contribution from the 4 major categories is also shown. You can see how the consumer has remained strong over the past year – in fact, consumer indicators have been stronger this year than in late 2022.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

The main risk of a recession last year was due to the Fed raising rates as fast as they did, which adversely impacted housing, financial markets, and business activity.
The good news is that these sectors are improving even as consumer strength continues. The improvement in housing is notable. Additionally, the drag from financial conditions is beginning to ease as we think that the Federal Reserve gets closer to the end of rate hikes, and markets rally.
Putting the Puzzle Together
Another novel part of our approach is that we have an LEI like the one for the US for more than 25 other countries. Each one is custom built to capture the dynamics of those economies. The individual country LEIs are also subsequently rolled up to a global index to give us a picture of the global economy, as shown below.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

I want to emphasize that we do not rely solely on this as the one and only input into our asset allocation, portfolio and risk management decisions. While it is an important component that encapsulates a lot of significant information, it is just one piece of the puzzle. Our process also has other pillars such as policy (both monetary and fiscal), technical factors, and valuations.
We believe it’s important to put all these pieces together, kind of like putting together a puzzle, to understand what’s happening in the economy and markets, and position portfolios accordingly.
Putting together a puzzle is both a mechanistic and artistic process. The mechanistic aspect involves sorting the pieces, finding edges, and matching colors, etc. It requires a logical and methodical approach, and in our process the LEI is key to that.
However, there is an artistic element as well. As we assemble the pieces together, a larger picture gradually emerges. You can make creative decisions about how each piece fits within the overall picture. Within the context of portfolio management, that takes a diverse range of experience. Which is the core strength of our Investment Research Team.

Welcome to the New Bull Market

“If you torture numbers enough, they will tell you anything.” -Yogi Berra, Yankee great and Hall of Fame catcher
Don’t shoot the messenger, but historically, it is widely considered a new bull market once stocks are more than 20% off their bear market lows. This is similar to when stocks are down 20% they are in a bear market. Well, the S&P 500 is less than one percent away from this 20% threshold, so get ready to hear a lot about it when it eventually happens.
I’m not crazy about this concept, as we’ve been in the camp that the bear market ended in October for months now (we started to say it in late October, getting some really odd looks I might add), meaning a new bull market has been here for a while. Take another look at the great Yogi quote above, as someone can get whatever they want probably when talking about bear and bull markets.
None the less, what exactly does a 20% move higher off a bear market low really mean? The good news is future returns are quite strong.
We found 13 times that stocks soared at least 20% off a 52-week low and 10 times the lows were indeed in and not violated. The only times it didn’t work? Twice during the tech bubble implosion and once during the Financial Crisis. In other words, some of the truly worst times to be invested in stocks. But the other 10 times, once there was a 20% gain, the lows were in and in most cases, higher prices were soon coming. This chart does a nice job of showing this concept, with the red dots the times new lows were still yet to come after a 20% bounce.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here’s a table with all the breakdowns. A year later stocks were down only once and that was during the 2001/2002 bear market, with the average gain a year after a 20% bounce at a very impressive 17.7%. It is worth noting that the one- and three-month returns aren’t anything special, probably because some type of consolidation would be expected after surges higher, but six months and a year later are quite strong.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

As we’ve been saying this full year, we continue to expect stocks to do well this year and the upward move is firmly in place and studies like this do little to change our opinion.

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending June 9th, 2023

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 6/11/23

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)
Here is the list of notable tickers reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-

($ADBE $ORCL $KR $ACB $ATEX $ITI $LEN $MPAA $JBL $ECX $POWW $HITI $MMMB $CGNT $WLY $RFIL)

(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)

(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!]())

(NONE.)

Here is the full list of companies report earnings for this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 6.12.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

Monday 6.12.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 6.13.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

Tuesday 6.13.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 6.14.23 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 6.14.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 6.15.23 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 6.15.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 6.16.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!]())

(NONE.)

Friday 6.16.23 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.)

(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.) (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.).

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?

Join the Official Reddit Stock Market Chat Discord Server HERE!

I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great new trading week ahead WallStreetStockMarket. :)

Good Friday evening to all of you here on StockMarketForums! I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and are ready for the new trading week ahead. :)
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning June 12th, 2023.

S&P 500 notches fourth straight positive week, touches highest level since August: Live updates - (Source)

The S&P 500 rose slightly Friday, touching the 4,300 level for the first time since August 2022 as investors looked ahead to upcoming inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement.
The broad-market index gained 0.11%, closing at 4,298.86. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.16% to end at 13,259.14. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded up 43.17 points, or 0.13%, closing at 33,876.78. It was the 30-stock Dow’s fourth consecutive positive day.
For the week, the S&P 500 was up 0.39%. This was the broad-market index’s fourth straight winning week — a feat it last accomplished in August. The Nasdaq was up about 0.14%, posting its seventh straight winning week — its first streak of that length since November 2019. The Dow advanced 0.34%.
Investors were encouraged by signs that a broader swath of stocks, including small-cap equities, was participating in the recent rally. The Russell 2000 was down slightly on the day, but notched a weekly gain of 1.9%.
“It’s the first time in a while where investors seem to be feeling a greater sense of certainty. And we think that’s been a turning point from what had been more of a bearish cautious sentiment,” said Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments.
“We think that as we walk through these next few weeks, that will be increasingly clear that the economy is more resilient than folks have given it credit for the last six months,” said Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments. “That will sort of dawn on people that small-caps and cyclicals probably have a reasonable shot to play catch up.”
The market is also looking toward next week’s consumer price index numbers and the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Markets are currently anticipating a more than 71% probability the central bank will pause on rate hikes at the June meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

S&P Sectors for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE S&P SECTORS FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)

June’s Quad Witching Options Expiration Riddled With Volatility

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

The second Triple Witching Week (Quadruple Witching if you prefer) of the year brings on some volatile trading with losses frequently exceeding gains. NASDAQ has the weakest record on the first trading day of the week. Triple-Witching Friday is usually better, S&P 500 has been up 12 of the last 20 years, but down 6 of the last 8.
Full-week performance is choppy as well, littered with greater than 1% moves in both directions. The week after June’s Triple-Witching Day is horrendous. This week has experienced DJIA losses in 27 of the last 33 years with an average performance of –0.81%. S&P 500 and NASDAQ have fared better during the week after over the same 33-year span. S&P 500’s averaged –0.46%. NASDAQ has averaged +0.03%. 2022’s sizable gains during the week after improve historical average performance notably.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

A New Bull Market: What’s Driving It?

The S&P 500 finally closed 20% above its October 12th (2022) closing low. This puts the index in “official” bull market territory.
Of course, if you had been reading or listening to Ryan on our Facts vs Feelings podcast, you’d have heard him say that October 12th was the low. He actually wrote a piece titled “Why Stocks Likely Just Bottomed” on October 19th!
The S&P 500 Index fell 25% from its peak on January 3rd, 2022 through October 12th. The subsequent 20% gain still puts it 10% below the prior peak. This does get to “math of volatility”. The index would need to gain 33% from its low to regain that level. This is a reason why it’s always better to lose less, is because you need to gain less to get back to even.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

So, what’s next? The good news is that future returns are strong. In his latest piece, Ryan wrote that out of 13 times when stocks rose 20% off a 52-week low, 10 of those times the lows were not violated. The average return 12 months later was close to 18%. The only time we didn’t see a gain was in the 2001-2002 bear market.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

** Digging into the return drivers**
It’s interesting to look at what’s been driving returns over the past year. This can help us think about what may lie ahead. The question was prompted by our friend, Sam Ro’s latest piece on the bull market breakout. He wrote that earnings haven’t been as bad as expected. More importantly, prospects have actually been improving.
The chart below shows earnings expectations for the S&P 500 over the next 12 months. You can see how it rose in the first half of 2022, before collapsing over the second half of the year. The collapse continued into January of this year. But since then, earnings expectations have steadily risen. In fact, they’ve accelerated higher since mid-April, after the last earnings season started. Currently, they’re higher than where we started the year.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Backing up a bit: we can break apart the price return of a stock (or index) into two components:

• Earnings growth
  
• Valuation multiple growth
  

I decomposed annual S&P 500 returns from 2020 – 2023 (through June 8th) into these two components. The chart below shows how these added up to the total return for each year. It also includes:

• The bear market pullback from January 3rd, 2022, through October 12th, 2022
  
• And the 20% rally from the low through June 8th, 2023
  

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

You can see how multiple changes have dominated the swing in returns.
The notable exception is 2021, when the S&P 500 return was propelled by earnings growth. In contrast, the 2022 pullback was entirely attributed to multiple contraction. Earnings made a positive contribution in 2022.
Now, multiple contraction is not surprising given the rapid change in rates, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) looked to get on top of inflation. However, they are close to the end of rate hikes, and so that’s no longer a big drag on multiples.
Consequently, multiple growth has pulled the index higher this year. You can see how multiple contraction basically drove the pullback in the Index during the bear market, through the low. But since then, multiples have expanded, pretty much driving the 20% gain.
Here’s a more dynamic picture of the S&P 500’s cumulative price return action from January 3rd, 2022, through June 8th, 2023. The chart also shows the contribution from earnings and multiple growth. As you can see, earnings have been fairly steady, rising 4% over the entire period. However, the swing in multiples is what drove the price return volatility.
Multiples contracted by 14%, and when combined with 4% earnings growth, you experienced the index return of -10%.
What next?
As I pointed out above, the problem for stocks last year was multiple contraction, which was driven by a rapid surge in interest rates.
The good news is that we’re probably close to end of rate hikes. The Fed may go ahead with just one more rate hike (in July), which is not much within the context of the 5%-point increase in rates that they implemented over the past year.
Our view is that rates are likely to remain where they are for a while. But rates are unlikely to rise from 5% to 10%, or even 7%, unless we get another major inflation shock.
This means a major obstacle that hindered stocks last year is dissipating. The removal of this headwind is yet another positive factor for stocks as we look ahead into the second half of the year.

Why Low Volatility Isn’t Bearish

“There is no such thing as average when it comes to the stock market or investing.” -Ryan Detrick
You might have heard by now, but the CBOE Volatility Index (better known as the VIX) made a new 52-week low earlier this week and closed beneath 14 for the first time in more than three years. This has many in the financial media clamoring that ‘the VIX is low and this is bearish’.
They have been telling us (incorrectly) that only five stocks have been going up and this was bearish, that a recession was right around the corner, that the yield curve being inverted was bearish, that M2 money supply YoY tanking was bearish, and now we have the VIX being low is bearish. We’ve disagreed with all of these worries and now we take issue with a low VIX as being bearish.
What exactly is the VIX you ask? I’d suggest reading this summary from Investopedia for a full explanation, but it is simply how much option players are willing to pay up for potential volatility over the coming 30 days. If they sense volatility, they will pay up for insurance. What you might know is that when the VIX is high (say above 30), that means the market tends to be more volatile and likely in a bearish phase. Versus a low VIX (say sub 15) historically has lead to some really nice bull markets and small amounts of volatility.
Back to your regularly scheduled blog now.
The last time the VIX went this long above 14 was for more than five years, ending in August 2012. You know what happened next that time? The S&P 500 added more than 18% the following 12 months. Yes, this is a sample size of one, but I think it shows that a VIX sub 14 by itself isn’t the end of the world.
One of the key concepts around volatility is trends can last for years. What I mean by this is for years the VIX can be high and for years it can be low. Since 1990, the average VIX was 19.7, but it rarely trades around that average. Take another look at the quote I’ve used many times above, as averages aren’t so average. This chart is one I’ve used for years now and I think we could be on the cusp of another low volatility regime. The red areas are times the VIX was consistently above 20, while the yellow were beneath 20. What you also need to know is those red periods usually took place during bear markets and very volatile markets, while the yellow periods were hallmarked by low volatility and higher equity prices. Are we about to enter a new period of lower volatility? No one of course knows, but if this is about to happen (which is my vote), it is another reason to think that higher equity prices (our base case as we remain overweight equities in our Carson House Views) will be coming.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Lastly, I’ll leave you on this potentially bullish point. We like to use relative ratios to get a feel for how one asset is going versus to another. We always want to be in assets or sectors that are showing relative strength, while avoiding areas that are weak.
Well, stocks just broke out to new highs relative to bonds once again. After a period of consolidation during the bear market last year, now we have stocks firmly in the driver seat relative to bonds. This is another reason we remain overweight stocks currently and continue to expect stocks to do better than bonds going forward.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Our Leading Economic Index Says the Economy is Not in a Recession

We’ve been writing since the end of last year about how we believe the economy can avoid a recession in 2023, including in our 2023 outlook. This has run contrary to most other economists’ predictions. Interestingly, the tide has been shifting recently, as we’ve gotten a string of relatively stronger economic data. More so after the latest payrolls data, which surprised again.
One challenge with economic data is that we get so many of them, and a lot of times they can send conflicting signals. It can be hard to parse through all of it and come up with an updated view of the economy after every data release.
One approach is to combine these into a single indicator, i.e. a “leading economic index” (LEI). It’s “leading” because the idea is to give you an early warning signal about economic turning points.
Simply put, it tells you what the economy is doing today and what it is likely to do in the near future.
The most popular LEI points to recession
One of the most widely used LEI’s is released by the Conference Board, and it currently points to recession. As you can see in the chart below, the Conference Board’s LEI is highly correlated with GDP growth – the chart shows year-over-year change in both.
You can see how the index started to fall ahead of the 2001 and 2008 recession (shaded areas). The 2020 pandemic recession was an anomaly since it hit so suddenly. In any case, using an LEI means we didn’t have to wait for GDP data (which are released well after a quarter ends) to tell us whether the economy was close to, or in a recession.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

As you probably noticed above, the LEI is down 8% year-over-year, signaling a recession over the next 12 months. It’s been pointing to a recession since last fall, with the index declining for 13 straight months through April.
Quoting the Conference Board:
“The Conference Board forecasts a contraction of economic activity starting in Q2 leading to a mild recession by mid-2023.”
Safe to say, we’re close to mid-2023 and there’s no sign of a recession yet.
What’s inside the LEI
The Conference Board’s LEI has 10 components of which,

• 3 are financial market indicators, including the S&P 500, and make up 22% of the index
• 4 measure business and manufacturing activity (44%)
• 1 measures housing activity (3%)
• 2 are related to the consumer, including the labor market (31%)

You can see how these indicators have pulled the index down by 4.4% over the past 6 months, and by -0.6% in April alone.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here’s the thing. This popular LEI is premised on the fact that the manufacturing sector, and business activity/sentiment, is a leading indicator of the economy. This worked well in the past but is probably not indicative of what’s happening in the economy right now. For one thing, the manufacturing sector makes up just about 11% of GDP.
Consumption makes up 68% of the economy, and we believe it’s important to capture that.
In fact, consumption was strong in Q1 and even at the start of Q2, thanks to rising real incomes. Housing is also making a turnaround and should no longer be a drag on the economy going forward (as it has been over the past 8 quarters). The Federal Reserve (Fed) is also close to being done with rate hikes. Plus, as my colleague, Ryan Detrick pointed out, the stock market’s turned around and is close to entering a new bull market.
Obviously, there are a lot of data points that we look at and one way we parse through all of it is by constructing our own leading economic index.
An LEI that better reflects the US economy
We believe our proprietary LEI better captures the dynamics of the US economy. It was developed a decade ago and is a key input into our asset allocation decisions.
In contrast to the Conference Board’s measure, it includes 20+ components, including,

• Consumer-related indicators (make up 50% of the index)
• Housing activity (18%)
• Business and manufacturing activity (23%)
• Financial markets (9%)

Just as an example, the consumer-related data includes unemployment benefit claims, weekly hours worked, and vehicle sales. Housing includes indicators like building permits and new home sales.
The chart below shows how our LEI has moved through time – capturing whether the economy is growing below trend, on-trend (a value close to zero), or above trend. Like the Conference Board’s measure, it is able to capture major turning points in the business cycle. It declined ahead of the actual start of the 2011 and 2008 recessions.
As of April, our index is indicating that the economy is growing right along trend.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Last year, the index signaled that the economy was growing below trend, and that the risk of a recession was high.
Note that it didn’t point to an actual recession. Just that “risk” of one was higher than normal. In fact, our LEI held close to the lows we saw over the last decade, especially in 2011 and 2016 (after which the economy, and even the stock market, recovered).
The following chart captures a close-up view of the last 3 and half years, which includes the Covid pullback and subsequent recovery. The contribution from the 4 major categories is also shown. You can see how the consumer has remained strong over the past year – in fact, consumer indicators have been stronger this year than in late 2022.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

The main risk of a recession last year was due to the Fed raising rates as fast as they did, which adversely impacted housing, financial markets, and business activity.
The good news is that these sectors are improving even as consumer strength continues. The improvement in housing is notable. Additionally, the drag from financial conditions is beginning to ease as we think that the Federal Reserve gets closer to the end of rate hikes, and markets rally.
Putting the Puzzle Together
Another novel part of our approach is that we have an LEI like the one for the US for more than 25 other countries. Each one is custom built to capture the dynamics of those economies. The individual country LEIs are also subsequently rolled up to a global index to give us a picture of the global economy, as shown below.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

I want to emphasize that we do not rely solely on this as the one and only input into our asset allocation, portfolio and risk management decisions. While it is an important component that encapsulates a lot of significant information, it is just one piece of the puzzle. Our process also has other pillars such as policy (both monetary and fiscal), technical factors, and valuations.
We believe it’s important to put all these pieces together, kind of like putting together a puzzle, to understand what’s happening in the economy and markets, and position portfolios accordingly.
Putting together a puzzle is both a mechanistic and artistic process. The mechanistic aspect involves sorting the pieces, finding edges, and matching colors, etc. It requires a logical and methodical approach, and in our process the LEI is key to that.
However, there is an artistic element as well. As we assemble the pieces together, a larger picture gradually emerges. You can make creative decisions about how each piece fits within the overall picture. Within the context of portfolio management, that takes a diverse range of experience. Which is the core strength of our Investment Research Team.

Welcome to the New Bull Market

“If you torture numbers enough, they will tell you anything.” -Yogi Berra, Yankee great and Hall of Fame catcher
Don’t shoot the messenger, but historically, it is widely considered a new bull market once stocks are more than 20% off their bear market lows. This is similar to when stocks are down 20% they are in a bear market. Well, the S&P 500 is less than one percent away from this 20% threshold, so get ready to hear a lot about it when it eventually happens.
I’m not crazy about this concept, as we’ve been in the camp that the bear market ended in October for months now (we started to say it in late October, getting some really odd looks I might add), meaning a new bull market has been here for a while. Take another look at the great Yogi quote above, as someone can get whatever they want probably when talking about bear and bull markets.
None the less, what exactly does a 20% move higher off a bear market low really mean? The good news is future returns are quite strong.
We found 13 times that stocks soared at least 20% off a 52-week low and 10 times the lows were indeed in and not violated. The only times it didn’t work? Twice during the tech bubble implosion and once during the Financial Crisis. In other words, some of the truly worst times to be invested in stocks. But the other 10 times, once there was a 20% gain, the lows were in and in most cases, higher prices were soon coming. This chart does a nice job of showing this concept, with the red dots the times new lows were still yet to come after a 20% bounce.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here’s a table with all the breakdowns. A year later stocks were down only once and that was during the 2001/2002 bear market, with the average gain a year after a 20% bounce at a very impressive 17.7%. It is worth noting that the one- and three-month returns aren’t anything special, probably because some type of consolidation would be expected after surges higher, but six months and a year later are quite strong.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

As we’ve been saying this full year, we continue to expect stocks to do well this year and the upward move is firmly in place and studies like this do little to change our opinion.

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending June 9th, 2023

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 6/11/23

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)
Here is the list of notable tickers reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-

($ADBE $ORCL $KR $ACB $ATEX $ITI $LEN $MPAA $JBL $ECX $POWW $HITI $MMMB $CGNT $WLY $RFIL)

(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)

(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!]())

(NONE.)

Here is the full list of companies report earnings for this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 6.12.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

Monday 6.12.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 6.13.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

Tuesday 6.13.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 6.14.23 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 6.14.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 6.15.23 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 6.15.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 6.16.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!]())

(NONE.)

Friday 6.16.23 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.)

(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.) (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.).

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?

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I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great new trading week ahead StockMarketForums. :)