Postgame Thread 6/10/2023

Final Score: Padres 3, Rockies 2

Line Score - Final

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	LOB
SD	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	9	1	10
COL	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	0	3

Box Score

COL		AB	R	H	RBI	BB	SO	BA
LF	Profar, J	3	0	0	0	1	0	.243
DH	Grichuk	4	0	1	0	0	1	.328
2B	McMahon	4	0	1	0	0	3	.261
C	Díaz, E	3	0	0	0	0	0	.294
C	Wynns	1	0	0	0	0	0	.186
1B	Montero, E	4	0	0	0	0	1	.221
RF	Jones, N	3	1	1	1	0	0	.348
SS	Tovar	3	1	2	0	0	0	.253
2B	Trejo	2	0	0	1	0	1	.241
PH	Blackmon	1	0	0	0	0	0	.265
CF	Castro, H	0	0	0	0	0	0	.266
CF	Doyle, B	2	0	0	0	0	1	.211
3B	Moustakas	1	0	0	0	0	0	.255

COL	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P-S	ERA
Freeland	5.0	6	1	1	2	5	90-59	3.91
Bird	0.2	2	2	2	2	2	28-14	3.43
Hand	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	2-1	3.86
Bard, D	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20-10	0.96
Johnson	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10-7	7.20
Lawrence	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14-11	3.31

SD		AB	R	H	RBI	BB	SO	BA
RF	Tatis Jr.	5	0	2	2	0	1	.266
LF	Soto, J	5	0	0	0	0	1	.262
3B	Machado, M	5	1	3	0	0	1	.249
DH	Sánchez	5	0	1	1	0	2	.267
SS	Bogaerts	2	1	1	0	2	0	.258
1B	Cronenworth	3	0	0	0	1	1	.214
2B	Kim, Ha	3	1	0	0	1	1	.242
CF	Grisham	4	0	1	0	0	3	.193
C	Nola, Au	3	0	1	0	1	0	.135

SD	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P-S	ERA
Weathers	3.0	3	1	1	0	2	43-25	4.93
Carlton	2.0	1	1	1	0	1	28-21	4.30
Wilson, S	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	27-17	2.84
Hill, T	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4-3	3.42
Martinez, N	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	21-14	2.84
Hader	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13-10	1.42

Scoring Plays

Inning	Event	Score
T1	Gary Sanchez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Manny Machado scores. Gary Sanchez to 2nd.	0-1
B2	Nolan Jones homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.	1-1
B5	Alan Trejo reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Ha-Seong Kim. Ezequiel Tovar scores.	2-1
T6	Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Nolan Jones. Xander Bogaerts scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Austin Nola to 3rd.	2-3

Highlights

Description	Length	Video
Bullpen availability for Colorado, June 10 vs Padres	0:07	Video
Bullpen availability for San Diego, June 10 vs Rockies	0:07	Video
Fielding alignment for San Diego, June 10 vs Rockies	0:11	Video
Starting lineups for Padres at Rockies - June 10, 2023	0:09	Video
Analyzing Nolan Jones's home run through bat tracking	0:09	Video
Measuring the stats on Nolan Jones's home run	0:14	Video
Gary Sánchez knocks an RBI single to left field	0:29	Video
Freeland gets Tatis to strike out in the 1st	0:08	Video
Nolan Jones crushes a solo home run to left field	0:28	Video
Ryan Weathers picks off Randal Grichuk in the 3rd	0:11	Video
Tovar scores on fielders choice in the 5th inning	0:30	Video
Tatis knocks a two-run single to right field	0:24	Video

Decisions

Winning Pitcher	Losing Pitcher	Save
Carlton (2-0, 4.30 ERA)	Bird (1-1, 3.43 ERA)	Hader (15 SV, 1.42 ERA)

Padres (30-33) @ Rockies (26-39)

First Pitch: 1:10 PM at Coors Field

Team	Starter	TV	Radio
Padres	Ryan Weathers (1-4, 5.09 ERA)	SDPA	KWFN, XEMO (ES)
Rockies	Kyle Freeland (4-7, 4.06 ERA)	ATTR	KOA, KNRV (ES)

MLB	Fangraphs	Baseball Savant	Reddit Stream	IRC Chat
Gameday	Game Graph	Strikezone Map	Live Comments	Libera: ##baseball

Line Score - Final

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	LOB
SD	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	9	1	10
COL	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	0	3

Box Score

COL		AB	R	H	RBI	BB	SO	BA
LF	Profar, J	3	0	0	0	1	0	.243
DH	Grichuk	4	0	1	0	0	1	.328
2B	McMahon	4	0	1	0	0	3	.261
C	Díaz, E	3	0	0	0	0	0	.294
C	Wynns	1	0	0	0	0	0	.186
1B	Montero, E	4	0	0	0	0	1	.221
RF	Jones, N	3	1	1	1	0	0	.348
SS	Tovar	3	1	2	0	0	0	.253
2B	Trejo	2	0	0	1	0	1	.241
PH	Blackmon	1	0	0	0	0	0	.265
CF	Castro, H	0	0	0	0	0	0	.266
CF	Doyle, B	2	0	0	0	0	1	.211
3B	Moustakas	1	0	0	0	0	0	.255

COL	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P-S	ERA
Freeland	5.0	6	1	1	2	5	90-59	3.91
Bird	0.2	2	2	2	2	2	28-14	3.43
Hand	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	2-1	3.86
Bard, D	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	20-10	0.96
Johnson	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10-7	7.20
Lawrence	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14-11	3.31

SD		AB	R	H	RBI	BB	SO	BA
RF	Tatis Jr.	5	0	2	2	0	1	.266
LF	Soto, J	5	0	0	0	0	1	.262
3B	Machado, M	5	1	3	0	0	1	.249
DH	Sánchez	5	0	1	1	0	2	.267
SS	Bogaerts	2	1	1	0	2	0	.258
1B	Cronenworth	3	0	0	0	1	1	.214
2B	Kim, Ha	3	1	0	0	1	1	.242
CF	Grisham	4	0	1	0	0	3	.193
C	Nola, Au	3	0	1	0	1	0	.135

SD	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P-S	ERA
Weathers	3.0	3	1	1	0	2	43-25	4.93
Carlton	2.0	1	1	1	0	1	28-21	4.30
Wilson, S	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	27-17	2.84
Hill, T	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4-3	3.42
Martinez, N	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	21-14	2.84
Hader	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13-10	1.42

Scoring Plays

Inning	Event	Score
T1	Gary Sanchez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Manny Machado scores. Gary Sanchez to 2nd.	0-1
B2	Nolan Jones homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.	1-1
B5	Alan Trejo reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Ha-Seong Kim. Ezequiel Tovar scores.	2-1
T6	Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Nolan Jones. Xander Bogaerts scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Austin Nola to 3rd.	2-3

Highlights

Description	Length	Video
Bullpen availability for Colorado, June 10 vs Padres	0:07	Video
Bullpen availability for San Diego, June 10 vs Rockies	0:07	Video
Fielding alignment for San Diego, June 10 vs Rockies	0:11	Video
Starting lineups for Padres at Rockies - June 10, 2023	0:09	Video
Analyzing Nolan Jones's home run through bat tracking	0:09	Video
Measuring the stats on Nolan Jones's home run	0:14	Video
Gary Sánchez knocks an RBI single to left field	0:29	Video
Freeland gets Tatis to strike out in the 1st	0:08	Video
Nolan Jones crushes a solo home run to left field	0:28	Video
Ryan Weathers picks off Randal Grichuk in the 3rd	0:11	Video
Tovar scores on fielders choice in the 5th inning	0:30	Video
Tatis knocks a two-run single to right field	0:24	Video

Decisions

Winning Pitcher	Losing Pitcher	Save
Carlton (2-0, 4.30 ERA)	Bird (1-1, 3.43 ERA)	Hader (15 SV, 1.42 ERA)

Game ended at 4:06 PM.
Remember to sort by new to keep up!

San Diego Padres (30-33) @ Colorado Rockies (26-39) Saturday June, 10 12:10 PM

Pick-The-Stick Top 10

Sign up at Pick-The-Stick.com. Be sure to get your picks in before the first pitch.

Rank	User	Points	Total Picks	Position Change
1	Hammond89	211	63	+1
2	Yungbillcosbii	210	63	+1
3	ritchrock	206	57	-2
4	M57drew	202	63	0
5	bbatardo	199	62	0
6	Dull_send	198	57	0
7	SaveOurBolts	195	58	0
8	jrobertson2204	194	56	0
9	Speacialk333	192	60	0
10	Drewvagen	190	63	+2

Team	TV	Radio
SD	San Diego Padres	KWFN 97.3,XEMO 860 (es)
COL	ATT SportsNet-RM	KOA 850 AM/94.1 FM ,KNRV 1150 (es)

Starting Pitchers

Team	Pitcher	Record	ERA	IP	H	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
	Ryan Weathers	1-4	5.09	35.1	39	20	15	23	1.53
	Kyle Freeland	4-7	4.06	71.0	71	32	17	44	1.24

Starting Lineups - Season Stats

#	Player	Pos.	Avg	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI		#	Player	Pos.	Avg	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI
1	Fernando Tatis	RF	.262	183	48	10	12	30		1	Jurickson Profar	LF	.247	223	55	14	5	25
2	Juan Soto	LF	.269	216	58	16	10	31		2	Randal Grichuk	DH	.331	118	39	12	1	11
3	Manny Machado	3B	.239	184	44	8	6	21		3	Ryan McMahon	3B	.261	230	60	18	9	36
4	Gary Sanchez	DH	.294	34	10	2	5	11		4	Elias Diaz	C	.299	194	58	13	6	29
5	Xander Bogaerts	SS	.256	219	56	9	7	21		5	Elehuris Montero	1B	.234	64	15	3	1	9
6	Jake Cronenworth	1B	.217	221	48	8	6	22		6	Nolan Jones	RF	.349	43	15	4	2	10
7	Ha-Seong Kim	2B	.246	187	46	10	5	20		7	Ezequiel Tovar	SS	.248	214	53	18	4	26
8	Trent Grisham	CF	.191	188	36	14	6	16		8	Alan Trejo	2B	.245	110	27	8	0	12
9	Austin Nola	C	.130	108	14	2	1	7		9	Brenton Doyle	CF	.215	107	23	3	4	16

Line Score

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	9	1
Rockies	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	0

Box Score

Padres Batters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	LOB	AVG	OPS		Rockies Batters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	LOB	AVG	OPS
1 Tatis Jr. RF	5	0	2	2	0	1	2	.266	.831		1 Profar, J LF	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	.243	.712
2 Soto, J LF	5	0	0	0	0	1	3	.262	.885		2 Grichuk DH	4	0	1	0	0	1	2	.328	.852
3 Machado, M 3B	5	1	3	0	0	1	1	.249	.690		3 McMahon 2B	4	0	1	0	0	3	0	.261	.806
4 Sánchez DH	5	0	1	1	0	2	3	.267	.950		4 Díaz, E C	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	.294	.802
5 Bogaerts SS	2	1	1	0	2	0	1	.258	.739		Wynns C	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.186	.483
6 Cronenworth 1B	3	0	0	0	1	1	4	.214	.692		5 Montero, E 1B	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	.224	.600
7 Kim, Ha 2B	3	1	0	0	1	1	4	.242	.713		6 Jones, N RF	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	.348	1.030
8 Grisham CF	4	0	1	0	0	3	3	.193	.679		7 Tovar SS	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	.253	.697
9 Nola, Au C	3	0	1	0	1	0	2	.135	.436		8 Trejo 2B	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	.241	.584
											a-Blackmon PH	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.265	.769
											Castro, H CF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.266	.598
											9 Doyle, B CF	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	.211	.623
											b-Moustakas 3B	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.255	.757
Totals	35	3	9	3	5	10	23				Totals	30	2	5	2	1	6	6

BATTING		BATTING
2B: Grisham (15, Freeland); Tatis Jr. (11, Freeland); Machado, M (9, Bard, D).		HR: Jones, N (3, 2nd inning off Weathers, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Bogaerts; Grisham 2; Machado, M 4; Nola, Au; Sánchez; Tatis Jr. 3.		TB: Grichuk; Jones, N 4; McMahon; Tovar 2.
RBI: Sánchez (13); Tatis Jr. 2 (32).		RBI: Jones, N (11); Trejo (13).
2-out RBI: Tatis Jr. 2; Sánchez.		Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Grichuk.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Nola, Au 2; Soto, J; Tatis Jr.; Sánchez; Kim, Ha; Bogaerts.		Team RISP: 0-for-4.
Team RISP: 1-for-12.		Team LOB: 3.
Team LOB: 10.
FIELDING
E: Grisham (1, fielding).
Pickoffs: Weathers (Grichuk at 1st base).

Padres Pitchers	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	ERA		Rockies Pitchers	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	ERA
Weathers	3.0	3	1	1	0	2	1	4.93		Freeland	5.0	6	1	1	2	5	0	3.91
Carlton	2.0	1	1	1	0	1	0	4.30		Bird	0.2	2	2	2	2	2	0	3.43
Wilson, S	1.2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2.84		Hand	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3.86
Hill, T	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3.42		Bard, D	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.96
Martinez, N	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2.84		Johnson	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.20
Hader	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1.44		Lawrence	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3.31
Totals	8.2	5	2	2	1	6	1			Totals	9.0	9	3	3	5	10	0

Scoring Plays

Team	Inning	Play	SD	COL
SD	▲ 1	Gary Sanchez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Manny Machado scores. Gary Sanchez to 2nd.	1	0
COL	▼ 2	Nolan Jones homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.	1	1
COL	▼ 5	Alan Trejo reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Ha-Seong Kim. Ezequiel Tovar scores.	1	2
SD	▲ 6	Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Nolan Jones. Xander Bogaerts scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Austin Nola to 3rd.	3	2

Highlights

Highlight	Duration
Nolan Jones crushes a solo home run to left field	00:28

Last updated: 06/10/23 10:09:57 EST

LEGEND

Note	Description
Italics	Pitched previous day or twice in last 3 days.
Strikethrough	Pitched back to back days.
Bold	Recent transaction.
L3:##	Number of pitches thrown in last 3 days.
***	SP first start.
**	SP yet to reach 5.0 innings in a game.
*	SP yet to surpass 6.0 innings in a game.

BULLPEN USAGE

Team	Opp	SP	CL	SU8	SU7	MID	LR
ARI	@DET	Ryne Nelson*	Miguel CastroL3:4, Andrew ChafinL3:19		Scott McGoughL3:9	Austin AdamsL3:9, Kyle Nelson, José Ruiz, Kevin Ginkel	Drey JamesonL3:46
ATL	WSN	Jared Shuster*	Raisel IglesiasL3:18	Nick AndersonL3:8	A.J. MinterL3:10	Jesse ChavezL3:25, Collin McHughL3:45, Joe JiménezL3:29, Kirby YatesL3:44	Michael TonkinL3:33
BAL	KCR	Cole Irvin**	Félix BautistaL3:31	Yennier CanoL3:20	Bryan BakerL3:12	Danny Coulombe, Mike BaumannL3:5, Cionel Pérez, Keegan AkinL3:18, Nick Vespi	Austin Voth
BOS	@NYY	Tanner Houck	Kenley JansenL3:17	Chris MartinL3:10	Josh Winckowski	Nick PivettaL3:4, Brennan BernardinoL3:7, Justin GarzaL3:15, Joe Jacques	Corey KluberL3:73
CHC	@SFG	Kyle Hendricks*	Mark Leiter Jr.L3:48, Adbert AlzolayL3:25	Michael Fulmer	Julian MerryweatherL3:33	Brandon Hughes, Michael RuckerL3:37, Jeremiah Estrada	Javier Assad
CHW	MIA	Michael Kopech	Liam HendriksL3:14, Kendall GravemanL3:32	Joe KellyL3:18	Reynaldo LópezL3:19	Keynan MiddletonL3:14, Aaron BummerL3:22, Gregory SantosL3:7	Garrett CrochetL3:15
CIN	@STL	Andrew Abbott*	Alexis DíazL3:11	Lucas SimsL3:9	Buck FarmerL3:16	Ian GibautL3:35, Alex YoungL3:15, Fernando CruzL3:26, Joel KuhnelL3:20	Ricky Karcher
CLE	HOU	Triston McKenzie*	Emmanuel ClaseL3:23	James KarinchakL3:35	Trevor StephanL3:22	Eli MorganL3:38, Sam HentgesL3:36, Enyel De Los SantosL3:15, Nick SandlinL3:13	Xzavion CurryL3:46
COL	SDP	Kyle Freeland	Justin LawrenceL3:31	Pierce JohnsonL3:30	Jake BirdL3:11	Brent SuterL3:38, Brad HandL3:18, Daniel BardL3:4, Matt CarasitiL3:26	Peter LambertL3:44
DET	ARI	Matthew Boyd*	Alex LangeL3:22	Jason FoleyL3:16	Will VestL3:20	José Cisnero, Chasen ShreveL3:23, Tyler HoltonL3:13, Mason Englert, Tyler Alexander	Garrett HillL3:39
HOU	@CLE	J.P. France	Ryan PresslyL3:19	Bryan AbreuL3:25	Hector NerisL3:29	Rafael MonteroL3:36, Phil MatonL3:32, Ryne StanekL3:20, Seth MartinezL3:52	Ronel BlancoL3:94
KCR	@BAL	Brady Singer*	Scott Barlow	Aroldis ChapmanL3:18	Taylor Clarke	Carlos HernándezL3:16, Jose CuasL3:17, Nick Wittgren, Austin Cox, Jackson Kowar	Mike Mayers
LAA	SEA	Patrick Sandoval	Carlos EstévezL3:38	Chris DevenskiL3:16	Jacob WebbL3:31	Ben JoyceL3:35, Aaron LoupL3:8, Sam BachmanL3:42, José SorianoL3:13	Tucker Davidson
LAD	@PHI	Bobby Miller*	Evan PhillipsL3:11, Brusdar GraterolL3:16, Caleb FergusonL3:10			Yency AlmonteL3:13, Shelby MillerL3:28, Victor GonzálezL3:14, Alex VesiaL3:33, Nick RobertsonL3:22	Tayler ScottL3:28
MIA	@CHW	Sandy Alcantara	A.J. PukL3:14	Dylan FloroL3:9	Tanner ScottL3:32	Huascar Brazoban, Steven OkertL3:16, JT ChargoisL3:16, Andrew NardiL3:29	Bryan Hoeing
MIL	OAK	Julio Teheran	Devin Williams	Peter StrzeleckiL3:21	Joel PayampsL3:14	Hoby MilnerL3:32, Elvis PegueroL3:8, Trevor MegillL3:27, Bryse WilsonL3:38, Jake Cousins	Tyson MillerL3:10
MIN	@TOR	Joe Ryan	Jhoan DuranL3:40	Brock StewartL3:37	Jorge López	Emilio Pagán, Jovani MoranL3:7, Griffin JaxL3:23, José De LeónL3:26	Josh Winder
NYM	@PIT	Kodai Senga	David RobertsonL3:33, Adam OttavinoL3:12		Brooks RaleyL3:34	Drew SmithL3:11, Jeff BrighamL3:17, Dominic LeoneL3:14, Tommy HunterL3:45	Zach MuckenhirnL3:45
NYY	BOS	Domingo Germán	Clay HolmesL3:16, Michael KingL3:26, Wandy PeraltaL3:1			Ron MarinaccioL3:31, Albert AbreuL3:9, Tommy KahnleL3:13, Jimmy CorderoL3:29, Nick RamirezL3:20	Matt Krook
OAK	@MIL	Paul Blackburn*	Trevor MayL3:26	Lucas ErcegL3:40	Sam MollL3:23	Richard LoveladyL3:3, Shintaro Fujinami, Austin Pruitt, Sam Long	Ken WaldichukL3:54
PHI	LAD	Aaron Nola	Craig KimbrelL3:34, José AlvaradoL3:22	Seranthony DomínguezL3:4	Matt StrahmL3:28	Gregory SotoL3:14, Jeff Hoffman, Andrew Vasquez, Yunior Marte	Dylan Covey
PIT	NYM	Johan Oviedo	David BednarL3:20	Colin Holderman	Dauri MoretaL3:17	Jose Hernandez, Yohan Ramirez, Angel PerdomoL3:13	Rob ZastryznyL3:62
SDP	@COL	Ryan Weathers*	Josh HaderL3:37	Nick MartinezL3:19	Steven Wilson	Tim HillL3:10, Tom CosgroveL3:15, Brent Honeywell, Domingo Tapia	Drew CarltonL3:26
SEA	@LAA	Bryan Woo**	Paul Sewald	Andrés Muñoz	Justin Topa	Matt BrashL3:40, Gabe SpeierL3:15, Penn Murfee, Tayler SaucedoL3:15	Chris FlexenL3:32
SFG	CHC	Jakob Junis***	Camilo DovalL3:24	Tyler RogersL3:29	John Brebbia	Taylor RogersL3:34, Scott AlexanderL3:7, Ryan WalkerL3:22, Luke Jackson, Jakob Junis, Tristan BeckL3:34	Sean Manaea
STL	CIN	Miles Mikolas	Ryan HelsleyL3:11, Giovanny GallegosL3:26	Jordan HicksL3:43	Andre PallanteL3:3	Génesis Cabrera, Drew VerHagen, Chris StrattonL3:24	Steven Matz
TBR	TEX	Taj Bradley*	Jason AdamL3:38	Colin PocheL3:25	Robert StephensonL3:13	Jake DiekmanL3:18, Kevin KellyL3:25, Jalen Beeks, Shawn ArmstrongL3:24	Luis PatiñoL3:37
TEX	@TBR	Nathan Eovaldi	Will Smith	Josh Sborz	Grant Anderson	Brock Burke, José Leclerc, Cole Ragans, John KingL3:23	Spencer HowardL3:35
TOR	MIN	Bowden Francis***	Jordan RomanoL3:19	Erik SwansonL3:30	Nate PearsonL3:27	Tim MayzaL3:3, Trevor Richards, Yimi GarcíaL3:31, Adam CimberL3:9, Bowden Francis	Mitch White
WSN	@ATL	MacKenzie Gore	Kyle FinneganL3:16, Hunter Harvey		Carl Edwards Jr.L3:34	Mason ThompsonL3:30, Chad Kuhl, Jordan WeemsL3:16, Cory Abbott	Thaddeus Ward

TRANSACTIONS

Date	Team	Player	Category	Description
6/9	BAL	Nick Vespi	PROMOTION	Recalled from minors
6/9	BOS	Joe Jacques	PROMOTION	Contract selected from minors
6/9	MIN	Josh Winder	PROMOTION	Recalled from minors
6/9	SEA	Penn Murfee	INJURIES	Activated from 15-Day IL
6/9	TOR	Mitch White	INJURIES	Activated from 60-Day IL
6/9	CIN	Joel Kuhnel	PROMOTION	Recalled from minors
6/9	CIN	Ricky Karcher	PROMOTION	Recalled from minors
6/9	MIL	Tyson Miller	PROMOTION	Recalled from minors
6/9	NYM	Zach Muckenhirn	PROMOTION	Recalled from minors
6/9	PHI	José Alvarado	INJURIES	Activated from 15-Day IL

Today's Game

San Diego Padres (30-33) @ Colorado Rockies (26-39)

First Pitch: 12:10 PM

Probable Starters

Team	Pitcher	Record	ERA	IP	H	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
	Ryan Weathers	1-4	5.09	35.1	39	20	15	23	1.53
	Kyle Freeland	4-7	4.06	71.0	71	32	17	44	1.24

Broadcast Info

Team	TV	Radio
SD	San Diego Padres	KWFN 97.3,XEMO 860 (es)
COL	ATT SportsNet-RM	KOA 850 AM/94.1 FM ,KNRV 1150 (es)

Pick-The-Stick Top 20

Sign up at Pick-The-Stick.com. Be sure to get your picks in before the first pitch.

Rank	User	Points	Total Picks	Position Change
1	Hammond89	211	63	+1
2	Yungbillcosbii	210	63	+1
3	ritchrock	206	57	-2
4	M57drew	202	63	0
5	bbatardo	199	62	0
6	Dull_send	198	57	0
7	SaveOurBolts	195	58	0
8	jrobertson2204	194	56	0
9	Speacialk333	192	60	0
10	Drewvagen	190	63	+2
11	Lingererrrrrrr	190	62	+2
12	Nandobatflips	189	59	-2
13	camarobh	185	61	+1
14	kuttysark2	184	63	-3
15	SwinginFriar619	183	56	+1
16	1998uniforms	182	63	+1
17	ChipsB	182	60	-2
18	chaseosborn19	181	62	0
19	drizzle	179	63	0
20	Pererez35	178	58	0

What is +EV betting. tldr, one of the only ways to be profitable in the long term betting on home runs since home run lines are usually juiced to the tits. You basically are trying to find sportsbooks and markets that have mispriced odds in the bettors favor. You aren't looking into stats, pitching matchups, weather, or ballpark rankings. As ActionNetwork puts it

EV betting is not about what you think will happen, but about an advantage you have over the implied probabilities of bets by using lines and information sportsbooks are already giving you

I use a devigger to remove the sportsbooks vig and to calculate +EV against a sharp book like bet365. I choose bet365 because it has one of the lowest vigs on home runs. I also cross-check with Kambi and other low-vig sportsbooks. This is what the smartest people look for in the dinger tuesday threads to ensure profitability over the long-term.
These aren't guarantees, these guys are NOT likely to home run on a given day, but if you take enough +EV plays over a long period of time, you should end up profitable. Record: 17W-64L (+14.80u)
My Picks (I take all +EV plays for $7 unless a pinch hit risk or your name is Joey Gallo. I'm posting the odds I got them at...make sure to check odds because lines move fast on fanduel HRs)

• 15.2% EV: WSH Joey Meneses +630 FD vs bet365 +425/-600
  
• 8.5% EV: LAD Max Muncy +330 FD vs bet365 +250/-330
  
• 6.5% EV: STL Nolan Arenado +350 FD vs bet365 +270/-360
  
• 6.4% EV: PHI Kyle Schwarber +285 FD vs bet365 +225/-290
  
• 4.5% EV: TEX Corey Seager +470 FD vs bet365 +360/-500
  
• 3.7% EV: LAD James Outman +600 FD vs bet365 +450/-650
  
• 3.4% EV: CLE Amed Rosario +900 FD vs bet365 +625/-1000
  
• 1.4% EV: ATL Matt Olson +390 FD vs bet365 +320/-425
  

All updated EVs combined with negative EV plays close to 0 (I don't bet if negative EV but they have the chance of becoming +EV with a slight odds change, so keep on radar)
PHR: Pinch Hit Risk
updated: 10AM EST
15.2% EV: LAD James Outman +630 FD vs bet365 +425/-600 8.1% EV: LAD Max Muncy +300 FD vs bet365 +230/-300 6.4% EV: OAK Jj Bleday +480 FD vs bet365 +360/-500 4.5% EV: TEX Corey Seager +470 FD vs bet365 +360/-500 4.1% EV: WSH Stone Garrett +560 FD vs bet365 +425/-600 4.1% EV: WSH Joey Meneses +560 FD vs bet365 +425/-600 4.1% EV: COL Brenton Doyle +560 FD vs bet365 +425/-600 4.1% EV: DET Spencer Torkelson +560 FD vs bet365 +425/-600 3.9% EV: STL Nolan Arenado +350 FD vs bet365 +280/-370 3.8% EV: OAK Ryan Noda +360 FD vs bet365 +290/-380 3.5% EV: PHI Kyle Schwarber +250 FD vs bet365 +210/-260 3.4% EV: CLE Amed Rosario +900 FD vs bet365 +625/-1000 1.4% EV: ATL Matt Olson +390 FD vs bet365 +320/-425 -0.7% EV: SD Gary Sanchez +330 FD vs bet365 +280/-370 -1.0% EV: ARI Evan Longoria +440 FD vs bet365 +360/-500 -2.2% EV: COL Elehuris Montero +520 FD vs bet365 +425/-600 -2.2% EV: SD Brandon Dixon +520 FD vs bet365 +425/-600 -2.3% EV: MIL Jon Singleton +600 FD vs bet365 +475/-700 -2.8% EV: BOS Triston Casas +430 FD vs bet365 +360/-500 -2.8% EV: ATL Marcell Ozuna +430 FD vs bet365 +360/-500 -3.9% EV: CIN Will Benson +870 FD vs bet365 +650/-1050 -4.7% EV: SD Fernando Tatis +230 FD vs bet365 +215/-270 -5.2% EV: MIA Bryan De La Cruz +540 FD vs bet365 +450/-650 -5.4% EV: TEX Mitch Garver +500 FD vs bet365 +425/-600 -6.4% EV: ATL Ronald Acuna +370 FD vs bet365 +330/-450 -6.4% EV: ATL Austin Riley +370 FD vs bet365 +330/-450 -6.5% EV: OAK Shea Langeliers +450 FD vs bet365 +390/-550 -6.5% EV: ARI Ketel Marte +450 FD vs bet365 +390/-550 -6.9% EV: PHI Brandon Marsh +800 FD vs bet365 +625/-1000 -7.9% EV: STL Luken Baker +560 FD vs bet365 +475/-700 -8.1% EV: CHW Andrew Vaughn +750 FD vs bet365 +600/-950 -8.3% EV: LAA Mike Trout +280 FD vs bet365 +265/-350 -8.5% EV: PIT Bryan Reynolds +480 FD vs bet365 +425/-600 -8.7% EV: ATL Kevin Pillar +630 FD vs bet365 +525/-800 -8.7% EV: OAK Jace Peterson +630 FD vs bet365 +525/-800 -8.7% EV: CIN Elly De La Cruz +630 FD vs bet365 +525/-800 -9.8% EV: PHI Bryce Harper +300 FD vs bet365 +290/-380 -9.9% EV: STL Willson Contreras +430 FD vs bet365 +390/-550 -9.9% EV: LAA Shohei Ohtani +290 DK vs bet365 +280/-370

The Dutch independent investigative journalism platform 'Follow the Money' wrote a article about Patagonia.
"Sustainable clothing brand Patagonia manufactures in the same factories as fast-fashion; textile workers are being exploited"
Clothing brand Patagonia seems to be doing everything right: for its employees, for the people who make the clothes and for the environment. The company’s image – they say they’re in business to save our home planet – is very different from fast-fashion brands like asos, Primark and Nike. But Patagonia’s clothes are manufactured in exactly the same factories and under the same deplorable conditions.
When Yvon Chouinard started creating climbing equipment in his parents’ backyard in Burbank, California, he used steel. Soon he earned a reputation for making the ‘best’ climbing equipment in America. But every time a climber slammed one of those steel pegs into a rock, the gap got a little bigger and eventually unusable. Chouinard realised he was making money by destroying the rocks and therefore also the sport. And so he switched to aluminium blocks, which did not damagethe rocks.
The change was expensive and risky for the young company, but the moral dilemma was reason enough for Chouinard to implement the change. And to be very outspoken about it. It was a success: within a year, 40 per cent of the US climbing community stopped using steel.
Chouinard applied this experience when he started the outdoor brand Patagonia in 1973. He wanted to make only high-quality clothing that would last. And limit the impact on the environment as much as possible. In 1996, the brand switched to 100 per cent organic cotton, only to increasingly replace it with recycled materials. But the responsibility that Chouinard attributed to the company extended further.
In 2002 he decided to give one per cent of sales to environmental organisations every year. In 2011, Patagonia placed a full-page ad in the New York Times calling on consumers to ‘not buy this jacket’ in order to draw attention to the problematic nature of overconsumption in the clothing industry.
In addition, the clothing had to be manufactured fairly: in 2012, the top of the company made paying living wages to everyone who makes Patagonia products a ‘priority’. In 2020, Patagonia launched a campaign encouraging consumers to demand more from clothing brands: ‘Demand recycled. Demand organic. Demand Fair Trade,’ Patagonia urged its viewers.
In 2022, the then 84-year-old Chouinard caused worldwide astonishment, when he gave away 98 per cent of his shares to a newly formed NGO, the Holdfast Collective, which is ‘committed in its fight against the environmental crisis and protecting nature.’ Henceforth, the company’s profits would no longer flow to himself or his children but to the climate. ‘Earth is now our only shareholder,’ Chouinard said. Billionaire gives company away to climate, newspapers like The New York Times, The Washington Post and The Guardian reported*.*
This construction saved the NGO an estimated 700 million dollars that Chouinard would have had to pay in tax if he had sold the company and donated the proceeds to the same NGO. But according to Chouinard, this option allowed him to do something else: protect Patagonia’s values. Because he did not give the voting shares to Holdfast Collective but to a family trust. This allows his family to continue determining the company’s direction.
The company’s turnover – its European headquarters are in Amsterdam − grew by more than 50 per cent that year to about 1.5 billion dollars.
The actions earned Patagonia an image as being the ultimate sustainable frontrunner. In April, Time Magazine named Chouinard one of the world’s 100 most influential people. ‘Patagonia is a company people look up to in awe,’ the magazine wrote.
The complete opposite of Patagonia is a company like Primark. The Irish retail chain is known for selling on-trend low-quality clothes at low prices. Its revenue model is based on mass: high volumes with low margins.
Primark continuously creates new garment collections designed to be worn only a few times, after which they fall apart. The company uses advertising, clearance sales and influencers to urge consumers to keep buying as much as possible.
Media regularly report on the subsequent consequences. One, in particular, is that the people who make the clothes suffer from high production pressure at low cost. ‘Primark supplier accused of locking up factory workers in Myanmar protests,’ The Guardian headline read in 2021. That same year, The Clean Clothes Campaign NGO wrote: ‘Primark uses pandemic to put further pressure on factory workers in manufacturing countries.’
Patagonia and Primark seem like two extremes on the slow versus fast-fashion spectrum. Yet the brands have something in common. Some of their clothing is manufactured in the exact same factory.
PATAGONIA IN AMSTERDAM In 2014, Patagonia moved its European headquarters from Annecy town in the French Alps to Amsterdam. Reflecting on this, current CEO Ryan Gellert told the city marketing website I Amsterdam: ‘We established headquarters here in 2014 because we wanted a place where we could attract and retain pan-European and global talent, [...] and where there was an active community working on sustainability issues. As we searched potential locations across Europe, Amsterdam remained high on our list.’
According to Tax Law Professor Jan van de Streek, tax benefits may also have played a role in the choice of the Netherlands. This is because Patagonia did not register in the Netherlands as a BV but as a cooperative with two US members: Patagonia International Inc and Patagonia Global LLC. ‘Why choose something as strange as a cooperative structure?’ Van de Streek remarks to Follow the Money. ‘Because it is exempt from dividend tax. I think it’s naive to think there’s any other reason for that.’
Responding to questions about this, Patagonia said: ‘Since its inception, Patagonia Europe Coöperatief has paid regular corporate income taxes in all European countries where we do business, including the Netherlands, and has never used the tax efficiencies of a cooperative.’
‘At the suggestion of our advisors', Patagonia chose a cooperative structure ‘because it's the most flexible type of entity that suited our business purpose. However, Patagonia has chosen not to pursue any of the tax advantages available under the cooperative entity type. Patagonia Europe has not paid dividends to its parent company.'

‘No difference’

That factory is called Regal Image and is located in Sri Lanka. To be precise, in the Free Trade Zone of Katunayake, less than two kilometres from the international airport. The industrial estate is guarded 24/7 by Sri Lankan police. Access is only possible with a special pass.
In the factory hall, there are long tables with pieces of white fabric on them. An employee walks past with sea-green paint and a stencil forming the letters ‘asics’. Further along, a machine prints a grey logo on a purple tank top for Decathlon.
‘So far, we don’t really notice any difference between working with Patagonia and working with Primark or Decathlon,’ says Kevin Fernando. Fernando is the manager at the factory, which dyes, prints or embroiders logos and prints on fabrics. Regal Image was recently approved as a supplier to Patagonia, a process that took nine months. Fernando shows the designs for the 2024 summer collection. Light blue fabric features ‘Patagonia’ in pink letters, and a rainbow is printed on orange fabric.
‘Like most clothing companies, we do not make our products, nor do we own any of the factories that do,’ Patagonia writes on its website about the decision to outsource the manufacturing process. ‘We design, test, market and sell Patagonia gear. These are our areas of strength. We pay other companies [...] to produce fabrics and do the actual cutting and sewing.’

‘No control over working conditions’

Patagonia promises to only partner with factories that are ‘like-minded’ and who share their ‘philosophy.’ Patagonia has found sixty-one suitable factories: two in the US, one in Portugal and the remainder in 12 different low-wage countries. The bulk of the products are made in Vietnam and Sri Lanka.
At least two-thirds of the factories that manufacture Patagonia clothing also work for clothing brands that, according to the consumer website Good on You, have little or no sustainability policies in place (Patagonia itself is touted by Good on You as sustainable). This is evident from an analysis by Follow the Money based on data from Open Supply Hub, which aims to make supply chains in the clothing industry more transparent.
One day people make clothing for Patagonia, and the next day, they make items for brands such as GAP, Levi Strauss, Calvin Klein, Hugo Boss, Tommy Hilfiger, Nike, Amer Sports, Asics, US department store chain Target, e-commerce platform Amazon, supermarket Aldi and fast-fashion icons ASOS, Boohoo, H&M and Zara.
‘How is this possible?’ visual culture professor Anneke Smelik responds. Smelik researches sustainable fashion at Radboud University. ‘I know Patagonia as the most sustainable brand out there. I expected them to manufacture in small factories close to home. This means they have absolutely no control over working conditions.’
PATAGONIA IN SRI LANKA Patagonia works with 14 factories in Sri Lanka that are part of (or partner with) two companies: MAS Holdings and the Hirdaramani Group.
MAS Holdings was founded in 1987 by three brothers: Mahesh, Ajay and Sharad Amalean. The company began manufacturing lingerie and later expanded to sportswear, swimwear and T-shirts. With factories in 17 countries and roughly 2.4 billion dollars in turnover by 2022, MAS is Sri Lanka’s largest clothing manufacturer. The Amalean brothers are among the wealthiest men in the country.
The company emphatically presents itself as a sustainable clothing manufacturer. For instance, the company promises to emit 25 per cent less CO2 by 2025 than in 2019, and CEO Suren Fernando expects the group to earn half its revenue from sustainable products by then.
In May 2023, MAS received a Presidential Environment Award from President Ranil Wickremesinghe for the company’s commitment to the environment. The company describes the welfare of its employees as ‘its top priority’. On the subject of paying a living wage, the company makes no promises.
In the early 1900s, Parmanand Hirdaramani, then 16 years old, started a clothing shop in Sri Lanka’s capital Colombo. Today, his great-grandson Aroon Hirdaramani runs the Hirdaramani Group, which has grown into an international clothing conglomerate with factories in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Vietnam and a turnover of around 900 million US dollars.
Hirdaramani also presents itself as a sustainable producer. The company’s website states: ‘At Hirdaramani, we do the right thing. We have always done that. It’s about making good decisions today that benefit everyone in the long run.’
Since 2019, all Hirdaramani factories in Sri Lanka have been producing climate neutrally. For 2025, the company has set several targets on material use, water use, waste and leadership. Paying a living or higher wage is not a target.
In 2016, Aroon Hirdaramani and his wife Mona surfaced in the Pandora Papers. It emerged that Hirdaramani owned two investment companies in the British Virgin Islands. The reason for this is unclear. The fact is that companies based there do not have to pay tax on income, profits, dividends and interest, among other things.

Sixteen-hour workdays

Eligibility to manufacture Patagonia products requires a supplier to meet a list of sustainability criteria. Those criteria are set out in a code of conduct for suppliers. For example, child labour, forced labour, or physical, sexual or verbal harassment are not allowed. All national laws must be respected. Suppliers must respect workers’ right to freedom of association, may not force workers to work overtime and must ensure healthy working conditions. Working weeks of more than 60 hours or more than six days in a row is not acceptable to Patagonia.
Patagonia checks whether a factory complies with these standards through independent auditor visits at least once a year, says the brand after being questioned by Follow the Money. Checks are also carried out by the Fair Labor Association (FLA) and FairTrade: two NGOs that provide Patagonia’s manufacturing process and clothing with a sustainability label.
A part of those audits is public. Since 2016, the FLA has publishedassessments of seven Patagonia factories, including three in Vietnam, three in Sri Lanka and one in China. During those inspections, auditors found dozens of violations, varying greatly in severity.
For instance, almost 2000 employees at a factory in Vietnam were paid less for their overtime than what they should have received and employees’ ages were not recorded (thus child labour cannot be ruled out). Another check found out that applicants had to provide their menstrual date. Employees told the interviewers they were not allowed to become pregnant in the first six months of their employment. Less serious violations dealt with issues such as working without protective equipment, blocked emergency exits, or a lack of policies on harassment or discrimination.
One problem crops up in every report. Textile workers in factories manufacturing clothes for Patagonia work far longer hours than legally permitted: up to 17 hours a day and more than 80 hours a week, well beyond what is permissible according to Patagonia’s code of conduct.
‘Long working hours with insufficient breaks often lead to health problems,’ the Clean Clothes Campaign recently wrote about this issue. ‘Managers pressure employees to work 10- to 12-hour and sometimes even 16- to 18-hour days. The number of hours increases as the deadline approaches. Those who protest are simply fired. Moreover, workers depend on overtime to supplement their low wages.’
At the Regal Image factory in Sri Lanka, manager Fernando assures that his employees work a maximum of five days a week and 10 hours a day. But during the tour, a line manager starts talking about the duration of his shift: from eight in the morning to a quarter to 10 in the evening – almost 14 hours. ‘It’s busy,’ says Fernando, casually.
‘This is what the fast-fashion model does,’ says Smelik. ‘Brands want their products to be in store within a few weeks. So when a factory receives an order from such a brand, the production targets and overtime skyrocket.’

‘They talk to us like we are animals’

The office of Stand Up Lanka, a union led by Ashila Niroshine Dandeniya, is located just outside the Free-Trade Zone. She started working in a MAS factory, part of MAS Holdings that is a supplier to Patagonia, in 2003. Her colleagues elected her to represent them as a member of the factory’s employees council. But when she addressed the matter of wages, she was fired. She challenged her dismissal, got compensation, and discovered that there were laws in place to protect people like her.
Now, almost 20 years later, she knows Sri Lankan labour law like the back of her hand. Her office is a hexagon with five windows, all open. Textile workers from nearby factories approach her via these windows to greet her or ask for help.
When a transman walks past, she says, ‘He applied to MAS Shadowline [one of Patagonia’s suppliers, ed] a month ago. They said they didn’t want him because he is transgender. He can’t get work anywhere. And he cannot go back to his village because he is Muslim. His family will shoot him.’
When about six women wearing yellow MAS polos come and ask for a food parcel, Dandeniya shakes her head. ‘We don’t have enough. Since the country’s economic crisis, some families barely eat two meals a day. How am I supposed to choose who can eat and who can’t?’
That evening, she introduces Priya (31). Priya has been working for MAS Shadowline for almost two years, sewing the side seams on leggings or T-shirts. She makes many clothes for yoga brand Lululemon and for Lacoste (famous through the crocodile logo), but sometimes also for Patagonia.
‘The worst part is the scolding,’ she says in her home a few streets away: a room of about 12 square metres. It contains a double bed, a small kitchenette and a wardrobe. Despite the fan on the wall, it is sweltering hot inside. She shares a toilet and a shower with others.
‘My supervisor’s manager is a terrible man. He touches everyone in a bad way, and if you say you don’t want that, you have a problem. He yells at me if I have to go to the bank or the doctor. “Then who will do the work? Who will meet the target?” And he’s not the only one. They talk to us like we are animals.’
When asked about her production targets, she breathes a deep sigh. ‘The other day, Lululemon placed a huge order, and now everyone is stressed. On the first day, we had to make seventy items per hour, but on the second day, it was suddenly a hundred. Otherwise, we won’t make the delivery date.’ During the working day, she does not drink water so that she does not waste time going to the toilet. Despite this, she seldom meets the target. And that means: no bonus.
Without that bonus, Priya earns 32,000 rupees a month (97 euros). Her room costs 7,000 rupees (21 euros), and a meal 300 rupees (1 euro). She has no money left for other things.
‘Since the crisis, we are increasingly hearing stories from our members of textile workers using drugs,’ says Dandeniya. ‘Also in MAS factories that Patagonia works with. They use it to work faster. Sometimes also against the hunger.’
Chamila Thushari, union leader of Dabindu Collective, confirms the story. ‘They use Ice (Crystal Meth) or Babul.’ She points to her collar and to the sole of her shoe. ‘This is how they smuggle it in. The management knows this happens but allows it. All they care about is production targets are being met.’
An employee of a third union, GTZ-GSEU, confirms that drug use among textile workers in the Free Trade Zone is a problem.
Patagonia says these claims are ‘new’ to them and ‘serious’, but says, without evidence, it cannot comment.

A living wage

That Patagonia, known for being sustainable, has its clothes manufactured in the same factories as other much less sustainable brands is seen as an advantage by the company. ‘Patagonia has a powerful brand voice, but we are a quite small player in the apparel sector. Therefore, we are always looking for ways to scale our impact and to elevate the industry standards across the board, bringing other apparel retailers along on the journey with us. So, continuing to engage in shared production facilities is crucial to this work.’
Patagonia wants all people who make clothes to earn a decent wage. In 2015, the company promised that within 10 years, all employees in its supply chain would be earning a living wage that would be enough to live on. That is, enough for food, water, housing, education, healthcare, transport and other essential needs.
With 18 months to go, only 40 per cent of its factories pay a living wage, according to Patagonia. They would not reveal the factories concerned. Suppliers reportedly ‘have the right to maintain their factories’ wage data confidential’.
Patagonia wants all people who make clothes to earn a decent wage. In 2015, the company promised that within 10 years, all employees in its supply chain would be earning a living wage that would be enough to live on. That is, enough for food, water, housing, education, healthcare, transport and other essential needs.
With 18 months to go, only 40 per cent of its factories pay a living wage, according to Patagonia. They would not reveal the factories concerned. Suppliers reportedly ‘have the right to maintain their factories’ wage data confidential’.
To determine a living wage, Patagonia uses the Anker Research Institute’s calculation method. According to that method, you can live decently in urban Sri Lanka if you earn a minimum of 83,231 Sri Lankan rupees (263 euro) a month. Priya’s salary does not even cover half that. And at the recently approved Regal Image print factory, the basic wage is even lower: 21,000 rupees (66 euro), says Fernando.
Thulsi Narayanasamy is frustrated by Patagonia’s approach to sustainability. She is director of advocacy at the Worker Rights Consortium, an independent non-profit organization that monitors and investigates labor conditions in the global apparel and textile industry. ‘Patagonia spends millions on green initiatives. Why can’t they pay the people who make their clothes properly?’
Patagonia says it ‘has no authority over how much textile workers get paid, as they are in no way, shape or form the employer of these workers.’ Narayanasamy, however, is convinced Patagonia can pay a living wage, if the brand would want to. ‘They could bring production in-house or pay more to suppliers that’s ringfenced for wages high enough to achieve a living income. It’s so well established that brand’s pricing practices directly impact wage levels, it’s a fallacy to deny this.’
‘I think we should ask ourselves: why don't clothing brands have their own factories?’ She asks the question, then answers it. 'Brands don't want to be responsible for the people who produce their clothes. All brands benefit from that, including Patagonia.
RESPONSE FROM PATAGONIA When asked why it does not pay its suppliers more for decent wages for workers, Patagonia replied: ‘Relying on one brand to simply cover the gap is a band-aid solution and does not serve the factory in the long run. If the one brand that pays the gap were to leave the factory, then those wages for workers would go away, leaving the factory with a shortfall they would not be able to cover. Additionally, if the brand just writes a check to the factory, then there is no guarantee that the money would go towards workers’ wages. The brand has no authority over how much workers get paid as they are in no way, shape or form the employer of those workers.’
About the long working hours, Patagonia says: ‘Excessive overtime is pervasive globally, which is why it is audited regularly. If we find a problem that can be resolved, we work with our factory partners to implement sustainable solutions. This can take many years, but we find this is the best outcome for the workers and the factory.’
In response to the allegations about drug use among textile workers, Patagonia says: ‘These are serious and new allegations, however without evidence, we are not able to comment on them. We are continuing to conduct our ongoing monitoring program and we remain committed to addressing systemic issues to ensure workers’ wellbeing across our supply chain.’
Link to the article: https://www.ftm.eu/articles/sustainable-clothing-brand-patagonia-uses-same-suppliers-fast-fashion-brands-do-workers-exploited?share=p8cq84oSmbUiJtEQUObUZSPZh8ZNReEKHj0wGJnBMQUMqLcwK9PC1kpMJCev5Mo%3D%26utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sharebuttonnietleden&utm_source=linkbutton
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Match Thread - Brumbies v Hurricanes Super Rugby Pacific 2023 Round 16

Venue: GIO Stadium, Canberra Weather: 6 C, Clear
Officials: Nic Berry, Jordan Way, Reuben Keane, Brett Cronan (tmo)
Match Page: https://db.rugbybot.com/match/3507
Match Threads: /rugbyunion/wiki/matchthread

Time

UTC	BST	CEST (+2)	AWST (+8)	AEST (+10)	NZ (+12)	more
09:35	10:35	11:35	17:35	19:35	21:35	more tz

Lineups

Brumbies	Pos	Hurricanes
James Slipper	1	Xavier Numia
Lachlan Lonergan	2	Dane Coles
Sosefo Kautai	3	Tyrel Lomax
Nick Frost	4	James Blackwell
Cadeyrn Neville	5	Caleb Delany
Rob Valetini	6	Devan Flanders
Jahrome Brown	7	Ardie Savea
Pete Samu	8	Brayden Iose
Nic White	9	Cameron Roigard
Jack Debreczeni	10	Brett Cameron
Ollie Sapsford	11	Kini Naholo
Tamati Tua	12	Jordie Barrett
Len Ikitau	13	Billy Proctor
Andy Muirhead	14	Daniel Sinkinson
Tom Wright	15	Josh Moorby
Connal McInerney	16	Asafo Aumua
Blake Schoupp	17	Tevita Mafileo
Rhys van Nek	18	Owen Franks
Tom Hooper	19	Isaia Walker-Leawere
Luke Reimer	20	Du'Plessis Kirifi
Ryan Lonergan	21	Jamie Booth
Noah Lolesio	22	Ruben Love
Jesse Mogg	23	Bailyn Sullivan
Stephen Larkham	Coach	Jason Holland

RugbyBot

RugbyBot was made by paimoe. PM or post in /RugbyBot for assistance.

Please use this thread to discuss anything related to today's game. You may post anything as long as it falls within stated posting guidelines. You may also post gifs and memes, as long as it is related to the game. Please keep the discussion civil.
Discord: Seattle Sports

Line Score - Game Over

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	LOB
SEA	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	4	1	8
LAA	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	0		5	6	0	4

Box Score

LAA		AB	R	H	RBI	BB	SO	BA
LF	Ward	4	1	0	0	0	2	.238
DH	Ohtani	4	1	3	2	0	0	.282
CF	Trout	4	0	0	0	0	3	.258
3B	Rendon	3	2	1	0	0	0	.286
2B	Rengifo	4	0	1	1	0	0	.227
1B	Walsh	4	0	0	0	0	2	.133
RF	Moniak	3	1	1	2	0	2	.305
C	Wallach	3	0	0	0	0	2	.250
SS	Neto	1	0	0	0	2	1	.239

LAA	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P-S	ERA
Ohtani	5.0	3	3	3	5	6	97-53	3.32
Joyce	0.0	0	0	0	1	0	8-2	4.50
Webb	2.0	0	0	0	1	0	31-16	2.70
Bachman	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	16-8	1.13
Estévez	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	24-12	1.59

SEA		AB	R	H	RBI	BB	SO	BA
SS	Crawford, J	4	1	0	0	1	0	.235
CF	Rodríguez, Ju	3	0	0	0	1	3	.243
1B	France, T	5	0	2	1	0	0	.275
LF	Kelenic	3	1	1	2	1	1	.270
RF	Hernández, T	2	0	0	0	2	0	.241
C	Raleigh	2	0	0	0	2	0	.214
3B	Suárez, E	4	0	0	0	0	1	.206
DH	Ford, M	4	1	1	1	0	2	.143
2B	Caballero	2	1	0	0	2	0	.244

SEA	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P-S	ERA
Castillo, L	6.0	6	5	3	1	10	109-71	2.70
Brash	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	21-13	4.68
Speier	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15-9	2.42

Scoring Plays

Inning	Event	Score
T1	Jarred Kelenic homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. J.P. Crawford scores.	0-2
B3	Shohei Ohtani homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field. Taylor Ward scores.	2-2
B4	Luis Rengifo singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodriguez. Anthony Rendon scores.	3-2
T5	Ty France singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Jose Caballero scores. Julio Rodriguez to 3rd.	3-3
B6	Mickey Moniak homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Anthony Rendon scores.	5-3
T9	Mike Ford homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.	5-4

Highlights

Description	Length	Video
Bullpen availability for Seattle, June 9 vs Angels	0:07	Video
Bullpen availability for Los Angeles, June 9 vs Mariners	0:07	Video
Fielding alignment for Los Angeles, June 9 vs Mariners	0:11	Video
Fielding alignment for Seattle, June 9 vs Angels	0:11	Video
Starting lineups for Mariners at Angels - June 9, 2023	0:09	Video
A deep dive into Jarred Kelenic's home run	0:09	Video
Measuring the stats on Jarred Kelenic's home run	0:14	Video
Breaking down Shohei Ohtani's pitches	0:08	Video
Shohei Ohtani's outing against the Mariners	0:22	Video
Measuring the stats on Mickey Moniak's home run	0:16	Video
Visualizing Mickey Moniak's swing using bat tracking technology	0:09	Video
Breaking down Luis Castillo's pitches	0:08	Video
Luis Castillo's outing against the Angels	0:23	Video
Jarred Kelenic belts a two-run homer to right-center	0:25	Video
Shohei Ohtani crushes a two-run home run to center	0:30	Video
Luis Rengifo grounds an RBI single up the middle	0:26	Video
Ty France bloops an RBI single to center field	0:29	Video
Shohei Ohtani crushes 440-foot homer vs. Mariners	0:34	Video
Check out Shohei Ohtani's home run - Creator Cuts	0:30	Video
Mickey Moniak smacks a two-run home run to center	0:30	Video
Ben Joyce exits due to right hand irritation in 6th	0:29	Video
Luis Castillo strikes out 10 against the Angels	1:03	Video
Mike Ford lifts a solo home run to right field	0:32	Video

Decisions

Winning Pitcher	Losing Pitcher	Save
Webb (1-0, 2.70 ERA)	Castillo, L (4-4, 2.70 ERA)	Estévez (17 SV, 1.59 ERA)

Attendance	Weather	Wind
	67°F, Cloudy	8 mph, R To L

HP	1B	2B	3B
Dan Bellino	Phil Cuzzi	Ryan Wills	Mark Ripperger

Game ended at 9:30 PM.

There was a wedding of our close friend, so we both went. We couldn't find any place to hang out alone. She used to stay with all the ladies, and gupshup krti thi. I used to stand there in the courtyard, reclining on the pillar, and she used to resist looking at me. Those uncles and kids talked about the weather there while the guys flirted with the girls. And they even did that with mine. But she just smiled and complimented one guy. Pretty sad I was.
I went aback to the room I came from; the darkness thanking my exit; the halls churning black light behind.
She saw that. And later that, at night, while I was shaving, she took my hand and took me to the bathroom. She applied the cream on my face, and then was shaving that gently. I was just looking at her the whole time. And then she stopped for a second, and I put my face forward, and I rubbed my foamy face on her. And she started giggling. Smiling. And then we kissed...
Later at night when everybody went outside for the sangeet ceremony, she was still dressing, and then I entered the room while and saw her unable to zip the choli. So I came to her and zipped that while looking at ourselves in the mirror, where I saw her blushing and looking down...she looked lovely in that pink lehenga...and I picked her up and just stayed like that for a few minutes until one aunt came and chided.

Match Thread - Chiefs v Reds Super Rugby Pacific 2023 Round 16

Venue: FMG Stadium Waikato, Hamilton Weather: 11 C, Clear
Officials: Angus Gardner, Damon Murphy, Matt Kellahan, James Leckie (tmo)
Match Page: https://db.rugbybot.com/match/3505
Match Threads: /rugbyunion/wiki/matchthread

Time

UTC	BST	CEST (+2)	AWST (+8)	AEST (+10)	NZ (+12)	more
04:35	05:35	06:35	12:35	14:35	16:35	more tz

Lineups

Chiefs	Pos	Reds
Aidan Ross	1	Peni Ravai
Samisoni Taukei'aho	2	Matt Faessler
John Ryan	3	Sef Fa'agase
Brodie Retallick	4	Angus Blyth
Josh Lord	5	Ryan Smith
Samipeni Finau	6	Seru Uru
Sam Cane	7	Fraser McReight
Pita-Gus Sowakula	8	Harry Wilson
Brad Weber	9	Tate McDermott
Damian McKenzie	10	Tom Lynagh
Etene Nanai-Seturo	11	Josh Flook
Rameka Poihipi	12	James O'Connor
Anton Lienert-Brown	13	Filipo Daugunu
Emoni Narawa	14	Suliasi Vunivalu
Shaun Stevenson	15	Jock Campbell
Bradley Slater	16	Richie Asiata
Oliver Norris	17	Dane Zander
George Dyer	18	Zane Nonggorr
Naitoa Ah Kuoi	19	Lopeti Faifua
Luke Jacobson	20	Jake Upfield
Cortez Ratima	21	Kalani Thomas
Josh Ioane	22	Lawson Creighton
Daniel Rona	23	Taj Annan
Clayton McMillan	Coach	Brad Thorn

RugbyBot

RugbyBot was made by paimoe. PM or post in /RugbyBot for assistance.

Mets @ Pirates - Fri, Jun 09

Game Status: Final - Score: 14-7 Pirates

Links & Info

• MLB Gameday
• Game Graphs
• Savant Gamefeed

	Mets Batters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	LOB	AVG	OBP	SLG
1	Nimmo - CF	4	0	1	0	0	2	3	.282	.371	.419
	Baty - 3B	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	.237	.314	.367
2	Alvarez - C	5	1	1	1	0	1	2	.250	.303	.545
3	Pham - CF	5	1	0	0	0	2	1	.226	.315	.462
4	Lindor - SS	3	1	1	1	0	0	1	.222	.296	.431
	a-Guillorme - SS	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	.242	.329	.290
5	Marte, S - RF	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	.258	.317	.335
	Hunter - P	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
	b-Narváez - PH	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.273	.320	.273
6	McNeil - LF	4	1	1	0	0	0	2	.278	.354	.348
7	Canha - RF	4	1	1	0	0	1	2	.238	.323	.384
8	Escobar, Edu - 2B	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	.240	.287	.410
9	Vientos - 1B	3	0	1	1	1	0	2	.175	.209	.250
	Totals	39	7	11	4	2	8	16

Mets
a-Struck out for Lindor in the 8th. b-Flied out for Hunter in the 9th.
BATTING: 2B: McNeil (8, Hill); Guillorme (3, Bednar). HR: Lindor (12, 3rd inning off Hill, 0 on, 2 out). TB: Alvarez; Canha; Escobar, Edu 2; Guillorme 2; Lindor 4; Marte, S 2; McNeil 2; Nimmo; Vientos. RBI: Alvarez (24); Guillorme (4); Lindor (43); Vientos (5). 2-out RBI: Guillorme; Alvarez; Lindor; Vientos. Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Narváez; Nimmo. GIDP: Vientos. Team RISP: 3-for-9. Team LOB: 7.
FIELDING: E: Lindor (4, fielding); Escobar, Edu (2, throw). DP: 2 (Escobar, Edu-McNeil-Canha; Escobar, Edu-Guillorme-Vientos).

	Pirates Batters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	LOB	AVG	OBP	SLG
1	Marcano - SS	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	.267	.320	.457
2	Reynolds, B - LF	4	0	1	0	1	0	0	.278	.342	.471
	Smith-Njigba - RF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.125	.216	.219
3	McCutchen - DH	4	2	1	0	1	2	3	.268	.381	.432
4	Santana - 1B	5	3	2	1	0	0	2	.230	.325	.365
	Joe - 1B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.251	.347	.474
5	Suwinski - CF	4	4	3	2	1	0	0	.242	.354	.509
6	Hayes - 3B	5	3	5	4	0	0	0	.266	.309	.425
	1-Castro, R - 3B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.268	.360	.436
7	Bae - 2B	3	2	1	2	1	1	2	.277	.335	.361
8	Palacios, J - LF	5	0	2	2	0	0	3	.268	.333	.415
9	Hedges - C	4	0	1	2	0	1	2	.179	.241	.226
	Totals	39	14	17	13	4	4	13

Pirates
1-Ran for Hayes in the 8th.
BATTING: 2B: Hedges (5, Megill); Suwinski (8, Muckenhirn); Hayes 2 (15, Muckenhirn, Muckenhirn); Marcano (11, Muckenhirn). HR: Santana (4, 8th inning off Hunter, 0 on, 0 out); Suwinski (12, 8th inning off Hunter, 0 on, 0 out). TB: Bae; Hayes 7; Hedges 2; Marcano 2; McCutchen; Palacios, J 2; Reynolds, B; Santana 5; Suwinski 7. RBI: Bae 2 (16); Hayes 4 (28); Hedges 2 (11); Palacios, J 2 (7); Santana (28); Suwinski 2 (32). 2-out RBI: Hedges 2; Hayes 2; Suwinski; Palacios, J. Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Marcano; Bae; McCutchen. SF: Bae. GIDP: Hedges; Palacios, J. Team RISP: 7-for-11. Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING: E: Bae (8, fielding); Smith-Njigba (1, fielding). DP: (Hill-Bae-Santana).

Mets Pitchers	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	P-S	ERA
Megill (L, 5-4)	3.2	8	9	7	3	1	0	79-48	5.14
Muckenhirn	2.1	6	3	3	1	1	0	45-27	6.00
Hunter	2.0	3	2	2	0	2	2	30-21	6.85
Totals	8.0	17	14	12	4	4	2

Pirates Pitchers	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	P-S	ERA
Hill (W, 6-5)	7.0	7	2	2	2	6	1	119-72	4.23
Zastryzny	1.2	2	3	0	0	2	0	30-21	4.40
Bednar	0.1	2	2	0	0	0	0	20-14	1.11
Totals	9.0	11	7	2	2	8	1

Game Info
Pitches-strikes: Megill 79-48; Muckenhirn 45-27; Hunter 30-21; Hill 119-72; Zastryzny 30-21; Bednar 20-14.
Groundouts-flyouts: Megill 5-3; Muckenhirn 3-2; Hunter 1-2; Hill 7-4; Zastryzny 4-0; Bednar 0-1.
Batters faced: Megill 22; Muckenhirn 14; Hunter 8; Hill 29; Zastryzny 8; Bednar 4.
Inherited runners-scored: Muckenhirn 2-2; Bednar 2-2.
Umpires: HP: Lance Barksdale. 1B: Ryan Additon. 2B: Dan Merzel. 3B: Will Little.
Weather: 70 degrees, Cloudy.
Wind: 8 mph, Out To CF.
First pitch: 7:05 PM.
T: 2:42.
Att: 29,429.
Venue: PNC Park.
June 9, 2023

Inning	Scoring Play	Score
Top 2	Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Jeff McNeil scores. Eduardo Escobar to 3rd.	1-0 NYM
Bottom 2	Austin Hedges hits a ground-rule double (5) on a fly ball to right field. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Ji Hwan Bae scores.	2-1 PIT
Top 3	Francisco Lindor homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.	2-2
Bottom 3	Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Andrew McCutchen scores. Carlos Santana scores. Jack Suwinski to 3rd.	4-2 PIT
Bottom 3	Ji Hwan Bae singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Eduardo Escobar. Jack Suwinski scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Ji Hwan Bae to 3rd. Throwing error by third baseman Eduardo Escobar.	6-2 PIT
Bottom 3	Josh Palacios singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Ji Hwan Bae scores.	7-2 PIT
Bottom 4	Jack Suwinski doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Nimmo. Andrew McCutchen scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd.	8-2 PIT
Bottom 4	Ke'Bryan Hayes doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Carlos Santana scores. Jack Suwinski scores.	10-2 PIT
Bottom 6	Ji Hwan Bae out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tommy Pham. Jack Suwinski scores.	11-2 PIT
Bottom 6	Josh Palacios singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.	12-2 PIT
Bottom 8	Carlos Santana homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.	13-2 PIT
Bottom 8	Jack Suwinski homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.	14-2 PIT
Top 9	Mark Vientos reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Ji Hwan Bae. Mark Canha scores. Eduardo Escobar to 3rd. Fielding error by second baseman Ji Hwan Bae.	14-3 PIT
Top 9	Francisco Alvarez singles on a line drive to left fielder Josh Palacios. Eduardo Escobar scores. Brett Baty to 2nd.	14-4 PIT
Top 9	Tommy Pham reaches on a fielding error by right fielder Canaan Smith-Njigba. Brett Baty scores. Francisco Alvarez scores. Tommy Pham to 2nd.	14-6 PIT
Top 9	Luis Guillorme hits a ground-rule double (3) on a line drive down the right-field line. Tommy Pham scores.	14-7 PIT

Team	Highlight
PIT	Bullpen availability for Pittsburgh, June 9 vs Mets (00:00:07)
NYM	Bullpen availability for New York, June 9 vs Pirates (00:00:07)
NYM	Fielding alignment for New York, June 9 vs Pirates (00:00:11)
PIT	Fielding alignment for Pittsburgh, June 9 vs Mets (00:00:11)
PIT	Measuring the stats on Carlos Santana's home run (00:00:11)
NYM	Mark Vientos' RBI single (00:00:21)
NYM	Francisco Lindor's solo HR (12) (00:00:19)
PIT	Ke'Bryan Hayes' two-run single (00:00:30)
PIT	Two score on Ji Hwan Bae's bunt (00:00:41)
PIT	Josh Palacios' RBI single (00:00:14)
PIT	Jack Suwinski's RBI double (00:00:11)
PIT	Ke'Bryan Hayes' two-run double (00:00:19)
PIT	Ji Hwan Bae's sacrifice fly (00:00:25)
PIT	Josh Palacios' second RBI single (00:00:16)
PIT	Carlos Santana's solo homer (4) (00:00:22)
PIT	Jack Suwinski's solo homer (12) (00:00:23)
NYM	Mark Vientos reaches on error (00:00:36)
NYM	Francisco Alvarez's RBI single (00:00:13)
NYM	Tommy Pham reaches on error (00:00:35)
NYM	Luis Guillorme's RBI double (00:00:19)
PIT	David Bednar gets final out (00:00:10)

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9		R	H	E	LOB
Mets	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5		7	11	2	7
Pirates	0	2	5	3	0	2	0	2			14	17	2	6

Decisions

• Winner: Rich Hill (6-5, 4.23)
• Loser: Tylor Megill (5-4, 5.14)

Division Scoreboard

LAD 4 @ PHI 5 - Final
WSH 2 @ ATL 3 - Final
MIA 1 @ CWS 2 - Game Over
Next Mets Game: Sat, Jun 10, 04:05 PM EDT @ Pirates
^{Last Updated: 06/09/2023 10:40:43 PM EDT}

Mets @ Pirates - Fri, Jun 09

Game Status: Final - Score: 14-7 Pirates

Links & Info

• MLB Gameday
• Game Graphs
• Savant Gamefeed

	Mets Batters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	LOB	AVG	OBP	SLG
1	Nimmo - CF	4	0	1	0	0	2	3	.282	.371	.419
	Baty - 3B	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	.237	.314	.367
2	Alvarez - C	5	1	1	1	0	1	2	.250	.303	.545
3	Pham - CF	5	1	0	0	0	2	1	.226	.315	.462
4	Lindor - SS	3	1	1	1	0	0	1	.222	.296	.431
	a-Guillorme - SS	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	.242	.329	.290
5	Marte, S - RF	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	.258	.317	.335
	Hunter - P	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
	b-Narváez - PH	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.273	.320	.273
6	McNeil - LF	4	1	1	0	0	0	2	.278	.354	.348
7	Canha - RF	4	1	1	0	0	1	2	.238	.323	.384
8	Escobar, Edu - 2B	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	.240	.287	.410
9	Vientos - 1B	3	0	1	1	1	0	2	.175	.209	.250
	Totals	39	7	11	4	2	8	16

Mets
a-Struck out for Lindor in the 8th. b-Flied out for Hunter in the 9th.
BATTING: 2B: McNeil (8, Hill); Guillorme (3, Bednar). HR: Lindor (12, 3rd inning off Hill, 0 on, 2 out). TB: Alvarez; Canha; Escobar, Edu 2; Guillorme 2; Lindor 4; Marte, S 2; McNeil 2; Nimmo; Vientos. RBI: Alvarez (24); Guillorme (4); Lindor (43); Vientos (5). 2-out RBI: Guillorme; Alvarez; Lindor; Vientos. Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Narváez; Nimmo. GIDP: Vientos. Team RISP: 3-for-9. Team LOB: 7.
FIELDING: E: Lindor (4, fielding); Escobar, Edu (2, throw). DP: 2 (Escobar, Edu-McNeil-Canha; Escobar, Edu-Guillorme-Vientos).

	Pirates Batters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	LOB	AVG	OBP	SLG
1	Marcano - SS	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	.267	.320	.457
2	Reynolds, B - LF	4	0	1	0	1	0	0	.278	.342	.471
	Smith-Njigba - RF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.125	.216	.219
3	McCutchen - DH	4	2	1	0	1	2	3	.268	.381	.432
4	Santana - 1B	5	3	2	1	0	0	2	.230	.325	.365
	Joe - 1B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.251	.347	.474
5	Suwinski - CF	4	4	3	2	1	0	0	.242	.354	.509
6	Hayes - 3B	5	3	5	4	0	0	0	.266	.309	.425
	1-Castro, R - 3B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.268	.360	.436
7	Bae - 2B	3	2	1	2	1	1	2	.277	.335	.361
8	Palacios, J - LF	5	0	2	2	0	0	3	.268	.333	.415
9	Hedges - C	4	0	1	2	0	1	2	.179	.241	.226
	Totals	39	14	17	13	4	4	13

Pirates
1-Ran for Hayes in the 8th.
BATTING: 2B: Hedges (5, Megill); Suwinski (8, Muckenhirn); Hayes 2 (15, Muckenhirn, Muckenhirn); Marcano (11, Muckenhirn). HR: Santana (4, 8th inning off Hunter, 0 on, 0 out); Suwinski (12, 8th inning off Hunter, 0 on, 0 out). TB: Bae; Hayes 7; Hedges 2; Marcano 2; McCutchen; Palacios, J 2; Reynolds, B; Santana 5; Suwinski 7. RBI: Bae 2 (16); Hayes 4 (28); Hedges 2 (11); Palacios, J 2 (7); Santana (28); Suwinski 2 (32). 2-out RBI: Hedges 2; Hayes 2; Suwinski; Palacios, J. Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Marcano; Bae; McCutchen. SF: Bae. GIDP: Hedges; Palacios, J. Team RISP: 7-for-11. Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING: E: Bae (8, fielding); Smith-Njigba (1, fielding). DP: (Hill-Bae-Santana).

Mets Pitchers	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	P-S	ERA
Megill (L, 5-4)	3.2	8	9	7	3	1	0	79-48	5.14
Muckenhirn	2.1	6	3	3	1	1	0	45-27	6.00
Hunter	2.0	3	2	2	0	2	2	30-21	6.85
Totals	8.0	17	14	12	4	4	2

Pirates Pitchers	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	P-S	ERA
Hill (W, 6-5)	7.0	7	2	2	2	6	1	119-72	4.23
Zastryzny	1.2	2	3	0	0	2	0	30-21	4.40
Bednar	0.1	2	2	0	0	0	0	20-14	1.11
Totals	9.0	11	7	2	2	8	1

Game Info
Pitches-strikes: Megill 79-48; Muckenhirn 45-27; Hunter 30-21; Hill 119-72; Zastryzny 30-21; Bednar 20-14.
Groundouts-flyouts: Megill 5-3; Muckenhirn 3-2; Hunter 1-2; Hill 7-4; Zastryzny 4-0; Bednar 0-1.
Batters faced: Megill 22; Muckenhirn 14; Hunter 8; Hill 29; Zastryzny 8; Bednar 4.
Inherited runners-scored: Muckenhirn 2-2; Bednar 2-2.
Umpires: HP: Lance Barksdale. 1B: Ryan Additon. 2B: Dan Merzel. 3B: Will Little.
Weather: 70 degrees, Cloudy.
Wind: 8 mph, Out To CF.
First pitch: 7:05 PM.
T: 2:42.
Att: 29,429.
Venue: PNC Park.
June 9, 2023

Inning	Scoring Play	Score
Top 2	Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Jeff McNeil scores. Eduardo Escobar to 3rd.	1-0 NYM
Bottom 2	Austin Hedges hits a ground-rule double (5) on a fly ball to right field. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Ji Hwan Bae scores.	2-1 PIT
Top 3	Francisco Lindor homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.	2-2
Bottom 3	Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Andrew McCutchen scores. Carlos Santana scores. Jack Suwinski to 3rd.	4-2 PIT
Bottom 3	Ji Hwan Bae singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Eduardo Escobar. Jack Suwinski scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Ji Hwan Bae to 3rd. Throwing error by third baseman Eduardo Escobar.	6-2 PIT
Bottom 3	Josh Palacios singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Ji Hwan Bae scores.	7-2 PIT
Bottom 4	Jack Suwinski doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Nimmo. Andrew McCutchen scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd.	8-2 PIT
Bottom 4	Ke'Bryan Hayes doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Carlos Santana scores. Jack Suwinski scores.	10-2 PIT
Bottom 6	Ji Hwan Bae out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tommy Pham. Jack Suwinski scores.	11-2 PIT
Bottom 6	Josh Palacios singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.	12-2 PIT
Bottom 8	Carlos Santana homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.	13-2 PIT
Bottom 8	Jack Suwinski homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.	14-2 PIT
Top 9	Mark Vientos reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Ji Hwan Bae. Mark Canha scores. Eduardo Escobar to 3rd. Fielding error by second baseman Ji Hwan Bae.	14-3 PIT
Top 9	Francisco Alvarez singles on a line drive to left fielder Josh Palacios. Eduardo Escobar scores. Brett Baty to 2nd.	14-4 PIT
Top 9	Tommy Pham reaches on a fielding error by right fielder Canaan Smith-Njigba. Brett Baty scores. Francisco Alvarez scores. Tommy Pham to 2nd.	14-6 PIT
Top 9	Luis Guillorme hits a ground-rule double (3) on a line drive down the right-field line. Tommy Pham scores.	14-7 PIT

Team	Highlight
PIT	Bullpen availability for Pittsburgh, June 9 vs Mets (00:00:07)
NYM	Bullpen availability for New York, June 9 vs Pirates (00:00:07)
NYM	Fielding alignment for New York, June 9 vs Pirates (00:00:11)
PIT	Fielding alignment for Pittsburgh, June 9 vs Mets (00:00:11)
PIT	Measuring the stats on Carlos Santana's home run (00:00:11)
NYM	Mark Vientos' RBI single (00:00:21)
PIT	Austin Hedges' two-run double (00:00:33)
NYM	Francisco Lindor's solo HR (12) (00:00:19)
PIT	Ke'Bryan Hayes' two-run single (00:00:30)
PIT	Two score on Ji Hwan Bae's bunt (00:00:41)
PIT	Josh Palacios' RBI single (00:00:14)
PIT	Jack Suwinski's RBI double (00:00:11)
NYM	Field view of Lindor's homer (00:00:49)
PIT	Ke'Bryan Hayes' two-run double (00:00:19)
PIT	Ji Hwan Bae's sacrifice fly (00:00:25)
PIT	Josh Palacios' second RBI single (00:00:16)
PIT	Carlos Santana's solo homer (4) (00:00:22)
PIT	Jack Suwinski's solo homer (12) (00:00:23)
NYM	Mark Vientos reaches on error (00:00:36)
NYM	Francisco Alvarez's RBI single (00:00:13)
NYM	Tommy Pham reaches on error (00:00:35)
NYM	Luis Guillorme's RBI double (00:00:19)
PIT	David Bednar gets final out (00:00:10)

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9		R	H	E	LOB
Mets	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5		7	11	2	7
Pirates	0	2	5	3	0	2	0	2			14	17	2	6

Decisions

• Winner: Rich Hill (6-5, 4.23)
• Loser: Tylor Megill (5-4, 5.14)

Division Scoreboard

OAK 5 @ MIL 2 - Bottom 8, 0 Outs
CIN 4 @ STL 7 - Top 9, 2 Outs
CHC 0 @ SF 0 - Top 3, 0 Outs
Next Pirates Game: Sat, Jun 10, 04:05 PM EDT vs. Mets
^{Last Updated: 06/09/2023 10:50:43 PM EDT}

Welcome back to another Pick'Em thread!
This post can be used to discuss your picks for 06/10/2023. If you have any feedback or suggestions on improving the thread further, drop a comment below or message the moderators.
Don't forget: picks must be submitted during the twelve-hour window before Noon EDT on game day, you can only make one selection per day, and missed days count as losses, so choose wisely and don't delay!
Games for Saturday, 06/10/2023:

Matchup and Team Records	Probable Pitchers (Season ERA)	Estimated Win Probability
Arizona Diamondbacks (37-25) @ Detroit Tigers (26-34)	Ryne Nelson (5.40) / Matthew Boyd (5.23)	55% / 45%
Miami Marlins (35-28) @ Chicago White Sox (28-36)	Sandy Alcantara (5.07) / Michael Kopech (4.33)	48% / 52%
Cincinnati Reds (29-34) @ St. Louis Cardinals (26-37)	Andrew Abbott (0.00) / Miles Mikolas (3.74)	40% / 60%
Minnesota Twins (31-32) @ Toronto Blue Jays (36-28)	Joe Ryan (2.76) / TBD (-)	43% / 57%
San Diego Padres (29-33) @ Colorado Rockies (26-38)	Ryan Weathers (5.09) / Kyle Freeland (4.06)	60% / 40%
Kansas City Royals (18-44) @ Baltimore Orioles (38-24)	Brady Singer (6.45) / Cole Irvin (10.38)	36% / 64%
New York Mets (30-33) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (32-29)	Kodai Senga (3.75) / Johan Oviedo (4.29)	55% / 45%
Los Angeles Dodgers (36-27) @ Philadelphia Phillies (30-32)	Bobby Miller (1.06) / Aaron Nola (4.30)	53% / 47%
Texas Rangers (40-21) @ Tampa Bay Rays (46-19)	Nathan Eovaldi (2.24) / Taj Bradley (3.60)	42% / 58%
Washington Nationals (25-36) @ Atlanta Braves (38-24)	MacKenzie Gore (3.66) / Jared Shuster (4.99)	30% / 70%
Oakland Athletics (14-50) @ Milwaukee Brewers (34-29)	Paul Blackburn (6.00) / Julio Teheran (1.56)	32% / 68%
Houston Astros (36-27) @ Cleveland Guardians (29-33)	J.P. France (3.44) / Triston McKenzie (0.00)	52% / 48%
Chicago Cubs (26-36) @ San Francisco Giants (32-30)	Kyle Hendricks (4.70) / TBD (-)	42% / 58%
Boston Red Sox (31-32) @ New York Yankees (37-27)	Tanner Houck (5.46) / Domingo German (3.69)	40% / 60%
Seattle Mariners (30-31) @ Los Angeles Angels (34-30)	Bryan Woo (27.00) / Patrick Sandoval (4.14)	46% / 54%

1. All columns are Away / Home. Records are typically current as-of the time of posting, and do not always contain the matchup results from the day of posting.
2. A bolded matchup means that there is a "Probability of Precipitation" greater than 50% in a non-domed stadium at the time of this post.
3. An italicized matchup means that it is Game 2 of a doubleheader, which for Pick'Em purposes will not be applicable (only Game 1 is counted, but Game 2 is still included above so that you can be aware that pitching management may be different than a non-doubleheader game day).
4. Probable pitchers and stats sourced from mlb.com (via the MLB-StatsAPI); weather data soured from the OpenWeather One Call API.
5. Estimated chance of winning percentages sourced from FiveThirtyEight’s 2023 MLB Game Predictions, an ELO-based, easy to understand ratings system.

Details such as probable pitchers, winning odds, and match certainty are subject to change. Note that a pick for a team in a cancelled game (weather or otherwise) is automatically counted as a correct guess.
View Poll

Mets @ Pirates - Fri, Jun 09

Game Status: Final - Score: 14-7 Pirates

Links & Info

• Current conditions at PNC Park: 70°F - Cloudy - Wind 8 mph, Out To CF
• TV: Mets: SNY, Pirates: ATT SportsNet-PIT
• Radio: Mets: Audacy (es), ESPN Deportes 1050 (es), WCBS 880, Pirates: KDKA-FM 93.7
• MLB Gameday
• Game Graphs
• Savant Gamefeed

	Mets Batters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	LOB	AVG	OBP	SLG
1	Nimmo - CF	4	0	1	0	0	2	3	.282	.371	.419
	Baty - 3B	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	.237	.314	.367
2	Alvarez - C	5	1	1	1	0	1	2	.250	.303	.545
3	Pham - CF	5	1	0	0	0	2	1	.226	.315	.462
4	Lindor - SS	3	1	1	1	0	0	1	.222	.296	.431
	a-Guillorme - SS	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	.242	.329	.290
5	Marte, S - RF	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	.258	.317	.335
	Hunter - P	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
	b-Narváez - PH	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.273	.320	.273
6	McNeil - LF	4	1	1	0	0	0	2	.278	.354	.348
7	Canha - RF	4	1	1	0	0	1	2	.238	.323	.384
8	Escobar, Edu - 2B	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	.240	.287	.410
9	Vientos - 1B	3	0	1	1	1	0	2	.175	.209	.250
	Totals	39	7	11	4	2	8	16

Mets
a-Struck out for Lindor in the 8th. b-Flied out for Hunter in the 9th.
BATTING: 2B: McNeil (8, Hill); Guillorme (3, Bednar). HR: Lindor (12, 3rd inning off Hill, 0 on, 2 out). TB: Alvarez; Canha; Escobar, Edu 2; Guillorme 2; Lindor 4; Marte, S 2; McNeil 2; Nimmo; Vientos. RBI: Alvarez (24); Guillorme (4); Lindor (43); Vientos (5). 2-out RBI: Guillorme; Alvarez; Lindor; Vientos. Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Narváez; Nimmo. GIDP: Vientos. Team RISP: 3-for-9. Team LOB: 7.
FIELDING: E: Lindor (4, fielding); Escobar, Edu (2, throw). DP: 2 (Escobar, Edu-McNeil-Canha; Escobar, Edu-Guillorme-Vientos).

	Pirates Batters	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	LOB	AVG	OBP	SLG
1	Marcano - SS	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	.267	.320	.457
2	Reynolds, B - LF	4	0	1	0	1	0	0	.278	.342	.471
	Smith-Njigba - RF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.125	.216	.219
3	McCutchen - DH	4	2	1	0	1	2	3	.268	.381	.432
4	Santana - 1B	5	3	2	1	0	0	2	.230	.325	.365
	Joe - 1B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.251	.347	.474
5	Suwinski - CF	4	4	3	2	1	0	0	.242	.354	.509
6	Hayes - 3B	5	3	5	4	0	0	0	.266	.309	.425
	1-Castro, R - 3B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.268	.360	.436
7	Bae - 2B	3	2	1	2	1	1	2	.277	.335	.361
8	Palacios, J - LF	5	0	2	2	0	0	3	.268	.333	.415
9	Hedges - C	4	0	1	2	0	1	2	.179	.241	.226
	Totals	39	14	17	13	4	4	13

Pirates
1-Ran for Hayes in the 8th.
BATTING: 2B: Hedges (5, Megill); Suwinski (8, Muckenhirn); Hayes 2 (15, Muckenhirn, Muckenhirn); Marcano (11, Muckenhirn). HR: Santana (4, 8th inning off Hunter, 0 on, 0 out); Suwinski (12, 8th inning off Hunter, 0 on, 0 out). TB: Bae; Hayes 7; Hedges 2; Marcano 2; McCutchen; Palacios, J 2; Reynolds, B; Santana 5; Suwinski 7. RBI: Bae 2 (16); Hayes 4 (28); Hedges 2 (11); Palacios, J 2 (7); Santana (28); Suwinski 2 (32). 2-out RBI: Hedges 2; Hayes 2; Suwinski; Palacios, J. Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Marcano; Bae; McCutchen. SF: Bae. GIDP: Hedges; Palacios, J. Team RISP: 7-for-11. Team LOB: 6.
FIELDING: E: Bae (8, fielding); Smith-Njigba (1, fielding). DP: (Hill-Bae-Santana).

Mets Pitchers	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	P-S	ERA
Megill (L, 5-4)	3.2	8	9	7	3	1	0	79-48	5.14
Muckenhirn	2.1	6	3	3	1	1	0	45-27	6.00
Hunter	2.0	3	2	2	0	2	2	30-21	6.85
Totals	8.0	17	14	12	4	4	2

Pirates Pitchers	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	P-S	ERA
Hill (W, 6-5)	7.0	7	2	2	2	6	1	119-72	4.23
Zastryzny	1.2	2	3	0	0	2	0	30-21	4.40
Bednar	0.1	2	2	0	0	0	0	20-14	1.11
Totals	9.0	11	7	2	2	8	1

Game Info
Pitches-strikes: Megill 79-48; Muckenhirn 45-27; Hunter 30-21; Hill 119-72; Zastryzny 30-21; Bednar 20-14.
Groundouts-flyouts: Megill 5-3; Muckenhirn 3-2; Hunter 1-2; Hill 7-4; Zastryzny 4-0; Bednar 0-1.
Batters faced: Megill 22; Muckenhirn 14; Hunter 8; Hill 29; Zastryzny 8; Bednar 4.
Inherited runners-scored: Muckenhirn 2-2; Bednar 2-2.
Umpires: HP: Lance Barksdale. 1B: Ryan Additon. 2B: Dan Merzel. 3B: Will Little.
Weather: 70 degrees, Cloudy.
Wind: 8 mph, Out To CF.
First pitch: 7:05 PM.
T: 2:42.
Att: 29,429.
Venue: PNC Park.
June 9, 2023

Inning	Scoring Play	Score
Top 2	Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Jeff McNeil scores. Eduardo Escobar to 3rd.	1-0 NYM
Bottom 2	Austin Hedges hits a ground-rule double (5) on a fly ball to right field. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Ji Hwan Bae scores.	2-1 PIT
Top 3	Francisco Lindor homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.	2-2
Bottom 3	Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Andrew McCutchen scores. Carlos Santana scores. Jack Suwinski to 3rd.	4-2 PIT
Bottom 3	Ji Hwan Bae singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Eduardo Escobar. Jack Suwinski scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Ji Hwan Bae to 3rd. Throwing error by third baseman Eduardo Escobar.	6-2 PIT
Bottom 3	Josh Palacios singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Ji Hwan Bae scores.	7-2 PIT
Bottom 4	Jack Suwinski doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Nimmo. Andrew McCutchen scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd.	8-2 PIT
Bottom 4	Ke'Bryan Hayes doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Carlos Santana scores. Jack Suwinski scores.	10-2 PIT
Bottom 6	Ji Hwan Bae out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tommy Pham. Jack Suwinski scores.	11-2 PIT
Bottom 6	Josh Palacios singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.	12-2 PIT
Bottom 8	Carlos Santana homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.	13-2 PIT
Bottom 8	Jack Suwinski homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.	14-2 PIT
Top 9	Mark Vientos reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Ji Hwan Bae. Mark Canha scores. Eduardo Escobar to 3rd. Fielding error by second baseman Ji Hwan Bae.	14-3 PIT
Top 9	Francisco Alvarez singles on a line drive to left fielder Josh Palacios. Eduardo Escobar scores. Brett Baty to 2nd.	14-4 PIT
Top 9	Tommy Pham reaches on a fielding error by right fielder Canaan Smith-Njigba. Brett Baty scores. Francisco Alvarez scores. Tommy Pham to 2nd.	14-6 PIT
Top 9	Luis Guillorme hits a ground-rule double (3) on a line drive down the right-field line. Tommy Pham scores.	14-7 PIT

Team	Highlight
PIT	Bullpen availability for Pittsburgh, June 9 vs Mets (00:00:07)
NYM	Bullpen availability for New York, June 9 vs Pirates (00:00:07)
NYM	Fielding alignment for New York, June 9 vs Pirates (00:00:11)
PIT	Fielding alignment for Pittsburgh, June 9 vs Mets (00:00:11)
PIT	Measuring the stats on Carlos Santana's home run (00:00:11)
NYM	Mark Vientos' RBI single (00:00:21)
NYM	Francisco Lindor's solo HR (12) (00:00:19)
PIT	Ke'Bryan Hayes' two-run single (00:00:30)
PIT	Two score on Ji Hwan Bae's bunt (00:00:41)
PIT	Josh Palacios' RBI single (00:00:14)
PIT	Jack Suwinski's RBI double (00:00:11)
PIT	Ke'Bryan Hayes' two-run double (00:00:19)
PIT	Ji Hwan Bae's sacrifice fly (00:00:25)
PIT	Josh Palacios' second RBI single (00:00:16)
PIT	Carlos Santana's solo homer (4) (00:00:22)
PIT	Jack Suwinski's solo homer (12) (00:00:23)
NYM	Mark Vientos reaches on error (00:00:36)
NYM	Francisco Alvarez's RBI single (00:00:13)
NYM	Tommy Pham reaches on error (00:00:35)
NYM	Luis Guillorme's RBI double (00:00:19)
PIT	David Bednar gets final out (00:00:10)

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9		R	H	E	LOB
Mets	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5		7	11	2	7
Pirates	0	2	5	3	0	2	0	2			14	17	2	6

Decisions

• Winner: Rich Hill (6-5, 4.23)
• Loser: Tylor Megill (5-4, 5.14)

Division Scoreboard

LAD 4 @ PHI 5 - Final
WSH 2 @ ATL 3 - Final
MIA 1 @ CWS 2 - Game Over
^{Last Updated: 06/09/2023 10:39:07 PM EDT}

Good Friday evening to all of you here on StockMarketChat! I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and are ready for the new trading week ahead. :)
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning June 12th, 2023.

S&P 500 notches fourth straight positive week, touches highest level since August: Live updates - (Source)

The S&P 500 rose slightly Friday, touching the 4,300 level for the first time since August 2022 as investors looked ahead to upcoming inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement.
The broad-market index gained 0.11%, closing at 4,298.86. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.16% to end at 13,259.14. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded up 43.17 points, or 0.13%, closing at 33,876.78. It was the 30-stock Dow’s fourth consecutive positive day.
For the week, the S&P 500 was up 0.39%. This was the broad-market index’s fourth straight winning week — a feat it last accomplished in August. The Nasdaq was up about 0.14%, posting its seventh straight winning week — its first streak of that length since November 2019. The Dow advanced 0.34%.
Investors were encouraged by signs that a broader swath of stocks, including small-cap equities, was participating in the recent rally. The Russell 2000 was down slightly on the day, but notched a weekly gain of 1.9%.
“It’s the first time in a while where investors seem to be feeling a greater sense of certainty. And we think that’s been a turning point from what had been more of a bearish cautious sentiment,” said Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments.
“We think that as we walk through these next few weeks, that will be increasingly clear that the economy is more resilient than folks have given it credit for the last six months,” said Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments. “That will sort of dawn on people that small-caps and cyclicals probably have a reasonable shot to play catch up.”
The market is also looking toward next week’s consumer price index numbers and the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Markets are currently anticipating a more than 71% probability the central bank will pause on rate hikes at the June meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

S&P Sectors for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE S&P SECTORS FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)

June’s Quad Witching Options Expiration Riddled With Volatility

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

The second Triple Witching Week (Quadruple Witching if you prefer) of the year brings on some volatile trading with losses frequently exceeding gains. NASDAQ has the weakest record on the first trading day of the week. Triple-Witching Friday is usually better, S&P 500 has been up 12 of the last 20 years, but down 6 of the last 8.
Full-week performance is choppy as well, littered with greater than 1% moves in both directions. The week after June’s Triple-Witching Day is horrendous. This week has experienced DJIA losses in 27 of the last 33 years with an average performance of –0.81%. S&P 500 and NASDAQ have fared better during the week after over the same 33-year span. S&P 500’s averaged –0.46%. NASDAQ has averaged +0.03%. 2022’s sizable gains during the week after improve historical average performance notably.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

A New Bull Market: What’s Driving It?

The S&P 500 finally closed 20% above its October 12th (2022) closing low. This puts the index in “official” bull market territory.
Of course, if you had been reading or listening to Ryan on our Facts vs Feelings podcast, you’d have heard him say that October 12th was the low. He actually wrote a piece titled “Why Stocks Likely Just Bottomed” on October 19th!
The S&P 500 Index fell 25% from its peak on January 3rd, 2022 through October 12th. The subsequent 20% gain still puts it 10% below the prior peak. This does get to “math of volatility”. The index would need to gain 33% from its low to regain that level. This is a reason why it’s always better to lose less, is because you need to gain less to get back to even.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

So, what’s next? The good news is that future returns are strong. In his latest piece, Ryan wrote that out of 13 times when stocks rose 20% off a 52-week low, 10 of those times the lows were not violated. The average return 12 months later was close to 18%. The only time we didn’t see a gain was in the 2001-2002 bear market.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

** Digging into the return drivers**
It’s interesting to look at what’s been driving returns over the past year. This can help us think about what may lie ahead. The question was prompted by our friend, Sam Ro’s latest piece on the bull market breakout. He wrote that earnings haven’t been as bad as expected. More importantly, prospects have actually been improving.
The chart below shows earnings expectations for the S&P 500 over the next 12 months. You can see how it rose in the first half of 2022, before collapsing over the second half of the year. The collapse continued into January of this year. But since then, earnings expectations have steadily risen. In fact, they’ve accelerated higher since mid-April, after the last earnings season started. Currently, they’re higher than where we started the year.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Backing up a bit: we can break apart the price return of a stock (or index) into two components:

• Earnings growth
  
• Valuation multiple growth
  

I decomposed annual S&P 500 returns from 2020 – 2023 (through June 8th) into these two components. The chart below shows how these added up to the total return for each year. It also includes:

• The bear market pullback from January 3rd, 2022, through October 12th, 2022
  
• And the 20% rally from the low through June 8th, 2023
  

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

You can see how multiple changes have dominated the swing in returns.
The notable exception is 2021, when the S&P 500 return was propelled by earnings growth. In contrast, the 2022 pullback was entirely attributed to multiple contraction. Earnings made a positive contribution in 2022.
Now, multiple contraction is not surprising given the rapid change in rates, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) looked to get on top of inflation. However, they are close to the end of rate hikes, and so that’s no longer a big drag on multiples.
Consequently, multiple growth has pulled the index higher this year. You can see how multiple contraction basically drove the pullback in the Index during the bear market, through the low. But since then, multiples have expanded, pretty much driving the 20% gain.
Here’s a more dynamic picture of the S&P 500’s cumulative price return action from January 3rd, 2022, through June 8th, 2023. The chart also shows the contribution from earnings and multiple growth. As you can see, earnings have been fairly steady, rising 4% over the entire period. However, the swing in multiples is what drove the price return volatility.
Multiples contracted by 14%, and when combined with 4% earnings growth, you experienced the index return of -10%.
What next?
As I pointed out above, the problem for stocks last year was multiple contraction, which was driven by a rapid surge in interest rates.
The good news is that we’re probably close to end of rate hikes. The Fed may go ahead with just one more rate hike (in July), which is not much within the context of the 5%-point increase in rates that they implemented over the past year.
Our view is that rates are likely to remain where they are for a while. But rates are unlikely to rise from 5% to 10%, or even 7%, unless we get another major inflation shock.
This means a major obstacle that hindered stocks last year is dissipating. The removal of this headwind is yet another positive factor for stocks as we look ahead into the second half of the year.

Why Low Volatility Isn’t Bearish

“There is no such thing as average when it comes to the stock market or investing.” -Ryan Detrick
You might have heard by now, but the CBOE Volatility Index (better known as the VIX) made a new 52-week low earlier this week and closed beneath 14 for the first time in more than three years. This has many in the financial media clamoring that ‘the VIX is low and this is bearish’.
They have been telling us (incorrectly) that only five stocks have been going up and this was bearish, that a recession was right around the corner, that the yield curve being inverted was bearish, that M2 money supply YoY tanking was bearish, and now we have the VIX being low is bearish. We’ve disagreed with all of these worries and now we take issue with a low VIX as being bearish.
What exactly is the VIX you ask? I’d suggest reading this summary from Investopedia for a full explanation, but it is simply how much option players are willing to pay up for potential volatility over the coming 30 days. If they sense volatility, they will pay up for insurance. What you might know is that when the VIX is high (say above 30), that means the market tends to be more volatile and likely in a bearish phase. Versus a low VIX (say sub 15) historically has lead to some really nice bull markets and small amounts of volatility.
Back to your regularly scheduled blog now.
The last time the VIX went this long above 14 was for more than five years, ending in August 2012. You know what happened next that time? The S&P 500 added more than 18% the following 12 months. Yes, this is a sample size of one, but I think it shows that a VIX sub 14 by itself isn’t the end of the world.
One of the key concepts around volatility is trends can last for years. What I mean by this is for years the VIX can be high and for years it can be low. Since 1990, the average VIX was 19.7, but it rarely trades around that average. Take another look at the quote I’ve used many times above, as averages aren’t so average. This chart is one I’ve used for years now and I think we could be on the cusp of another low volatility regime. The red areas are times the VIX was consistently above 20, while the yellow were beneath 20. What you also need to know is those red periods usually took place during bear markets and very volatile markets, while the yellow periods were hallmarked by low volatility and higher equity prices. Are we about to enter a new period of lower volatility? No one of course knows, but if this is about to happen (which is my vote), it is another reason to think that higher equity prices (our base case as we remain overweight equities in our Carson House Views) will be coming.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Lastly, I’ll leave you on this potentially bullish point. We like to use relative ratios to get a feel for how one asset is going versus to another. We always want to be in assets or sectors that are showing relative strength, while avoiding areas that are weak.
Well, stocks just broke out to new highs relative to bonds once again. After a period of consolidation during the bear market last year, now we have stocks firmly in the driver seat relative to bonds. This is another reason we remain overweight stocks currently and continue to expect stocks to do better than bonds going forward.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Our Leading Economic Index Says the Economy is Not in a Recession

We’ve been writing since the end of last year about how we believe the economy can avoid a recession in 2023, including in our 2023 outlook. This has run contrary to most other economists’ predictions. Interestingly, the tide has been shifting recently, as we’ve gotten a string of relatively stronger economic data. More so after the latest payrolls data, which surprised again.
One challenge with economic data is that we get so many of them, and a lot of times they can send conflicting signals. It can be hard to parse through all of it and come up with an updated view of the economy after every data release.
One approach is to combine these into a single indicator, i.e. a “leading economic index” (LEI). It’s “leading” because the idea is to give you an early warning signal about economic turning points.
Simply put, it tells you what the economy is doing today and what it is likely to do in the near future.
The most popular LEI points to recession
One of the most widely used LEI’s is released by the Conference Board, and it currently points to recession. As you can see in the chart below, the Conference Board’s LEI is highly correlated with GDP growth – the chart shows year-over-year change in both.
You can see how the index started to fall ahead of the 2001 and 2008 recession (shaded areas). The 2020 pandemic recession was an anomaly since it hit so suddenly. In any case, using an LEI means we didn’t have to wait for GDP data (which are released well after a quarter ends) to tell us whether the economy was close to, or in a recession.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

As you probably noticed above, the LEI is down 8% year-over-year, signaling a recession over the next 12 months. It’s been pointing to a recession since last fall, with the index declining for 13 straight months through April.
Quoting the Conference Board:
“The Conference Board forecasts a contraction of economic activity starting in Q2 leading to a mild recession by mid-2023.”
Safe to say, we’re close to mid-2023 and there’s no sign of a recession yet.
What’s inside the LEI
The Conference Board’s LEI has 10 components of which,

• 3 are financial market indicators, including the S&P 500, and make up 22% of the index
• 4 measure business and manufacturing activity (44%)
• 1 measures housing activity (3%)
• 2 are related to the consumer, including the labor market (31%)

You can see how these indicators have pulled the index down by 4.4% over the past 6 months, and by -0.6% in April alone.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here’s the thing. This popular LEI is premised on the fact that the manufacturing sector, and business activity/sentiment, is a leading indicator of the economy. This worked well in the past but is probably not indicative of what’s happening in the economy right now. For one thing, the manufacturing sector makes up just about 11% of GDP.
Consumption makes up 68% of the economy, and we believe it’s important to capture that.
In fact, consumption was strong in Q1 and even at the start of Q2, thanks to rising real incomes. Housing is also making a turnaround and should no longer be a drag on the economy going forward (as it has been over the past 8 quarters). The Federal Reserve (Fed) is also close to being done with rate hikes. Plus, as my colleague, Ryan Detrick pointed out, the stock market’s turned around and is close to entering a new bull market.
Obviously, there are a lot of data points that we look at and one way we parse through all of it is by constructing our own leading economic index.
An LEI that better reflects the US economy
We believe our proprietary LEI better captures the dynamics of the US economy. It was developed a decade ago and is a key input into our asset allocation decisions.
In contrast to the Conference Board’s measure, it includes 20+ components, including,

• Consumer-related indicators (make up 50% of the index)
• Housing activity (18%)
• Business and manufacturing activity (23%)
• Financial markets (9%)

Just as an example, the consumer-related data includes unemployment benefit claims, weekly hours worked, and vehicle sales. Housing includes indicators like building permits and new home sales.
The chart below shows how our LEI has moved through time – capturing whether the economy is growing below trend, on-trend (a value close to zero), or above trend. Like the Conference Board’s measure, it is able to capture major turning points in the business cycle. It declined ahead of the actual start of the 2011 and 2008 recessions.
As of April, our index is indicating that the economy is growing right along trend.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Last year, the index signaled that the economy was growing below trend, and that the risk of a recession was high.
Note that it didn’t point to an actual recession. Just that “risk” of one was higher than normal. In fact, our LEI held close to the lows we saw over the last decade, especially in 2011 and 2016 (after which the economy, and even the stock market, recovered).
The following chart captures a close-up view of the last 3 and half years, which includes the Covid pullback and subsequent recovery. The contribution from the 4 major categories is also shown. You can see how the consumer has remained strong over the past year – in fact, consumer indicators have been stronger this year than in late 2022.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

The main risk of a recession last year was due to the Fed raising rates as fast as they did, which adversely impacted housing, financial markets, and business activity.
The good news is that these sectors are improving even as consumer strength continues. The improvement in housing is notable. Additionally, the drag from financial conditions is beginning to ease as we think that the Federal Reserve gets closer to the end of rate hikes, and markets rally.
Putting the Puzzle Together
Another novel part of our approach is that we have an LEI like the one for the US for more than 25 other countries. Each one is custom built to capture the dynamics of those economies. The individual country LEIs are also subsequently rolled up to a global index to give us a picture of the global economy, as shown below.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

I want to emphasize that we do not rely solely on this as the one and only input into our asset allocation, portfolio and risk management decisions. While it is an important component that encapsulates a lot of significant information, it is just one piece of the puzzle. Our process also has other pillars such as policy (both monetary and fiscal), technical factors, and valuations.
We believe it’s important to put all these pieces together, kind of like putting together a puzzle, to understand what’s happening in the economy and markets, and position portfolios accordingly.
Putting together a puzzle is both a mechanistic and artistic process. The mechanistic aspect involves sorting the pieces, finding edges, and matching colors, etc. It requires a logical and methodical approach, and in our process the LEI is key to that.
However, there is an artistic element as well. As we assemble the pieces together, a larger picture gradually emerges. You can make creative decisions about how each piece fits within the overall picture. Within the context of portfolio management, that takes a diverse range of experience. Which is the core strength of our Investment Research Team.

Welcome to the New Bull Market

“If you torture numbers enough, they will tell you anything.” -Yogi Berra, Yankee great and Hall of Fame catcher
Don’t shoot the messenger, but historically, it is widely considered a new bull market once stocks are more than 20% off their bear market lows. This is similar to when stocks are down 20% they are in a bear market. Well, the S&P 500 is less than one percent away from this 20% threshold, so get ready to hear a lot about it when it eventually happens.
I’m not crazy about this concept, as we’ve been in the camp that the bear market ended in October for months now (we started to say it in late October, getting some really odd looks I might add), meaning a new bull market has been here for a while. Take another look at the great Yogi quote above, as someone can get whatever they want probably when talking about bear and bull markets.
None the less, what exactly does a 20% move higher off a bear market low really mean? The good news is future returns are quite strong.
We found 13 times that stocks soared at least 20% off a 52-week low and 10 times the lows were indeed in and not violated. The only times it didn’t work? Twice during the tech bubble implosion and once during the Financial Crisis. In other words, some of the truly worst times to be invested in stocks. But the other 10 times, once there was a 20% gain, the lows were in and in most cases, higher prices were soon coming. This chart does a nice job of showing this concept, with the red dots the times new lows were still yet to come after a 20% bounce.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here’s a table with all the breakdowns. A year later stocks were down only once and that was during the 2001/2002 bear market, with the average gain a year after a 20% bounce at a very impressive 17.7%. It is worth noting that the one- and three-month returns aren’t anything special, probably because some type of consolidation would be expected after surges higher, but six months and a year later are quite strong.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

As we’ve been saying this full year, we continue to expect stocks to do well this year and the upward move is firmly in place and studies like this do little to change our opinion.

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending June 9th, 2023

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 6/11/23

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)
Here is the list of notable tickers reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-

($ADBE $ORCL $KR $ACB $ATEX $ITI $LEN $MPAA $JBL $ECX $POWW $HITI $MMMB $CGNT $WLY $RFIL)

(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)

(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!]())

(NONE.)

Here is the full list of companies report earnings for this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 6.12.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

Monday 6.12.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 6.13.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

Tuesday 6.13.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 6.14.23 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 6.14.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 6.15.23 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 6.15.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 6.16.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!]())

(NONE.)

Friday 6.16.23 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.)

(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.) (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.).

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?

Join the Official Reddit Stock Market Chat Discord Server HERE!

I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great new trading week ahead StockMarketChat. :)

Good Friday evening to all of you here on WallStreetStockMarket! I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and are ready for the new trading week ahead. :)
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning June 12th, 2023.

S&P 500 notches fourth straight positive week, touches highest level since August: Live updates - (Source)

The S&P 500 rose slightly Friday, touching the 4,300 level for the first time since August 2022 as investors looked ahead to upcoming inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement.
The broad-market index gained 0.11%, closing at 4,298.86. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.16% to end at 13,259.14. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded up 43.17 points, or 0.13%, closing at 33,876.78. It was the 30-stock Dow’s fourth consecutive positive day.
For the week, the S&P 500 was up 0.39%. This was the broad-market index’s fourth straight winning week — a feat it last accomplished in August. The Nasdaq was up about 0.14%, posting its seventh straight winning week — its first streak of that length since November 2019. The Dow advanced 0.34%.
Investors were encouraged by signs that a broader swath of stocks, including small-cap equities, was participating in the recent rally. The Russell 2000 was down slightly on the day, but notched a weekly gain of 1.9%.
“It’s the first time in a while where investors seem to be feeling a greater sense of certainty. And we think that’s been a turning point from what had been more of a bearish cautious sentiment,” said Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments.
“We think that as we walk through these next few weeks, that will be increasingly clear that the economy is more resilient than folks have given it credit for the last six months,” said Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments. “That will sort of dawn on people that small-caps and cyclicals probably have a reasonable shot to play catch up.”
The market is also looking toward next week’s consumer price index numbers and the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Markets are currently anticipating a more than 71% probability the central bank will pause on rate hikes at the June meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

S&P Sectors for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE S&P SECTORS FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)

June’s Quad Witching Options Expiration Riddled With Volatility

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

The second Triple Witching Week (Quadruple Witching if you prefer) of the year brings on some volatile trading with losses frequently exceeding gains. NASDAQ has the weakest record on the first trading day of the week. Triple-Witching Friday is usually better, S&P 500 has been up 12 of the last 20 years, but down 6 of the last 8.
Full-week performance is choppy as well, littered with greater than 1% moves in both directions. The week after June’s Triple-Witching Day is horrendous. This week has experienced DJIA losses in 27 of the last 33 years with an average performance of –0.81%. S&P 500 and NASDAQ have fared better during the week after over the same 33-year span. S&P 500’s averaged –0.46%. NASDAQ has averaged +0.03%. 2022’s sizable gains during the week after improve historical average performance notably.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

A New Bull Market: What’s Driving It?

The S&P 500 finally closed 20% above its October 12th (2022) closing low. This puts the index in “official” bull market territory.
Of course, if you had been reading or listening to Ryan on our Facts vs Feelings podcast, you’d have heard him say that October 12th was the low. He actually wrote a piece titled “Why Stocks Likely Just Bottomed” on October 19th!
The S&P 500 Index fell 25% from its peak on January 3rd, 2022 through October 12th. The subsequent 20% gain still puts it 10% below the prior peak. This does get to “math of volatility”. The index would need to gain 33% from its low to regain that level. This is a reason why it’s always better to lose less, is because you need to gain less to get back to even.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

So, what’s next? The good news is that future returns are strong. In his latest piece, Ryan wrote that out of 13 times when stocks rose 20% off a 52-week low, 10 of those times the lows were not violated. The average return 12 months later was close to 18%. The only time we didn’t see a gain was in the 2001-2002 bear market.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

** Digging into the return drivers**
It’s interesting to look at what’s been driving returns over the past year. This can help us think about what may lie ahead. The question was prompted by our friend, Sam Ro’s latest piece on the bull market breakout. He wrote that earnings haven’t been as bad as expected. More importantly, prospects have actually been improving.
The chart below shows earnings expectations for the S&P 500 over the next 12 months. You can see how it rose in the first half of 2022, before collapsing over the second half of the year. The collapse continued into January of this year. But since then, earnings expectations have steadily risen. In fact, they’ve accelerated higher since mid-April, after the last earnings season started. Currently, they’re higher than where we started the year.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Backing up a bit: we can break apart the price return of a stock (or index) into two components:

• Earnings growth
  
• Valuation multiple growth
  

I decomposed annual S&P 500 returns from 2020 – 2023 (through June 8th) into these two components. The chart below shows how these added up to the total return for each year. It also includes:

• The bear market pullback from January 3rd, 2022, through October 12th, 2022
  
• And the 20% rally from the low through June 8th, 2023
  

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

You can see how multiple changes have dominated the swing in returns.
The notable exception is 2021, when the S&P 500 return was propelled by earnings growth. In contrast, the 2022 pullback was entirely attributed to multiple contraction. Earnings made a positive contribution in 2022.
Now, multiple contraction is not surprising given the rapid change in rates, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) looked to get on top of inflation. However, they are close to the end of rate hikes, and so that’s no longer a big drag on multiples.
Consequently, multiple growth has pulled the index higher this year. You can see how multiple contraction basically drove the pullback in the Index during the bear market, through the low. But since then, multiples have expanded, pretty much driving the 20% gain.
Here’s a more dynamic picture of the S&P 500’s cumulative price return action from January 3rd, 2022, through June 8th, 2023. The chart also shows the contribution from earnings and multiple growth. As you can see, earnings have been fairly steady, rising 4% over the entire period. However, the swing in multiples is what drove the price return volatility.
Multiples contracted by 14%, and when combined with 4% earnings growth, you experienced the index return of -10%.
What next?
As I pointed out above, the problem for stocks last year was multiple contraction, which was driven by a rapid surge in interest rates.
The good news is that we’re probably close to end of rate hikes. The Fed may go ahead with just one more rate hike (in July), which is not much within the context of the 5%-point increase in rates that they implemented over the past year.
Our view is that rates are likely to remain where they are for a while. But rates are unlikely to rise from 5% to 10%, or even 7%, unless we get another major inflation shock.
This means a major obstacle that hindered stocks last year is dissipating. The removal of this headwind is yet another positive factor for stocks as we look ahead into the second half of the year.

Why Low Volatility Isn’t Bearish

“There is no such thing as average when it comes to the stock market or investing.” -Ryan Detrick
You might have heard by now, but the CBOE Volatility Index (better known as the VIX) made a new 52-week low earlier this week and closed beneath 14 for the first time in more than three years. This has many in the financial media clamoring that ‘the VIX is low and this is bearish’.
They have been telling us (incorrectly) that only five stocks have been going up and this was bearish, that a recession was right around the corner, that the yield curve being inverted was bearish, that M2 money supply YoY tanking was bearish, and now we have the VIX being low is bearish. We’ve disagreed with all of these worries and now we take issue with a low VIX as being bearish.
What exactly is the VIX you ask? I’d suggest reading this summary from Investopedia for a full explanation, but it is simply how much option players are willing to pay up for potential volatility over the coming 30 days. If they sense volatility, they will pay up for insurance. What you might know is that when the VIX is high (say above 30), that means the market tends to be more volatile and likely in a bearish phase. Versus a low VIX (say sub 15) historically has lead to some really nice bull markets and small amounts of volatility.
Back to your regularly scheduled blog now.
The last time the VIX went this long above 14 was for more than five years, ending in August 2012. You know what happened next that time? The S&P 500 added more than 18% the following 12 months. Yes, this is a sample size of one, but I think it shows that a VIX sub 14 by itself isn’t the end of the world.
One of the key concepts around volatility is trends can last for years. What I mean by this is for years the VIX can be high and for years it can be low. Since 1990, the average VIX was 19.7, but it rarely trades around that average. Take another look at the quote I’ve used many times above, as averages aren’t so average. This chart is one I’ve used for years now and I think we could be on the cusp of another low volatility regime. The red areas are times the VIX was consistently above 20, while the yellow were beneath 20. What you also need to know is those red periods usually took place during bear markets and very volatile markets, while the yellow periods were hallmarked by low volatility and higher equity prices. Are we about to enter a new period of lower volatility? No one of course knows, but if this is about to happen (which is my vote), it is another reason to think that higher equity prices (our base case as we remain overweight equities in our Carson House Views) will be coming.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Lastly, I’ll leave you on this potentially bullish point. We like to use relative ratios to get a feel for how one asset is going versus to another. We always want to be in assets or sectors that are showing relative strength, while avoiding areas that are weak.
Well, stocks just broke out to new highs relative to bonds once again. After a period of consolidation during the bear market last year, now we have stocks firmly in the driver seat relative to bonds. This is another reason we remain overweight stocks currently and continue to expect stocks to do better than bonds going forward.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Our Leading Economic Index Says the Economy is Not in a Recession

We’ve been writing since the end of last year about how we believe the economy can avoid a recession in 2023, including in our 2023 outlook. This has run contrary to most other economists’ predictions. Interestingly, the tide has been shifting recently, as we’ve gotten a string of relatively stronger economic data. More so after the latest payrolls data, which surprised again.
One challenge with economic data is that we get so many of them, and a lot of times they can send conflicting signals. It can be hard to parse through all of it and come up with an updated view of the economy after every data release.
One approach is to combine these into a single indicator, i.e. a “leading economic index” (LEI). It’s “leading” because the idea is to give you an early warning signal about economic turning points.
Simply put, it tells you what the economy is doing today and what it is likely to do in the near future.
The most popular LEI points to recession
One of the most widely used LEI’s is released by the Conference Board, and it currently points to recession. As you can see in the chart below, the Conference Board’s LEI is highly correlated with GDP growth – the chart shows year-over-year change in both.
You can see how the index started to fall ahead of the 2001 and 2008 recession (shaded areas). The 2020 pandemic recession was an anomaly since it hit so suddenly. In any case, using an LEI means we didn’t have to wait for GDP data (which are released well after a quarter ends) to tell us whether the economy was close to, or in a recession.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

As you probably noticed above, the LEI is down 8% year-over-year, signaling a recession over the next 12 months. It’s been pointing to a recession since last fall, with the index declining for 13 straight months through April.
Quoting the Conference Board:
“The Conference Board forecasts a contraction of economic activity starting in Q2 leading to a mild recession by mid-2023.”
Safe to say, we’re close to mid-2023 and there’s no sign of a recession yet.
What’s inside the LEI
The Conference Board’s LEI has 10 components of which,

• 3 are financial market indicators, including the S&P 500, and make up 22% of the index
• 4 measure business and manufacturing activity (44%)
• 1 measures housing activity (3%)
• 2 are related to the consumer, including the labor market (31%)

You can see how these indicators have pulled the index down by 4.4% over the past 6 months, and by -0.6% in April alone.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here’s the thing. This popular LEI is premised on the fact that the manufacturing sector, and business activity/sentiment, is a leading indicator of the economy. This worked well in the past but is probably not indicative of what’s happening in the economy right now. For one thing, the manufacturing sector makes up just about 11% of GDP.
Consumption makes up 68% of the economy, and we believe it’s important to capture that.
In fact, consumption was strong in Q1 and even at the start of Q2, thanks to rising real incomes. Housing is also making a turnaround and should no longer be a drag on the economy going forward (as it has been over the past 8 quarters). The Federal Reserve (Fed) is also close to being done with rate hikes. Plus, as my colleague, Ryan Detrick pointed out, the stock market’s turned around and is close to entering a new bull market.
Obviously, there are a lot of data points that we look at and one way we parse through all of it is by constructing our own leading economic index.
An LEI that better reflects the US economy
We believe our proprietary LEI better captures the dynamics of the US economy. It was developed a decade ago and is a key input into our asset allocation decisions.
In contrast to the Conference Board’s measure, it includes 20+ components, including,

• Consumer-related indicators (make up 50% of the index)
• Housing activity (18%)
• Business and manufacturing activity (23%)
• Financial markets (9%)

Just as an example, the consumer-related data includes unemployment benefit claims, weekly hours worked, and vehicle sales. Housing includes indicators like building permits and new home sales.
The chart below shows how our LEI has moved through time – capturing whether the economy is growing below trend, on-trend (a value close to zero), or above trend. Like the Conference Board’s measure, it is able to capture major turning points in the business cycle. It declined ahead of the actual start of the 2011 and 2008 recessions.
As of April, our index is indicating that the economy is growing right along trend.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Last year, the index signaled that the economy was growing below trend, and that the risk of a recession was high.
Note that it didn’t point to an actual recession. Just that “risk” of one was higher than normal. In fact, our LEI held close to the lows we saw over the last decade, especially in 2011 and 2016 (after which the economy, and even the stock market, recovered).
The following chart captures a close-up view of the last 3 and half years, which includes the Covid pullback and subsequent recovery. The contribution from the 4 major categories is also shown. You can see how the consumer has remained strong over the past year – in fact, consumer indicators have been stronger this year than in late 2022.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

The main risk of a recession last year was due to the Fed raising rates as fast as they did, which adversely impacted housing, financial markets, and business activity.
The good news is that these sectors are improving even as consumer strength continues. The improvement in housing is notable. Additionally, the drag from financial conditions is beginning to ease as we think that the Federal Reserve gets closer to the end of rate hikes, and markets rally.
Putting the Puzzle Together
Another novel part of our approach is that we have an LEI like the one for the US for more than 25 other countries. Each one is custom built to capture the dynamics of those economies. The individual country LEIs are also subsequently rolled up to a global index to give us a picture of the global economy, as shown below.

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I want to emphasize that we do not rely solely on this as the one and only input into our asset allocation, portfolio and risk management decisions. While it is an important component that encapsulates a lot of significant information, it is just one piece of the puzzle. Our process also has other pillars such as policy (both monetary and fiscal), technical factors, and valuations.
We believe it’s important to put all these pieces together, kind of like putting together a puzzle, to understand what’s happening in the economy and markets, and position portfolios accordingly.
Putting together a puzzle is both a mechanistic and artistic process. The mechanistic aspect involves sorting the pieces, finding edges, and matching colors, etc. It requires a logical and methodical approach, and in our process the LEI is key to that.
However, there is an artistic element as well. As we assemble the pieces together, a larger picture gradually emerges. You can make creative decisions about how each piece fits within the overall picture. Within the context of portfolio management, that takes a diverse range of experience. Which is the core strength of our Investment Research Team.

Welcome to the New Bull Market

“If you torture numbers enough, they will tell you anything.” -Yogi Berra, Yankee great and Hall of Fame catcher
Don’t shoot the messenger, but historically, it is widely considered a new bull market once stocks are more than 20% off their bear market lows. This is similar to when stocks are down 20% they are in a bear market. Well, the S&P 500 is less than one percent away from this 20% threshold, so get ready to hear a lot about it when it eventually happens.
I’m not crazy about this concept, as we’ve been in the camp that the bear market ended in October for months now (we started to say it in late October, getting some really odd looks I might add), meaning a new bull market has been here for a while. Take another look at the great Yogi quote above, as someone can get whatever they want probably when talking about bear and bull markets.
None the less, what exactly does a 20% move higher off a bear market low really mean? The good news is future returns are quite strong.
We found 13 times that stocks soared at least 20% off a 52-week low and 10 times the lows were indeed in and not violated. The only times it didn’t work? Twice during the tech bubble implosion and once during the Financial Crisis. In other words, some of the truly worst times to be invested in stocks. But the other 10 times, once there was a 20% gain, the lows were in and in most cases, higher prices were soon coming. This chart does a nice job of showing this concept, with the red dots the times new lows were still yet to come after a 20% bounce.

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Here’s a table with all the breakdowns. A year later stocks were down only once and that was during the 2001/2002 bear market, with the average gain a year after a 20% bounce at a very impressive 17.7%. It is worth noting that the one- and three-month returns aren’t anything special, probably because some type of consolidation would be expected after surges higher, but six months and a year later are quite strong.

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As we’ve been saying this full year, we continue to expect stocks to do well this year and the upward move is firmly in place and studies like this do little to change our opinion.

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending June 9th, 2023

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 6/11/23

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)
Here is the list of notable tickers reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-

($ADBE $ORCL $KR $ACB $ATEX $ITI $LEN $MPAA $JBL $ECX $POWW $HITI $MMMB $CGNT $WLY $RFIL)

(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)

(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!]())

(NONE.)

Here is the full list of companies report earnings for this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 6.12.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

Monday 6.12.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 6.13.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

Tuesday 6.13.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 6.14.23 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 6.14.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 6.15.23 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 6.15.23 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 6.16.23 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!]())

(NONE.)

Friday 6.16.23 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

(NONE.)

(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.)

(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.) (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.).

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DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?

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I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great new trading week ahead WallStreetStockMarket. :)